Predictions by fnedrik

• “3D printing” will be a multi-billion dollar industry by 2021. ( 71% confidence; 14 wagers; 11 comments )

  Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-12; known on 2021-01-01.

• Google+ will surpass Facebook in 2013 (in number of users and level of interaction) ( 19% confidence; 23 wagers; 9 comments )

  Created by sameganegie on 2011-11-04; known on 2014-01-01; judged unknown by gwern on 2011-11-05.

• I will run a half marathon under 2 hours in may 2012. ( 40% confidence )

  Created by fnedrik on 2011-11-18; known in 13 days.

• The world will not end December 25, 2012. ( 98% confidence; 21 wagers; 1 comment )

  Created by Houshalter on 2010-06-13; known on 2012-12-26; judged unknown by Houshalter on 2010-06-26.

• The oldest living person on 2020-01-01 will be at least 130 years old. ( 1% confidence; 12 wagers; 10 comments )

  Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-16; known on 2020-01-01.

• I have a driver’s license within a year ( 23% confidence; 3 wagers )

  Created by fnedrik on 2011-11-15; known on 2012-11-15.

• I will win in WordFeud against toffe ( 90% confidence )

  Created by fnedrik on 2011-11-15; known on 2011-11-18; judged right by fnedrik on 2011-11-18.

• We will get a bid for 1.9 or better today ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )

  Created by fnedrik on 2011-11-15; known on 2011-11-15; judged wrong by fnedrik on 2011-11-16.