By the end of tomorrow (October 12th) Morendil will post part two of his LessWrong article on forecasting.

Created by Pablo Stafforini on 2012-10-11; known on 2012-10-13; judged right by Pablo Stafforini on 2012-10-12.

• Pablo Stafforini estimated 35% on 2012-10-11
• Pablo Stafforini said “Context: http://lesswrong.com/lw/eup/raising_the_forecasting_waterline_part_1/7m4n” on 2012-10-11
• Pablo Stafforini  judged this prediction right on 2012-10-12.

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