Unable to agree to any meaningful treaties on climate change, the UN security council will sanction several nuclear explosions in order to create a nuclear winter.

Created by scott.arbeitman on 2009-12-08; known on 2019-12-08

• scott.arbeitman estimated 40% on 2009-12-08
• Tom estimated 30% and said “scotttiiiiiieeeeeee :)” on 2009-12-13
• ChristianKl estimated 1% and said “There are much safer geoengeering schemes than nuclear explosions.” on 2009-12-21
• Matt estimated 1% and said “‘in order to create a nuclear winter’ is a burdensome detail – several sanctioned explosions for another purpose are not enough? (Hi Scott)” on 2009-12-22
• Jack estimated 0% on 2009-12-28
• gwern estimated 99% and said “wow” on 2010-08-31
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2010-09-29
• JoshuaZ said “Gwern you estimated 99% for. Did you mean 99% against? ” on 2011-06-16
• gwern estimated 1% and said “oops, yes, I did.” on 2011-06-17
• Anubhav estimated 0% on 2011-10-12
• Jayson_Virissimo estimated 0% on 2011-12-06
• faws estimated 0% on 2012-01-04

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