Predictions by iconreforged

• Google Code Search or an equivalent/better successor product from Google will be publicly accessible on 2012-02-15 UTC ( 40% confidence; 4 wagers; 4 comments )

  Created by bobpage on 2011-10-15; known on 2012-02-15; judged right by bobpage on 2012-02-28.

• “Ron Paul to dropout of the 2012 Presidential race before midnight ET 05 Feb 2012” -Intrade ( 6% confidence; 11 wagers; 2 comments )

  Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-10-19; known on 2012-02-05; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-02-06.

• “We will have the ability to communicate through thought transmission” —Dev 2; BBC ( 58% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )

  Created by gwern on 2012-01-24; known on 2112-01-01.

• President Obama will win the Presidential election in 2012. ( 70% confidence; 8 wagers; 3 comments )

  Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2012-11-11.

• President Barak Obama will be re-elected, the Democrats will retain the Senate, and retake the House of Representatives. This will not prevent a great deal of obstructionism to anything he wants to get passed, particularly in the Senate. ( 33% confidence; 16 wagers; 9 comments )

  Created by MuscleCBT on 2011-11-02; known on 2012-11-11; judged unknown by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-04.

• There will be working blueprints for a space elevator by 2017. ( 2% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

  Created by iconreforged on 2012-01-27; known on 2018-01-01.