Statistics
| Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | |
| Sample Size | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
Predictions by MrHen
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Before 2020 organized religions will have no political influence. ( 17% confidence; 15 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by TheScholar on 2010-09-18; known on 2020-01-01; judged unknown by komponisto on 2010-09-29.
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Lady Gaga will dominate the pop music industry for the next 5 years ( 50% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by alicewilson on 2010-03-22; known on 2015-03-22.
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There will be another major natural disaster before the years over ( 67% confidence; 7 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by tjross on 2010-03-23; known on 2010-12-31; judged right by gwern on 2011-01-06.
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United States will invade Australia and take over ( 20% confidence; 10 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by tjross on 2010-03-23; known on 2020-12-31.
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FlashFoward will be renewed for a second season ( 20% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by MrHen on 2010-02-23; known on 2010-07-16; judged wrong by MrHen on 2010-09-23.
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Fringe will be renewed for a third season ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by MrHen on 2010-02-23; known on 2010-09-16; judged right by gwern on 2010-09-16.
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The Millennium Prize for solving P Versus NP will remain unclaimed by 2020. ( 76% confidence; 10 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Jack on 2009-10-20; known on 2020-01-01; judged unknown by freyley on 2009-10-21.
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Before 2030 organised religions will no longer exist in any meaningful way and religion will no longer have any political influence. ( 14% confidence; 17 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by TheScholar on 2009-10-17; known on 2030-01-01; judged unknown by Jack on 2009-11-16.
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I will still identify as Theist in a year ( 88% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by MrHen on 2010-02-03; known on 2011-01-01; judged right by MrHen on 2011-01-01.
