Statistics
| Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| Sample Size | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Predictions by herb
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A Singularity will not occur by the year 2040. ( 68% confidence; 25 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by rwallace on 2009-10-14; known on 2040-01-01; judged unknown by freyley on 2009-10-21.
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In 2012 oil prices will reach $130+ a barrel. ( 61% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by M3 on 2011-11-24; known in 27 days.
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“Newt Gingrich to be Republican Presidential Nominee in 2012.” -Intrade ( 18% confidence; 12 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-28; known on 2012-12-31.
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The Dow Jones Industrial Average* will finish 2011 below 12.000 points *high (close) in 2011 12.810 & low (close) in 2011 10.655 ( 55% confidence )
Created by herb on 2011-12-01; known on 2011-12-31; judged wrong by herb on 2012-01-02.
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Greece will leave the Euro currency and return to the “Drachme” latest by mid 2012. ( 34% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by herb on 2011-11-29; known on 2012-07-01.
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New home sales in the US will stay below 450.000 for the year 2012 (all time high 1st July 2005 1.389 Mio., all time low 278.000 1st August 2010, current reading 313.000). ( 55% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by herb on 2011-11-28; known on 2012-12-31.
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Mitt Romney will be the next President of the United States. He will win the Republican nomination and win the general election in 2012. ( 31% confidence; 11 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by capcuervo on 2011-11-26; known on 2012-11-07.
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WTI Oil front month (96 US$ today) will go lower and reach 50 US$ by the end of 2012 ( 32% confidence; 5 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by herb on 2011-11-21; known on 2012-12-31; judged unknown by Anubhav on 2012-01-02.
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The US$ will touch parity with the Euro (1€=1US$) before the end of 2012 ( 43% confidence; 8 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by herb on 2011-11-20; known on 2012-12-31.