Statistics
| Predicted Certainty | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Certainty | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 0% | |
| Sample Size | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Predictions by Danni
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Will Alyssa become a billionaire with her new business plan? ( 70% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by mastrinc14 5 months ago; known 5 months ago.
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Paul Manoukian will get facebook. ( 64% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by kassey 5 months ago; known 2 months ago; judged wrong by Danni 2 months ago.
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The US economy will collapse resulting in massive inflation prior to the end of 2010. ( 30% confidence; 21 wagers; 13 comments )
Created by max 11 months ago; known in 3 months; judged unknown by gwern 11 days ago.
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The Socceroos will make it through the first round of the World Cup. ( 59% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by predicted 5 months ago; known 2 months ago; judged wrong by Danni 2 months ago.
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Michael Jackson is still alive and hiding at Neverland. ( 43% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by sharidanbowman 7 months ago; known in about 1 year.
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Purple eye shadow is going to be HOT this season! ( 70% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by GlobalWeeklyFashionGuide 5 months ago; known 2 months ago; judged right by melissasajeh 4 months ago.
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The Movie Dear John will be this years The Notebook ( 73% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by maash 6 months ago; known about 1 month ago; judged wrong by poke 4 months ago.