Unable to agree to any meaningful treaties on climate change, the UN security council will sanction several nuclear explosions in order to create a nuclear winter.

Created by scott.arbeitman on 2009-12-08; known on 2019-12-08

  • scott.arbeitman estimated 40% on 2009-12-08
  • Tom estimated 30% and said “scotttiiiiiieeeeeee :)on 2009-12-13
  • ChristianKl estimated 1% and said “There are much safer geoengeering schemes than nuclear explosions.on 2009-12-21
  • Matt estimated 1% and said “‘in order to create a nuclear winter’ is a burdensome detail – several sanctioned explosions for another purpose are not enough? (Hi Scott)on 2009-12-22
  • Jack estimated 0% on 2009-12-28
  • gwern estimated 99% and said “wowon 2010-08-31
  • JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2010-09-29
  • JoshuaZ said “Gwern you estimated 99% for. Did you mean 99% against? on 2011-06-16
  • gwern estimated 1% and said “oops, yes, I did.on 2011-06-17
  • Anubhav estimated 0% on 2011-10-12
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 0% on 2011-12-06
  • faws estimated 0% on 2012-01-04
  • themusicgod1 estimated 9% and said “2016 is going to be the hottest for awhile, thanks to a temporary bump from el nino. So the political impossibility of any other action gets a couple years. 2019 too soon.on 2016-06-14
  • Reactionaryhistorian estimated 0% on 2016-06-14
  • two2thehead estimated 1% and said “Nuclear powered geoengineering? Maybe. Nuclear explosions? Not going to happen.on 2016-06-14

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