HP MoR: Rita Skeeter was hoaxed into publishing the article by Fred & George Weasley, and Gilderoy Lockhart gave false memories via Memory Charm to Rita Skeeter

Created by gwern on 2012-04-19; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by Afforess on 2015-08-17.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2012-04-19
• Oscar_Cunningham estimated 10% on 2012-04-20
• lavalamp estimated 5% and said “In canon, Lockhart was a memory charm expert in secret. No one knew.” on 2012-04-20
• beo_shaffer estimated 10% on 2012-04-21
• Oscar_Cunningham said “We don’t learn the answer to this.” on 2015-03-26
• Afforess   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-08-17.