I will listen to the entire lecture series Practicing Mindfulness: An Introduction to Meditation by Mark W. Muesse within the next 3 weeks. ( 55% confidence )

Created by Jayson Virissimo 27 days ago; known 6 days ago.

I won’t touch my psp vita until May…… ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by happyday on 2012-04-04; known 17 days ago.

My $300 fine will get waived after SDRO review ( 53% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by williamycai on 2012-03-24; known 17 days ago.

Michael Green did not have any explosives on him. ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by RobFisher 25 days ago; known 20 days ago.

Assuming the Eurozone capital markets remain frozen for several months, the euro will collapse. – Paraphrasing Krugman ( 53% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by fork on 2011-11-21; known 21 days ago.

I predict that if I logout from my account on this website, I will be unable to login again. A notification in red will appear that says “Couldn’t log you in as…” ( 100% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Selector_3 24 days ago; known 23 days ago.

The Pittsburgh Penguins will defeat the Philadelphia Flyers in 7 games in the 2012 Stanley Cup Playoffs ( 13% confidence )

Created by clfst17 on 2012-04-19; known 27 days ago.

The ROK-U.S. Combined Forces Command will be dissolved on schedule. ( 72% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2011-09-25; known on 2012-04-17.

The Skritter app will have launched in the app store with a subscription payment model. ( 75% confidence )

Created by gsaines on 2012-03-11; known on 2012-04-15.

i think that i will wake up really early tomorrow morning ( 68% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Amaleh on 2012-04-02; known on 2012-04-03.

Environmental Sustainability will become a core subject untill next year. ( 28% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by puya on 2011-04-17; known on 2012-03-30.

I will 1cc PCB Easy with 2 starting lives before 50 full runs (HGR) ( 85% confidence )

Created by meisnewbie on 2012-01-24; known on 2012-03-24.

Iphone 5 shape is same as Iphone 4, the onlything different is the antenna will change a bit! ( 33% confidence; 13 wagers; 9 comments )

Created by nam2001 on 2011-03-02; known on 2012-03-16.

Steve R. and I will have produced at least one dubstep song within the next six months. ( 54% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Will Newsome on 2011-09-14; known on 2012-03-14.

I predict that I will invest at least 15% of my earnings in the next 4 months. ( 63% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Artis on 2011-11-07; known on 2012-03-07.

I will have gone to the gym 3 times by February 12, 2012. ( 39% confidence )

Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-02-06; known on 2012-02-12.

I will have spent 10 hours emailing press outlets regarding TextMotivate.com by February 12, 2012. ( 40% confidence )

Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-02-06; known on 2012-02-12.

I will have reached a rating of at least 1870 ELO on Chess Tempo (http://chesstempo.com/chess-statistics/jpulgarin) by Fberuary 12, 2012. ( 62% confidence )

Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-02-06; known on 2012-02-12.

I will have done at least 10 hours of contract work by February 12, 2012. ( 52% confidence )

Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-02-06; known on 2012-02-12.

I will have read, or have decided it wasn’t worth reading "The Lean Startup” by February 12, 2012. ( 56% confidence )

Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-02-06; known on 2012-02-12.

‘I think Apple’s Macintosh Pro line of computers is dead.’ —Robert X Cringely ( 50% confidence; 3 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-08-23; known on 2012-02-01.

A nexus phone will be produced by Motorola, with vanilla ice cream sandwich before February 2012 ( 18% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by noh8plz on 2011-08-24; known on 2012-02-01.

I will abstain from sexual activity (porn, masturbation, orgasm) until January 31st, 2012. ( 45% confidence; 12 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Arkanj3l on 2011-10-20; known on 2012-01-31.

‘Apple’s Mac App Store does $1B in gross sales in first year’ —Brian Breslin ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-12-29; known on 2012-01-08.

Kando Dental Supplies (http://kandodental.com.au/) will have free shipping in March. ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by scott.arbeitman on 2011-12-06; known on 2012-01-03.

‘3D Systems will launch a 3D printing service for consumers in 2011.’ —Joris Peels ( 40% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-16; known on 2012-01-01.

‘A designer will have revenues of over one million US dollars with a single 3D printed product in 2011.’ —Joris Peels ( 30% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-16; known on 2012-01-01.

‘Makerbot will sell more than 10,000 3D printers in 2011.’ —Joris Peels ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-16; known on 2012-01-01.

‘Groupon goes on a buying binge & hits $3B in gross sales.’ in 2011 —Brian Breslin ( 40% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-12-29; known on 2012-01-01.

‘the United States has a historically hot summer 2011.’ —orthonormal ( 15% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-06; known on 2012-01-01.

‘Newspapers in Australia will be found to be boosting subscription numbers by a significant amount to swindle advertisers, again. (40%)’ —luminosity ( 30% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-10; known on 2012-01-01.

The price of U.S. housing will fall in real terms. —Costanza ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-07; known on 2012-01-01.

‘Both Stratasys and Objet will release $5000 desktop 3D printers at Euromold 2011.’ —Joris Peels ( 20% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-16; known on 2012-01-01.

’The market for Internet set-top boxes like Google TV and Apple TV will continue to be chaotic throughout 2011, with no single device taking a decisive market share lead. The big winners will be online services like Netflix, Hulu, and Pandora that work wi ( 75% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-02-14; known on 2012-01-01.

‘However, Android’s gains will mostly be at the low end of the market; the iPhone will continue to outsell any single Android smartphone model by a wide margin.’ —FtT ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-02-14; known on 2012-01-01.

“Copyright and patent issues will continue to be stalemated in Congress, with no major legislation on either subject.” —FfT ( 75% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-02-13; known on 2012-01-01.

‘3D printed products will win at least two Red Dot Design Awards in 2011’ —Joris Peels ( 18% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-16; known on 2012-01-01.

Carriers ‘will institute charges based on usage’ in 2011 —Chris O’Brien ( 20% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-12-26; known on 2012-01-01.

‘Silicon Valley jobs will remain flat’ in 2011 —Chris O’Brien ( 60% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-12-26; known on 2012-01-01.

‘China will have more tech IPOs than the U.S.’ in 2011 —Chris O’Brien ( 73% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-12-26; known on 2012-01-01.

“Holden will be the first car-maker to close its Australian factories during the current recession.” —Clive Matthew-Wilson ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-09; known on 2012-01-01.

Australia will not have car factories by the end of the current recession. —Clive Matthew-Wilson ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-09; known on 2012-01-01.

“By 2012 scientists will not have developed an explanation for how images on the Shroud of Turin came to be on the cloth -an explanation that satisfies all of the physical and chemical properties of the images and does not violate basic laws of physics.” ( 37% confidence; 3 wagers; 9 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known on 2012-01-01.

‘Continuing riots in major European cities over the imposition of austerity measures: 80%.’ —Skatche ( 88% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-10; known on 2012-01-01.