Predictions by Jennifer

• Barack Obama will serve a second term as president of the United States continuous with his present term ( 69% confidence; 70 wagers; 16 comments )

  Created by MBlume on 2009-10-14; known on 2012-10-06; judged unknown by Anubhav on 2012-01-06.

• Michael Jackson is still alive and hiding at Neverland. ( 16% confidence; 14 wagers; 8 comments )

  Created by sharidanbowman on 2010-02-10; known on 2012-06-24.

• Inflation in US will be higher that 7% by 2012 ( 39% confidence; 11 wagers; 1 comment )

  Created by borisbrev on 2009-11-04; known on 2012-12-16.

• Bill Murray will die in Ghostbusters 3 ( 45% confidence; 6 wagers; 5 comments )

  Created by sharidanbowman on 2010-02-10; known on 2012-12-30.

• “sales of touch screen phones will rise from 200,000 in 2006 to over 21 million in 2012” ( 74% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

  Created by gwern on 2010-09-27; known on 2013-01-01.

• General consensus among mathematicians that 2, 3, 5 and 7 are prime numbers will not change in the next year. ( 100% confidence; 26 wagers; 10 comments )

  Created by bogdanb on 2009-10-14; known on 2010-10-14; judged right by jasticE on 2010-10-14.

• The sun will not become a nova during this year. ( 100% confidence; 14 wagers; 2 comments )

  Created by bogdanb on 2009-10-14; known on 2010-10-14; judged right by gwern on 2010-10-14.

• We will not have all American combat troops out of Iraq by next October. ( 63% confidence; 6 wagers; 4 comments )

  Created by jes5199 on 2009-10-20; known on 2010-10-02; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-10-02.

• Some modes of the Large Hadron collider will never be reached and by 2025 the scientific community will debate in a peer reviewed physics journal with >median impact that this is due to the anthropic principle combined with the danger of those modes. ( 14% confidence; 10 wagers; 4 comments )

  Created by Jennifer on 2009-10-19; known on 2025-01-12.