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For all x, if x is a comment in response to Luke's 'NEW GAME' comment and x contains at least 1 correct answer, then x will have positive karma at the prediction closing time.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-06-19; known on 2012-06-26; judged right by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-06-27.

  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 80% on 2012-06-19
  • Jayson Virissimo said “http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/d5s/new_singularityorg/6uuf” on 2012-06-19
  • RobertLumley   judged this prediction right on 2012-06-21.
  • RobertLumley   judged this prediction unknown on 2012-06-21.
  • RobertLumley said “Whoops, misread. There’s only one comment now, but more could mess this up.” on 2012-06-21
  • Jayson Virissimo said “Damn, coming up with airtight working is devilishly difficult. In the 2nd conjunct in the antecedent proposition, “the” should have been “a” because it is possible that a comment has both correct and incorrect answers.” on 2012-06-22
  • Jayson Virissimo changed the deadline from “on 2012-06-26” and changed their prediction from “For all x, if x is a comment in response to Luke's 'NEW GAME' comment and it contains the correct answer, then x will have positive karma at the prediction closing time.” on 2012-06-22
  • Jayson Virissimo said ““airtight wording”, not “airtight working”” on 2012-06-22
  • Jayson Virissimo   judged this prediction right on 2012-06-27.