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The US presidential debates of 2016 will feature a three-way debate between a Democrat, a Republican, and a Libertarian Party candidate.

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2012-09-02; known on 2016-11-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-11-02.

  • NathanMcKnight estimated 75% on 2012-09-02
  • JoshuaZ estimated 22% on 2012-09-03
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 20% on 2012-09-03
  • Nic_Smith estimated 3% on 2012-09-05
  • Pablo estimated 15% on 2012-09-27
  • RandomThinker estimated 10% and said “I assume you mean a capital L Libertarian and Ron Paul doesn’t count. It’s basically the odds of Ron Paul quitting the republican party.on 2012-09-28
  • NathanMcKnight changed their prediction from “The US presidential debates of 2016 will feature a three-way debate between a Democrat, a Republican, and a Libertarian.” on 2012-09-28
  • NathanMcKnight said “Yes, capital-L.on 2012-09-28
  • faws estimated 10% on 2012-09-29
  • JoshuaZ estimated 15% on 2013-11-05
  • themusicgod1 estimated 8% on 2016-04-14
  • Bruno Parga estimated 10% on 2016-07-24
  • Bruno Parga estimated 24% on 2016-08-12
  • Bruno Parga estimated 16% on 2016-09-01
  • themusicgod1 estimated 12% on 2016-10-10
  • themusicgod1   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-02.