Upcoming Predictions

Interest rates will be increased again in the next 4 months. ( 79% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Marz 3 months ago; known in 14 days.

r.org traffic will start to increase again in july 2010 ( 72% confidence )

Created by Frank about 1 month ago; known in 17 days.

Another beloved celebrity will die before the year is over ( 89% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by maskath@hotmail.com about 1 month ago; known in 21 days.

Collingwood will finish top 4 ( 100% confidence )

Created by Pie4Life about 1 month ago; known in about 1 month.

Richmond will win the 2010 AFL wooden spoon ( 100% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Pie4Life about 1 month ago; known in about 1 month.

Peter Garret will split from Labour to form another political party within the next six months. ( 98% confidence )

Created by d403 5 months ago; known in about 1 month.

Iowa State University will beat University of Iowa in football next season ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by tjross 4 months ago; known in about 1 month.

I predict Collingwood will win the AFL Grand final in 2010. ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by dusty.brouwer 2 months ago; known in about 1 month.

Dogs will win the AFL flag this year ( 85% confidence )

Created by mktg2010 4 months ago; known in about 1 month.

Fringe will be renewed for a third season ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by MrHen 5 months ago; known in about 1 month.

I am going to make love soon ( 75% confidence )

Created by misterkeithb 12 days ago; known in about 1 month.

2010 Grand Final will be Geelong vs. Western Bulldogs ( 75% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by harmonix 5 months ago; known in about 1 month.

Blackburn will win the Eastern Footy League premiership ( 70% confidence )

Created by chrisknows 3 months ago; known in 2 months.

There will be a transport (train, air, boat etc) accident killing more than 1000 people before 14 october 2010. ( 14% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Arenamontanus 9 months ago; known in 2 months.

I will be in Japan on October 31, 2010. ( 90% confidence )

Created by nafai24 6 months ago; known in 3 months.

Iran’s current regime will continue it’s nuclear program — or be overthrown — rather than accept the current (Oct 2009) offer to have nuclear materials processed elsewhere (such as Russia). ( 88% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by robo45h 8 months ago; known in 3 months.

Radiopaedia’s visitor traffic will reach 100K/month before Sept 2010 ( 52% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Frank 10 months ago; known in 3 months.

Nicole Richie for a third baby in 2010 ( 80% confidence )

Created by Holly 5 months ago; known in 4 months.

Kelly Slater will win his 10th world title in 2010 ( 49% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by joloughlin about 1 year ago; known in 4 months.

The concept car will cost over $100,000… ( 100% confidence )

Created by melissasajeh 3 months ago; known in 4 months.

The price of gold will exceed $1300 USD / oz at some point in the next 6 months. ( 68% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Matt Newport about 1 month ago; known in 4 months.

The share price of gold is going to increase by 5% by the end of 2010. ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Marz 4 months ago; known in 5 months.

Arena Pharmaceuticals’ anti-obesity drug Lorcaserin will be FDA-approved by December 31, 2010. ( 70% confidence )

Created by dakyne 2 months ago; known in 5 months.

The spot price of silver will be $20/ounce or higher on December 31, 2010. ( 75% confidence )

Created by dakyne 2 months ago; known in 5 months.

California will receive a bailout from the Federal government in 2010. ( 27% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by dakyne 2 months ago; known in 5 months.

Bank of England Base rate will be 1% or less on 31 December 2010 ( 67% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by koenfucius 8 days ago; known in 5 months.

The spot price of gold will be $1200/ounce or above on December 31, 2010. ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by dakyne 7 months ago; known in 5 months.

Muse will tour Australia again by the end of the year ( 75% confidence )

Created by Chris31 4 months ago; known in 5 months.

There will be another major natural disaster before the years over ( 65% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by tjross 4 months ago; known in 5 months.

I will sign up for cryonics by December 31st 2010 ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Larks 7 days ago; known in 5 months.

My Sony VAIO laptop will still be functional enough to watch/listen to streamed YouTube videos at the end of 2010, with no part upgrades costing > $15. ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by olimay 8 months ago; known in 5 months.

My parents will have continuous ownership of the house at 4400 Sayre Drive from time of this posting (2009-11-14) to 2010-12-31 ( 80% confidence )

Created by olimay 8 months ago; known in 5 months.

All my immediate family members will be either alive or have had their brains successfully cryopreserved at the beginning of 2011. ( 88% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by olimay 8 months ago; known in 5 months.

I will still have my current job (as of Oct., 2009) at the end of 2010. ( 60% confidence )

Created by anonym 9 months ago; known in 5 months.

I will still live in the SF bay area in 2011. ( 95% confidence )

Created by anonym 9 months ago; known in 5 months.

Will this prediction have an average prediction of less than 50%? (The only way to be right is if more people predict the opposite of you) ( 47% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by JFE 26 days ago; known in 5 months.

By January 1, 2011 one or more of the following will happen (1) Israel will launch a military attack against Iran, (2) The U.S. will launch a military attack against Iran or (3) a significant number of countries will ban the sale of gasoline to Iran. ( 39% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by JamesMiller 9 months ago; known in 5 months.

I will still identify as Theist in a year ( 88% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by MrHen 5 months ago; known in 5 months.

Julia Gillard will win the next federal election. ( 70% confidence )

Created by Frank about 1 month ago; known in 5 months.

I will end up working at RMH before the end of 2010 ( 63% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Frank 10 months ago; known in 5 months.

The Dow will close under 8,000 (in Oct. 2009 dollars) before Dec. 31st, 2010. ( 67% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by tommccabe 9 months ago; known in 5 months.

If Australia win the Ashes back, Ricky ponting will retire from all forms of the game. ( 89% confidence )

Created by d403 5 months ago; known in 6 months.

Gareth Pugh will take over at McQueen. ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by GlobalWeeklyFashionGuide 4 months ago; known in 7 months.

Tavi is actually JT Leroy’s newest incarnation. ( 42% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by GlobalWeeklyFashionGuide 4 months ago; known in 7 months.

I will make Wellesley ( 20% confidence )

Created by eringobraugh 15 days ago; known in 8 months.

Quiksilver shares will double inside 30 months ( 60% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by Andrew about 1 year ago; known in 8 months.

The Hon Tony Abbott MHR will never be the PM ( 100% confidence )

Created by thechadisgreat 5 months ago; known in 8 months.

As long as The Hon Tony Abbott MHR is the leader of Liberal Party of Australia, the party will never win an election. ( 97% confidence )

Created by mktg2010 4 months ago; known in 8 months.

Buffy the Vampire Slayer will make it to the Big Screen ( 36% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by TwitterPredicts about 1 year ago; known in 10 months.

Neither angelina joli nor brad pitt will die in the next 12 months ( 99% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Frank 3 months ago; known in 11 months.

i predict that grapes are fun ( 95% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by makemulababy 5 months ago; known in about 1 year.

At least one current member will drop out of the Euro. ( 60% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Matt Newport about 1 month ago; known in about 1 year.

Bill Murray will die in Ghostbusters 3 ( 85% confidence )

Created by sharidanbowman 5 months ago; known in about 1 year.

The Pirate Party will enter the Parliament of Berlin (Berliner Abgeordnetenhaus) in the 2011 election. ( 53% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by ChristianKl 9 months ago; known in about 1 year.

There will be an earthquake in California that results in at least 1000 human deaths before 2012. ( 2% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by anonym 9 months ago; known in about 1 year.

I will find a sci-fi author that I like as much as Iain M. Banks before 2012. ( 15% confidence )

Created by anonym 9 months ago; known in about 1 year.

Trike IT will have migrated to being a python shop ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Adam about 1 year ago; known in about 1 year.

Twitter will report profits for every quarter in 2011. ( 20% confidence )

Created by olimay 8 months ago; known in about 1 year.

Michael Jackson is still alive and hiding at Neverland. ( 53% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by sharidanbowman 5 months ago; known in about 1 year.

Barack Obama will get reelected in two years (not individual opinion) ( 66% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by tjross 4 months ago; known in over 2 years.

Inflation in US will be higher that 7% by 2012 ( 51% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by borisbrev 8 months ago; known in over 2 years.

I will finish my PhD degree within the next three years. ( 88% confidence )

Created by Benthamite 7 months ago; known in over 2 years.

USA will be out of the Middle East by the end of 2012 ( 31% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by tjross 4 months ago; known in over 2 years.

Absolutely nothing apocalyptic will happen in the year 2012. ( 100% confidence )

Created by thephilosiraptor 8 months ago; known in over 2 years.

There will be a good bed mover on the market (Gzunda type product) for $2,000 in 5 years time (June 2013). ( 95% confidence )

Created by Lina over 2 years ago; known in over 2 years.

A good hospital bed mover will be selling in Australia by 2013 ( 78% confidence )

Created by Andrew over 2 years ago; known in over 2 years.

Config (short for configuration) will appear in the Merriam Webster dictionary as proper word ( 39% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by scott.arbeitman about 1 year ago; known in over 3 years.

Monica will live in a different zipcode in 2014. ( 85% confidence )

Created by freyley 9 months ago; known in over 4 years.

If the Public Option passes, it will cost at least $400/month for the 25-35 bracket to join it by a year after it opens. ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by freyley 9 months ago; known in over 4 years.

If the Democratic Health Reform plan passes, private, group insurance premiums will increase more than 30% by 2015. ( 70% confidence )

Created by freyley 9 months ago; known in over 5 years.

The spot price of NYMEX crude oil will be $100/barrel or higher on December 31, 2015. ( 90% confidence )

Created by dakyne 2 months ago; known in over 5 years.

One year after he leaves or is forced to leave his position as the U.S. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner will be a full-time employee of Goldman Sacks. ( 13% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by JamesMiller 9 months ago; known in over 6 years.

Another company will come out with a game console next generation thats not Microsoft, Sony, or Nintendo. ( 43% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Houshalter about 1 month ago; known in over 6 years.

One year after he leaves or is forced to leave his position as the U.S. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner will be a full-time employee of a financial institution that has over $10 billion in assets. ( 71% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by JamesMiller 9 months ago; known in over 7 years.

I will not be diagnosed with cancer before the age of 45. ( 97% confidence )

Created by anonym 9 months ago; known in over 8 years.

The first exaflop performance supercomputer will be online before July 2019. ( 70% confidence )

Created by Arenamontanus 9 months ago; known in over 8 years.

Iran’s current regime will be collapse within the next ten years. ( 67% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by kess3r 9 months ago; known in over 9 years.

Unable to agree to any meaningful treaties on climate change, the UN security council will sanction several nuclear explosions in order to create a nuclear winter. ( 14% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by scott.arbeitman 7 months ago; known in over 9 years.

There will be a data loss incident (theft, accidental release, crash etc.) involving one billion personal records before 2019. ( 45% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Arenamontanus 9 months ago; known in over 9 years.

I will still be alive in 2020. ( 95% confidence )

Created by anonym 9 months ago; known in over 9 years.

The Indian economy will surpass the USA economy by 2020 ( 31% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by ravneetrox 2 months ago; known in over 9 years.

United States will invade Australia and take over ( 25% confidence; 8 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by tjross 4 months ago; known in over 10 years.

Some modes of the Large Hadron collider will never be reached and by 2025 the scientific community will debate in a peer reviewed physics journal with >median impact that this is due to the anthropic principle combined with the danger of those modes. ( 19% confidence; 7 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Jennifer 9 months ago; known in over 14 years.

Generic molecular assemblers won’t be developed within the next 20 years. By “generic” I mean they can build macroscopic (≥ 10 mm³) objects for any reasonable function, and by “molecular” meaning 50%+ of chemical bonds don’t come from bulk chemistry. ( 73% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by bogdanb 9 months ago; known in over 19 years.

Bin Laden and USA are working together ( 26% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by ravneetrox 2 months ago; known in over 19 years.

In 2060 there will be a human alive with age 140 or older. ( 35% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by ChristianKl 9 months ago; known in over 50 years.

In 2070 there will be a human alive with age 150 or older. ( 37% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by ChristianKl 9 months ago; known in over 60 years.

Homo sapiens will be near or fully extinct by 2100. ( 51% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Rain 8 months ago; known in over 89 years.

I will still be alive in 2200, meaning that the software that I am — or some modification of it — will still be running then. ( 2% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by anonym 9 months ago; known in over 189 years.

Some people living today (October 17th, 2009) will also be alive on October 17th, 3009. ( 33% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by TheScholar 9 months ago; known in over 999 years.

Within the next 1000 years we will discover that the singularity already happened a very long time ago and that we are the AIs that resulted from it. ( 9% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by TheScholar 9 months ago; known in over 999 years.