Upcoming Predictions
-
My bike will still be at The Sheffield. ( 61% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Adam Zerner 7 days ago; known in about 5 hours.
-
I will successfully arrive at my destination when travelling on 14/10/16 ( 76% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by splorridge 11 days ago; known in about 14 hours.
-
Neumann Space will be extremely successful (I'll be able to retire) ( 15% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by taryneast on 2015-10-15; known in about 16 hours.
-
Neumann Space will be a resounding disaster (I'll lose a lot of money) ( 5% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by taryneast on 2015-10-15; known in about 16 hours.
-
Neumann Space will be partially successful (I'll make back the money I put in) ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by taryneast on 2015-10-15; known in about 16 hours.
-
Neumann Space will be moderately successful (I'll be able to pay off my mortgage) ( 27% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by taryneast on 2015-10-15; known in about 16 hours.
-
Neumann Space will be moderate failure (I'll make no money and lose my investment) ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by taryneast on 2015-10-15; known in about 16 hours.
-
Clojure becomes dominant JVM language on GitHub ( 10% confidence; 10 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Jach on 2011-08-18; known in 1 day.
-
Tico 1. Deliver on time 80% 2. Be well received 70% https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/mobvoi/ticwatch-2-the-most-interactive-smartwatch/description ( 60% confidence )
Created by Shekerev on 2016-08-06; known in 1 day.
-
I will pass my exams ( 80% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Shekerev on 2016-07-21; known in 1 day.
-
I will be admitted to the Envision Conference at Princeton this year ( 43% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by btrettel about 7 hours ago; known in 2 days.
-
Conditional on Gary Johnson getting 15% in 5 national polls, the Commission on Presidential Debates will invite him for a debate with Trump and Hillary. ( 57% confidence; 6 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by brunoparga on 2016-07-24; known in 4 days.
-
Bharat will grow at least 8-8.5% in real GDP terms from 1 April 2015 to 31 March 2016(FY16). —NITI Aayog vice chairman Arvind Panagariya ( 100% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-11-03; known in 5 days.
-
J will get 50 catches of 4 balls in the next six months. ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by splorridge on 2016-04-25; known in 10 days.
-
My next two attempts to set 5-rep PRs on the bench press will both be successful. ( 70% confidence )
Created by Michael Dickens 13 days ago; known in 15 days.
-
There will be no more juvenile seagulls around the garden by end of October ( 95% confidence )
Created by blackRust on 2016-07-24; known in 16 days.
-
I'll conduct a training on nonviolent communication for 6+ people in October 2016 ( 90% confidence )
Created by berekuk 15 days ago; known in 17 days.
-
The US presidential debates of 2016 will feature a three-way debate between a Democrat, a Republican, and a Libertarian Party candidate. ( 18% confidence; 13 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by NathanMcKnight on 2012-09-02; known in 17 days.
-
[LoL Worlds] At least one NA team makes it out of groups. ( 85% confidence )
Created by PlacidPlatypus 8 days ago; known in 17 days.
-
[LoL Worlds] Albus NOX Luna makes it out of groups ( 30% confidence )
Created by PlacidPlatypus 8 days ago; known in 17 days.
-
[LoL Worlds] Korean team wins ( 50% confidence )
Created by PlacidPlatypus 8 days ago; known in 17 days.
-
[LoL Worlds] Chinese team wins ( 16% confidence )
Created by PlacidPlatypus 8 days ago; known in 17 days.
-
[LoL Worlds] NA team wins ( 18% confidence )
Created by PlacidPlatypus 8 days ago; known in 17 days.
-
Bernie Sanders endorses Hillary Clinton for President ( 76% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by PlacidPlatypus on 2016-06-08; known in 17 days; judged right by splorridge on 2016-07-28.
-
S born before 1st November ( 40% confidence )
Created by penten 2 days ago; known in 17 days.
-
In the 2016 US presidential election, dealing with the NSA etc. will not be ignored and will be a serious debate issue, on par with the economy or abortion. ( 39% confidence; 12 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by ygert on 2013-09-25; known in 18 days.
-
Hillary Clinton will run for president and be nominated by the Democrats and win the election in 2016. ( 35% confidence; 12 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by gwern on 2012-09-07; known in 19 days.
-
“All of the major candidates for the 2016 presidential election will have had samples of their DNA taken and analyzed (perhaps without the candidates’ permission.) The results of the analysis for each candidate will be widely disseminated and will influen ( 3% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by gwern on 2010-08-21; known in 20 days.
-
Rand Paul will win the presidential election. He will go against the NSA, surveillance, drone strikes… all the “hot issues” for the new generation. Thousands of people will register as Republicans and vote for him to fight for a free Internet. ( 3% confidence; 21 wagers; 11 comments )
Created by tinatoys on 2013-08-03; known in 23 days.
-
There will be at least 3 candidates for U.S. President polling at 10%+ on the eve of the 2016 elections. ( 32% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by sflicht on 2015-12-19; known in 24 days.
-
Donald Trump will shave his head any time before the general election (no GOP nomination needed) ( 4% confidence; 8 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by bobpage on 2016-02-01; known in 24 days.
-
Trump wins the presidential election 2016 ( 37% confidence; 18 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by qznc on 2016-07-04; known in 24 days.
-
Hillary Clinton wins the presidential election 2016 ( 66% confidence; 22 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by qznc on 2016-07-04; known in 24 days.
-
The winner of the 2016 presidential election will recieve over 400 EVs ( 7% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by elephantower on 2016-08-10; known in 24 days.
-
Hillary Clinton will win Utah ( 18% confidence; 7 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by predictit on 2016-08-10; known in 24 days.
-
Hillary Clinton wins Georgia ( 35% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by predictit on 2016-08-10; known in 24 days.
-
The Republicans win the 2016 Florida senate race ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by predictit on 2016-08-10; known in 24 days.
-
Pat McCrory will be re-elected governor ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by predictit on 2016-08-11; known in 24 days.
-
Burr (R-NC) will be re-elected to the senate ( 55% confidence )
Created by predictit on 2016-08-11; known in 24 days.
-
Hillary wins South Carolina ( 24% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by predictit on 2016-08-11; known in 24 days.
-
Hillary Clinton will win the United States' Presidential race ( 66% confidence; 13 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by BigRaims on 2016-08-16; known in 24 days.
-
The GOP will win under 370 electoral votes in the 2016 presidential election ( 91% confidence; 4 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by elephantower on 2016-07-13; known in 24 days.
-
Democrats will win 370+ electoral votes in the 2016 presidential election. ( 25% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by predictit on 2016-07-13; known in 24 days.
-
A third party candidate will not participate in a presidential debate ( 79% confidence; 7 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by predictit on 2016-07-13; known in 24 days.
-
In the US, a federal government shut-down will occur before the next presidential election. ( 40% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2014-11-05; known in 24 days.
-
Undivided government under the Republicans after 2016 ( 16% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by predictit on 2016-07-14; known in 24 days.
-
The GOP will keep the senate in 2017 ( 51% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by predictit on 2016-07-14; known in 24 days.
-
McCain wins re-election in 2016 ( 74% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by predictit on 2016-07-14; known in 24 days.
-
Democrats win the IN senate seat ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by predictit on 2016-07-14; known in 24 days.
-
Democrats win undivided control of government in 2016 ( 10% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by predictit on 2016-07-14; known in 24 days.
-
Mia Love will be re-elected to the House of Representatives from Utah's 4th district ( 67% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by predictit on 2016-07-14; known in 24 days.
-
Jim Justice will win the WV governor race in 2016 ( 67% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by predictit on 2016-07-14; known in 24 days.
-
hillary clinton wins the US presidential race ( 69% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jal278 on 2016-08-23; known in 24 days.
-
hilary clinton will not be elected ( 46% confidence; 7 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by marcDouglas on 2015-06-25; known in 24 days.
-
Blunt (R-MO) will win re-election to the US Senate ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by predictit on 2016-08-02; known in 24 days.
-
Republicans win between 231 and 240 house seats in 2016 ( 48% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by elephantower on 2016-08-02; known in 24 days.
-
Republicans win between 218 and 230 house seats in 2016 ( 26% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by predictit on 2016-08-02; known in 24 days.
-
The Democratic Party wins NC in the 2016 presidential election ( 49% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by predictit on 2016-08-03; known in 24 days.
-
Hillary will win the presidency ( 66% confidence; 7 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by nelson.horsley@gmail.com 27 days ago; known in 24 days.
-
At least one US Presidential candidate who is major enough to appear in one of the major Presidential debates will mention the growth of AI sometime before the Presidential election. ( 46% confidence; 7 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by FractalHeretic on 2015-04-18; known in 24 days.
-
Katie McGinty will be elected to the Senate ( 49% confidence; 4 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by predictit on 2016-07-20; known in 24 days.
-
The Democrats will win the Nevada senate race ( 61% confidence; 2 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by predictit on 2016-08-05; known in 24 days.
-
Gary Johnson will poll above 15% and be included in the 2016 presidential debates. ( 15% confidence; 12 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Paul.David.Carr on 2016-06-03; known in 24 days.
-
Hillary Clinton will win the U.S. general election on November 8, 2016. ( 82% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by ren on 2016-03-24; known in 25 days; judged unknown by callum1002 on 2016-03-24.
-
The Republican Party wins AZ in the 2016 presidential election ( 52% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by predictit on 2016-08-03; known in 25 days.
-
Ben Carson will be the next President-elect ( 0% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by bobpage on 2016-01-28; known in 25 days.
-
No 2016 Presidential candidate receives a majority of Electoral votes ( 12% confidence; 10 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by bobpage on 2016-01-30; known in 25 days.
-
Michael Bloomberg will be the next President-elect ( 2% confidence; 9 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by bobpage on 2016-01-24; known in 25 days.
-
I will move house again in the next year ( 35% confidence )
Created by Josh Holland on 2015-11-09; known in 25 days.
-
Intrade's prediction will reflect Nate Silver's prediction (within 1.0% sometime during election day) in the 2016 presidential election. ( 66% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Cy Fleming on 2012-12-11; known in 25 days.
-
Gary Johnson will poll above 15% in five national polls. ( 19% confidence; 7 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by brunoparga on 2016-07-24; known in 25 days.
-
Hillary Clinton will be the next president elect. ( 62% confidence; 13 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by jesselevine on 2015-04-26; known in 25 days.
-
Scott Adams – I predict Trump gets at least 65% of the votes in the general election. ( 4% confidence; 19 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by halfwit on 2015-11-03; known in 25 days.
-
Hillary Clinton wins all 112 electoral votes of the Northeast (New England, NY, NJ, DE, PA, MD, DC). ( 40% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by brunoparga on 2016-09-08; known in 25 days.
-
The next president elect will be a member of the democratic party. ( 60% confidence; 7 wagers )
Created by jesselevine on 2015-04-09; known in 25 days.
-
Hillary Clinton wins election. ( 70% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by matuschoma on 2016-07-30; known in 25 days.
-
Hillary Clinton will be elected president. ( 61% confidence; 17 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by taylorcp on 2016-01-02; known in 25 days.
-
Michael Bloomberg wins the 2016 presidential election. ( 1% confidence; 13 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by jesselevine on 2016-02-21; known in 25 days; judged unknown by JoshuaZ on 2016-03-08.
-
Donald Trump to win the US Presidential election with at least 302 electoral votes. ( 22% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2016-06-05; known in 25 days.
-
Hilary Clinton as next US President ( 54% confidence; 13 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by LawrenceNewport on 2016-06-07; known in 25 days.
-
The Libertarian Party presidential candidate will get less than 2.4% of the popular vote in New Hampshire. ( 37% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by brunoparga on 2016-04-09; known in 25 days.
-
Contingent on him being nominated for President by the GOP, Rand Paul will be elected President of the United States in the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election. ( 24% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by Faceh on 2015-01-25; known in 25 days.
-
Hillary Clinton will not become the next president of the USA ( 70% confidence; 12 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by truerepublican on 2014-10-18; known in 25 days.
-
Jeb Bush will not be elected President of the United States. ( 75% confidence; 21 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by James Babcock on 2015-06-24; known in 25 days.
-
Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump will be the next elected President ( 90% confidence; 24 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by bobpage on 2016-06-01; known in 26 days.
-
Gary Johnson will be the next elected President ( 2% confidence; 9 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by bobpage on 2016-06-14; known in 26 days.
-
California will vote “yes” on Proposition 64 in the 2016 elections, legalizing marijuana. ( 89% confidence )
Created by jesselevine on 2016-06-29; known in 26 days.
-
Hillary Clinton will win the presidential election ( 71% confidence; 9 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by ytarko on 2016-09-01; known in 26 days.
-
Jeb Bush to be next President elect of the US. ( 15% confidence; 13 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-06-19; known in 26 days.
-
Hillary next US president ( 64% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by penten 16 days ago; known in 26 days.
-
John Kasich will be the next President of the United States. ( 6% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-04-26; known in 26 days.
-
Exactly three candidates will get greater than 10% of the popular vote in the 2016 U.S. presidential election. ( 19% confidence; 7 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by HonoreDB on 2016-02-29; known in 26 days.
-
Exactly two candidates will get greater than 10% of the popular vote in the 2016 U.S. presidential election. ( 74% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by HonoreDB on 2016-02-29; known in 26 days.
-
The US economy will be “worse” in 2016 than in 2012 (i.e. both R and D Presidential candidates will say the economy is worse) ( 25% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Jach on 2012-11-07; known in 26 days.
-
Democrats to gain control of the US Senate in the 2016 elections. ( 60% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2014-12-04; known in 26 days.
-
Hillary Clinton beats Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election. ( 69% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by robirahman on 2016-07-30; known in 26 days.
-
In the 2016 election, a majority of Hispanic voters (as determined by exit polls) will vote for the Republican candidate. ( 18% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-04-26; known in 26 days.
-
The Democratic candidate takes North Carolina in 2016. ( 46% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by NathanMcKnight on 2012-11-09; known in 26 days.
-
The Democratic candidate takes Georgia in 2016 ( 28% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by NathanMcKnight on 2012-11-09; known in 26 days.
-
The Libertarian Party presidential candidate will get less than 2% of the national popular vote in November. ( 41% confidence; 9 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by brunoparga on 2016-04-09; known in 26 days.
