PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

There will be <=3 MLP-related posts on LessWrong in January 2013.

Created by gwern on 2012-09-15; known on 2013-02-01; judged right by Emanuel Rylke on 2013-02-01.

  • gwern estimated 80% on 2012-09-15
  • gwern said “since people are whining about the MLP-fics that LW is ruined, ruined, while I think it’s a temporary spurt exhausting a limited reservoir of such posts. this includes both Article and Discussion, but obviously not any comments anywhere.on 2012-09-15
  • Emanuel Rylke estimated 80% on 2012-09-16
  • quicklystarfish estimated 75% on 2012-09-27
  • Michael Dickens estimated 80% on 2013-01-21
  • Emanuel Rylke   judged this prediction right on 2013-02-01.
  • Emanuel Rylke said “I’ve counted exactly zero MLP-related posts in both main and discussion.on 2013-02-01
  • gwern said “me tooon 2013-02-01
  • gwern said “Khoth thinks http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/gby/the_friendship_is_witchcraft_expectation_test/ might count as MLP-related. eh.on 2013-02-01
  • ehareifelnakes said “Help me choose my dress!!on 2013-04-05
  • ethaneshaw said “Help me choose my dress!!on 2013-04-05
  • ehareifelnakes said “When to start wedding dress shoppingon 2013-04-10
  • ethaneshaw said “When to start wedding dress shoppingon 2013-04-10
  • ethaneshaw said “Help me choose my dress!!on 2013-04-11
  • ehareifelnakes said “Am I the only one who doesn’t want a White Dress?on 2013-04-12
  • ethaneshaw said “Am I the only one who doesn’t want a White Dress?on 2013-04-12
  • ehareifelnakes said “<br><br><a href="http://tiffany76.webs.com"> blog </a><br><br><a href="http://tiffany76.webs.com"> </a><br><br><a href="http://tiffany76.webs.com"> About blog </a>on 2016-01-05
  • ehareifelnakes said “<br><br><a href="http://tiffany76.webs.com"> blog </a><br><br><a href="http://tiffany76.webs.com"> </a><br><br><a href="http://tiffany76.webs.com"> About blog </a>on 2016-01-05
  • ehareifelnakes said “<br><br><a href="http://tiffany76.webs.com"> blog </a><br><br><a href=“http://tiffany76.webs.com”on 2016-01-05