Homo sapiens will be near or fully extinct by 2100.

Created by Rain on 2009-11-11; known on 2100-01-01

• Rain estimated 95% on 2009-11-11
• Morendil estimated 5% on 2009-11-12
• Arenamontanus estimated 12% on 2009-11-13
• Rain estimated 90% and said “19% Global Catastrophic Risks conference * 50% Prof. Sir Martin Rees * 30% Prof. John Leslie * Significant Judge Richard Posner * Not <25%, Dr. Nick Bostrom” on 2009-12-28
• gwern estimated 20% on 2010-10-24
• Anubhav estimated 10% on 2011-10-10
• JoshuaZ estimated 5% on 2011-10-10
• Noetic Jun estimated 1% on 2011-10-25

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