Predictions by im

• There will be strong evidence of technologically advanced (contemporary human level or greater) extraterrestrial life by 2016. ETA: evidence of a technologically advanced civilization existing or having existed somewhere outside our solar system. ( 7% confidence; 30 wagers; 6 comments )

  Created by anonym on 2009-10-17; known on 2016-01-01; judged unknown by ledflyd on 2009-11-16.

• The world will end in 2012 ( 18% confidence; 22 wagers; 3 comments )

  Created by jes5199 on 2009-10-15; known on 2013-01-01; judged unknown by Martin Chase on 2009-11-17.

• The US economy will collapse resulting in massive inflation prior to the end of 2010. ( 31% confidence; 24 wagers; 13 comments )

  Created by max on 2009-10-14; known on 2011-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2011-01-01.

• Barack Obama will serve a second term as president of the United States continuous with his present term ( 69% confidence; 70 wagers; 16 comments )

  Created by MBlume on 2009-10-14; known on 2012-10-06; judged unknown by Anubhav on 2012-01-06.

• General consensus among mathematicians that 2, 3, 5 and 7 are prime numbers will not change in the next year. ( 100% confidence; 26 wagers; 10 comments )

  Created by bogdanb on 2009-10-14; known on 2010-10-14; judged right by jasticE on 2010-10-14.

• There will be a data loss incident (theft, accidental release, crash etc.) involving more than 100 million personal records before the end of 2012. ( 82% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )

  Created by Arenamontanus on 2009-10-14; known on 2012-12-31; judged unknown by anonym on 2009-10-17.

• There will be a data loss incident (theft, accidental release, crash etc.) involving one billion personal records before 2019. ( 49% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

  Created by Arenamontanus on 2009-10-14; known on 2019-12-31.

• I will have completed my topology homework by the end of the weekend. ( 60% confidence )

  Created by im on 2009-10-15; known on 2009-10-19; judged wrong by im on 2009-10-29.

• I will be entirely caught up on grading by the end of the weekend. ( 85% confidence )

  Created by im on 2009-10-15; known on 2009-10-19; judged wrong by im on 2009-10-29.

• I’ll have made 100 predictions on prediction book by the end of the month ( 63% confidence; 4 wagers; 4 comments )

  Created by jes5199 on 2009-10-15; known on 2009-11-01; judged right by anonym on 2009-11-01.

• World-wide Search-Engine Market-Share: Bing & Microsoft will replace yahoo in the #2 spot for a prolonged period (Minimum of 1 week). ( 66% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

  Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-22; known on 2009-09-22; judged wrong by TwitterPredicts on 2009-10-16.

• There will be a third party candidate that gets more than 5% in the 2012 election for president in the US. ( 22% confidence; 8 wagers )

  Created by ChristianKl on 2009-10-15; known on 2012-12-31; judged unknown by anonym on 2009-10-17.

• Generic AI won’t happen in the next 10 years. ( 88% confidence; 9 wagers )

  Created by bogdanb on 2009-10-14; known on 2019-10-14; judged unknown by anonym on 2009-10-17.

• A Singularity will not occur by the year 2040. ( 68% confidence; 25 wagers; 4 comments )

  Created by rwallace on 2009-10-14; known on 2040-01-01; judged unknown by freyley on 2009-10-21.