PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

By 2030, same-sex marriage will be legal everywhere in the US.

Created by Michael Dickens on 2015-02-23; known on 2030-01-01; judged right by alexneptune on 2016-03-01.

  • Michael Dickens estimated 75% on 2015-02-23
  • EloiseRosen estimated 90% on 2015-02-23
  • imuli estimated 90% on 2015-02-25
  • JoshuaZ estimated 95% on 2015-02-25
  • Chri estimated 95% on 2015-02-27
  • player_03 estimated 70% and said “I’d like to be as optimistic as everyone else, but it seems likely that at least one state will delay.on 2015-03-01
  • alexneptune estimated 95% on 2015-03-01
  • alexneptune   judged this prediction right on 2016-03-01.