At least one US Presidential candidate who is major enough to appear in one of the major Presidential debates will mention the growth of AI sometime before the Presidential election.

Created by FractalHeretic on 2015-04-18; known on 2016-11-08; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2016-12-30.

• FractalHeretic estimated 90% on 2015-04-18
• JoshuaZ estimated 25% on 2015-04-18
• JoshuaZ said “http://www.reddit.com/r/singularity/comments/32r4sx/how_much_longer_until_we_see_proof_of_the_coming/cqexq53 context. See also http://predictionbook.com/predictions/91097” on 2015-04-18
• JoshuaZ said “Note, FractalHeretic and I have a $15 bet. ” on 2015-04-18
• aoeu estimated 75% on 2015-04-19
• RoryS estimated 40% on 2015-04-19
• rebellionkid estimated 30% on 2015-04-21
• jesselevine said “Mentioning the growth of AI is extremely broad. They could say something about Google’s self-driving cars and this would be right” on 2015-04-22
• Andrew MacFie said “yes, too broad” on 2015-04-24
• krazemon estimated 20% and said “I agree that this is too broad. When I first saw this I was thinking about Strong AI…” on 2015-04-30
• themusicgod1 estimated 46% on 2016-09-07
• two2thehead   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-12-30.