The year 2038 problem will be more interesting than y2k

Created by Adam on 2008-07-18; known on 2038-07-18; judged unknown by anonym on 2009-11-07.

  • Adam estimated 80% on 2008-07-18
  • Glenn estimated 90% on 2008-07-18
  • Matt estimated 10% on 2008-07-18
  • anonym  judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-17.
  • anonym  judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-17.
  • anonym estimated 98% on 2009-10-17
  • atrus  judged this prediction wrong on 2009-11-02.
  • atrus said “I don’t think this will all that much of a problem, we will be using higher bit numbers by then.on 2009-11-02
  • anonym  judged this prediction unknown on 2009-11-07.
  • anonym said “atrus: this can’t be known yet, so shouldn’t be judged right or wrong.on 2009-11-07
  • gwern estimated 10% and said “doubt it; the 64-bit switch solves this automatically, and much of the worst software was improved for y2k.on 2010-07-29

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