Statistics
| Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 33% | 64% | 31% | 33% | 100% | 0% | |
| Sample Size | 6 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 34 |
Predictions by TwitterPredicts
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Michael Schumacher will finish the 2009 season in the Top 10 ( 55% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-30; known on 2009-11-01; judged wrong by Bébhinn on 2009-08-16.
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Michael Schumacher will beat Raikkonen at Valencia 2009 ( 65% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-30; known on 2009-08-23; judged wrong by Bébhinn on 2009-08-16.
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Michael Schumacher will finish in the points at Valencia 2009 ( 72% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-30; known on 2009-08-30; judged wrong by Bébhinn on 2009-08-16.
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St. Kilda will beat Geelong today by fewer than 10 points. ( 77% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-05; known on 2009-07-05; judged right by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-05.
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Fabian Cancellara will finish the 2009 Tour de France in the Top 3 ( 72% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-05; known on 2009-07-27; judged wrong by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-26.
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Lance Armstrong will finish the Tour de France in the Top 5. ( 69% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-05; known on 2009-07-27; judged right by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-26.
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Sarah Palin is mounting a 2012 presidential campaign ( 44% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-04; known on 2012-02-01; judged wrong by faws on 2012-01-13.
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Venus Williams will make it three-in-a-row at the Wimbledon 2009 Women’s Final ( 72% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-04; known on 2009-07-05; judged wrong by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-04.
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Jon & Kate Plus 8 – Jon & Kate will get back together within a year ( 21% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-23; known on 2010-06-23; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-07-29.
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Jon & Kate Plus 8 – The show will go on, in some capacity ( 59% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-23; known on 2009-12-23; judged right by gwern on 2010-07-29.
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Wimbledon 2009 Men’s Final: Federer V Murray ( 66% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-22; known on 2009-07-06; judged wrong by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-04.
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World-wide Search-Engine Market-Share: Bing & Microsoft will replace yahoo in the #2 spot for a prolonged period (Minimum of 1 week). ( 66% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-22; known on 2009-09-22; judged wrong by TwitterPredicts on 2009-10-16.
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Federer will win Wimbledon 2009 ( 67% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-22; known on 2009-07-06; judged right by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-05.
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Magic will win, pushing the Lakers to game 6 tonight. ( 62% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-14; known on 2009-06-15; judged wrong by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-15.
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England will reach the 2009 World Twenty20 semi-finals. ( 65% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-14; known on 2009-06-21; judged right by vtstarin on 2009-06-16.
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Twitter – @peterfacinelli will surpass his goal of 500K followers by June 19, winning his bet with @211me. ( 95% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-14; known on 2009-06-20; judged right by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-22.
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The US will successfully negotiate the release of Laura Ling and Euna Lee from North Korea ( 22% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-10; known on 2009-12-31; judged right by TwitterPredicts on 2009-08-04.
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Apple will surpass Microsoft in revenue in a max. of 5 years. ( 64% confidence; 9 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by crlosg2 on 2009-05-31; known on 2014-05-31; judged right by RandomThinker 14 days ago.
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Buffy the Vampire Slayer will make it to the Big Screen ( 57% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-01; known on 2011-06-01; judged wrong by TwitterPredicts on 2011-06-01.
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The recession will end this year ( 58% confidence; 8 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-01; known on 2009-12-31; judged right by gwern on 2010-07-29.
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Google Wave will change the way we E-Mail/IM/Communicate ( 84% confidence; 5 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-01; known on 2010-06-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-09-01.
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The Palm Pre will be an iPhone killer ( 24% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-31; known on 2010-05-31; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-07-29.
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Serena Williams will win the 2009 French Open ( 65% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-31; known on 2009-06-07; judged wrong by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-06.
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Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Orlando Magic tonight – Cavs will win ( 60% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-27; known on 2009-05-27; judged wrong by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-27.
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The senate will confirm, Sotomayor, Obama’s nominee to the Supreme Court ( 80% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-26; known on 2009-08-14; judged right by TwitterPredicts on 2009-08-07.
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California’s Supreme Court will overturn the ban on gay marriage ( 55% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-26; known on 2009-05-27; judged wrong by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-26.
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The Lakers will have the edge at tonight’s playoff ( 55% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-23; known on 2009-05-24; judged right by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-24.
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A Brawn car will win the 2009 Monaco F1 Grand Prix ( 70% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-23; known on 2009-05-24; judged right by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-24.
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Button will win the 2009 Monaco F1 Grand Prix ( 65% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-23; known on 2009-05-24; judged right by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-24.
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The safety car will make an appearance at the Monaco F1 Grand Prix ( 20% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-23; known on 2009-05-24; judged right by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-24.
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The LA Lakers will beat the Denver Nuggets tonight ( 70% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-19; known on 2009-05-20; judged right by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-20.
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Kris Allen will not win American Idol ( 70% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-19; known on 2009-05-21; judged wrong by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-21.
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Adam Lambert will win American Idol ( 70% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-18; known on 2009-05-21; judged wrong by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-21.
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Predicting a Celtics victory tonight ( 78% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-17; known on 2009-05-18; judged wrong by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-18.