Statistics
| Predicted Certainty | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Certainty | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | |
| Sample Size | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Predictions by TheScholar
-
The Millennium Prize for solving P Versus NP will remain unclaimed by 2020. ( 74% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Jack 10 months ago; known in over 9 years; judged unknown by freyley 10 months ago.
-
Within the next 1000 years we will discover that the singularity already happened a very long time ago and that we are the AIs that resulted from it. ( 14% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by TheScholar 10 months ago; known in over 999 years.
-
Some people living today (October 17th, 2009) will also be alive on October 17th, 3009. ( 33% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by TheScholar 10 months ago; known in over 999 years.
-
General consensus among mathematicians that 2, 3, 5 and 7 are prime numbers will not change in the next year. ( 100% confidence; 25 wagers; 10 comments )
Created by bogdanb 10 months ago; known in about 1 month; judged unknown by Morendil 10 months ago.
-
Apple will surpass Microsoft in revenue in a max. of 5 years. ( 70% confidence; 7 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by crlosg2 about 1 year ago; known in over 3 years; judged unknown by TheScholar 10 months ago.
-
Before 2030 organised religions will no longer exist in any meaningful way and religion will no longer have any political influence. ( 16% confidence; 14 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by TheScholar 10 months ago; known in over 19 years; judged unknown by Jack 9 months ago.