Within the next 1000 years we will discover that the singularity already happened a very long time ago and that we are the AIs that resulted from it.

Created by TheScholar on 2009-10-21; known on 3009-10-21

• TheScholar estimated 50% on 2009-10-21
• anonym estimated 1% on 2009-10-22
• VoiceOfAuthority estimated 0% on 2009-10-31
• PotatoDumplings estimated 0% on 2009-11-05
• Jack estimated 0% on 2009-11-12
• PotatoDumplings estimated 0% on 2010-01-05
• gwern estimated 50% and said “living in an ancestor simulation also counts. Per simulation argument, you only need 1 ancestor simulation and the odds=1/2. 2 ancestor simulations, 2/3 etc” on 2010-07-30
• TheScholar said “@gwern: Insightful” on 2010-09-18
• army1987 said “define “singularity” and “artificial” :-)” on 2011-10-03
• Anubhav said “Does it count if we’re not actually more intelligent than the intelligences that created us?” on 2011-10-10
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2015-01-11
• themusicgod1 estimated 28% on 2016-10-06
• pranomostro estimated 1% on 2018-11-25
• pranomostro estimated 25% on 2018-11-25
• Baeboo estimated 30% on 2018-12-12