Man will travel to Mars by 2030.

Created by jesselevine on 2015-04-13; known on 2030-01-01

• jesselevine estimated 90% on 2015-04-13
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2015-04-13
• JoshuaZ estimated 25% and said “Typo. ” on 2015-04-13
• JoshuaZ said “See also http://predictionbook.com/predictions/1515 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/4460 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/1892 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/1522 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/1512 ” on 2015-04-13
• Chri estimated 5% on 2015-04-13
• Unknowns estimated 15% on 2015-04-13
• EloiseRosen estimated 70% on 2015-04-13
• RoryS estimated 40% on 2015-04-13
• RandomThinker estimated 25% and said “Only 15 years away.” on 2015-04-15
• NathanMcKnight estimated 35% on 2015-04-16
• aoeu estimated 85% on 2015-04-19
• OisinMoran estimated 87% on 2015-04-30
• JoshuaZ said “See http://predictionbook.com/predictions/127032 for 2035” on 2015-08-06
• JoshuaZ estimated 22% on 2016-01-14
• JoshuaZ said “Another related prediction http://predictionbook.com/predictions/176755” on 2016-01-14
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 10% and said “Odds are not good, unless someone develops a nuclear rocket or orbiting propellant depots.” on 2016-01-14
• PseudonymousUser estimated 25% and said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_mission_to_Mars#” on 2016-01-17
• PseudonymousUser said “Sorry, Predictionbook is truncating my link… The link above is followed by “/File:Mars_close_appr.png”” on 2016-01-17
• themusicgod1 estimated 58% on 2016-04-30
• aoeu said “First opportunity to land BFR with cargo on Mars is 2022, followed by BFR crew and cargo missions to Mars in 2024. https://twitter.com/SpaceX/status/913633894615760896 https://youtu.be/S5V7R_se1Xc” on 2017-09-29
• pranomostro estimated 55% on 2018-12-08
• Baeboo estimated 50% on 2018-12-12
• amadeu estimated 30% on 2019-04-07
• OisinMoran estimated 50% and said “Time is ticking” on 2022-03-29
• PseudonymousUser estimated 12% on 2022-03-29