Statistics
| Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 67% | 100% | 0% | 0% | |
| Sample Size | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
Predictions by beriukay
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The world will exist on 2012-12-22 (day after the widely hyped end) ( 100% confidence; 41 wagers; 20 comments )
Created by Daniel Mehkeri on 2011-10-10; known on 2012-12-22; judged unknown by gwern on 2011-11-06.
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Replacing the PSU on my gaming machine will fix all the problems I’ve been suffering for over a year. ( 75% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by beriukay on 2010-02-18; known on 2010-02-25; judged right by beriukay on 2010-02-25.
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The sun will rise tomorrow morning ( 89% confidence; 9 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by uninverted on 2009-10-14; known on 2009-10-15; judged right by anonym on 2009-10-17.