Predictions by Julian Pulgarin

• I will have reached a rating of at least 1870 ELO on Chess Tempo (http://chesstempo.com/chess-statistics/jpulgarin) by Fberuary 12, 2012. ( 62% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-02-06; known on 2012-02-12.

• I will have read, or have decided it wasn’t worth reading "The Lean Startup” by February 12, 2012. ( 56% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-02-06; known on 2012-02-12.

• I will have done at least 10 hours of contract work by February 12, 2012. ( 52% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-02-06; known on 2012-02-12.

• I will have gone to the gym 3 times by February 12, 2012. ( 39% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-02-06; known on 2012-02-12.

• I will have spent 10 hours emailing press outlets regarding TextMotivate.com by February 12, 2012. ( 40% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-02-06; known on 2012-02-12.

• I will have open sourced Khan Academy’s gradual roll-out tool by February 5, 2012. ( 42% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-30; known on 2012-02-05; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-02-06.

• I will have reached a rating of at least 1850 ELO on Chess Tempo (http://chesstempo.com/chess-statistics/jpulgarin) by Fberuary 5, 2012. ( 54% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-30; known on 2012-02-05; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-02-05.

• I will have read "Freakonomics” by February 5, 2012. ( 42% confidence; 5 wagers; 5 comments )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-30; known on 2012-02-05; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-02-04.

• I will have done at least 10 hours of contract work by February 5, 2012. ( 55% confidence; 1 comment )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-30; known on 2012-02-05; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-02-06.

• I will have gone to the gym 3 times by February 5, 2012. ( 56% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-30; known on 2012-02-05; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-02-04.

• I will have spent 10 hours emailing press outlets regarding TextMotivate.com by February 5, 2012. ( 45% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-30; known on 2012-02-05; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-02-06.

• I will have spent 10 hours emailing press outlets regarding TextMotivate.com by January 29, 2012. ( 27% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-23; known on 2012-01-29; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-30.

• I will have gone to the gym 3 times by January 29, 2012. ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-23; known on 2012-01-29; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-29.

• I will have done 10 hours of contract work by January 29, 2012. ( 32% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-23; known on 2012-01-29; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-30.

• I will have read "Think and Grow Rich” by January 29, 2012. ( 61% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-23; known on 2012-01-29; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-28.

• I will have reached a rating of at least 1830 ELO on Chess Tempo (http://chesstempo.com/chess-statistics/jpulgarin) by January 29, 2012. ( 51% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-23; known on 2012-01-29; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-26.

• I will have open sourced Khan Academy’s gradual roll-out tool by January 29, 2012. ( 37% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-23; known on 2012-01-29; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-30.

• I will have reached a rating of at least 1780 ELO on Chess Tempo (http://chesstempo.com/chess-statistics/jpulgarin) by January 15, 2012. ( 26% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-11; known on 2012-01-15; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-12.

• I will have open sourced Khan Academy’s gradual roll-out tool by January 15, 2012 ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-11; known on 2012-01-15; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-23.

• I will have read “Predictably Irrational” by January 15, 2012. ( 44% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-11; known on 2012-01-15; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-14.

• I will have spent 10 hours emailing press outlets regarding TextMotivate.com by January 15, 2012. ( 36% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-11; known on 2012-01-15; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-23.

• I will go to the gym 2 times by January 15, 2012. ( 72% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-11; known on 2012-01-15; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-23.

• I will not miss a single University class between January 4, 2012 and January 8, 2012. ( 53% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-04; known on 2012-01-08; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-07.

• I will have open sourced Khan Academy’s gradual roll-out tool by January 8, 2012 ( 41% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-04; known on 2012-01-08; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-11.

• Between January 4, 2012 and January 8, 2012 I will have emailed 20 press outlets regarding TextMotivate.com. ( 59% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-04; known on 2012-01-08; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-11.

• I will go to the gym 2 times before January 8, 2012. ( 42% confidence; 1 comment )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-04; known on 2012-01-08; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-11.

• I will have reached a rating of at least 1780 ELO on Chess Tempo (http://chesstempo.com/chess-statistics/jpulgarin) by January 8, 2012. ( 67% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-04; known on 2012-01-08; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-11.

• I will have read “Predictably Irrational” by January 8, 2012. ( 33% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-04; known on 2012-01-08; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2012-01-11.

• I will have read “Predictably Irrational” by December 4, 2011. ( 52% confidence; 4 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-12-03; known on 2011-12-04; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-12-09.

• I will have reached a rating of at least 1800 ELO on Chess Tempo (http://chesstempo.com/chess-statistics/jpulgarin) by December 4, 2011. ( 61% confidence; 1 comment )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-29; known on 2011-12-04; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-12-12.

• Khan Academy’s gradual roll out tool will be pushed to production by November 27, 2011. ( 67% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-21; known on 2011-11-27; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-28.

• I will go to the gym 3 times before November 27, 2011. ( 80% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-21; known on 2011-11-27; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-27.

• I will have reached a rating of at least 1800 ELO on Chess Tempo (http://chesstempo.com/chess-statistics/jpulgarin) by November 27, 2011. ( 44% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-21; known on 2011-11-27; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-27.

• I will do 20 hours of freelance work by November 27, 2011. ( 40% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-21; known on 2011-11-27; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-28.

• I will have read the “How To Actually Change Your Mind” Less Wrong sequence by November 27, 2011. ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-21; known on 2011-11-27; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-30.

• Between November 21, 2011 and November 27, 2011 I will have emailed 20 press outlets regarding TextMotivate.com. ( 82% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-21; known on 2011-11-27; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-29.

• I will have read “Four Hour Body” by November 27, 2011. ( 73% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-21; known on 2011-11-27; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-28.

• I will have read “Four Hour Workweek” by November 20, 2011. ( 64% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-14; known on 2011-11-20; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-19.

• I will have finished all functionality for the gradual rollout tool for Khan Academy by November 20, 2011. ( 54% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-14; known on 2011-11-20; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-19.

• I will email 20 press outlets regarding TextMotivate.com by November 20, 2011. ( 81% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-14; known on 2011-11-20; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-21.

• I will read the A Human’s Guide to Words sequence before or on November 20, 2011. ( 78% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-14; known on 2011-11-20; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-21.

• I will do 20 hours of freelance work by November 20, 2011. ( 34% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-14; known on 2011-11-20; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-21.

• By November 20, 2011 I will have reached a rating of at least 1780 ELO on Chess Tempo (http://chesstempo.com/chess-statistics/jpulgarin) ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-14; known on 2011-11-20; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-19.

• I will go to the gym 3 times before November 20, 2011. ( 90% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-14; known on 2011-11-20; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-19.

• I will have read “Four Hour Workweek” by November 13, 2011. ( 49% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-12; known on 2011-11-13; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-14.

• I will have basic UI, database models, and interactions between them done for a gradual rollout tool for Khan Academy by November 13, 2011. ( 52% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-07; known on 2011-11-13; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-11.

• I will email 20 press outlets regarding TextMotivate.com before or on November 13, 2011. ( 52% confidence; 3 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-07; known on 2011-11-13; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-14.

• I will read the A Human’s Guide to Words sequence before or on November 13, 2011. ( 54% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-07; known on 2011-11-13; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-14.

• I will do 20 hours of freelance work before or on November 13, 2011. ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-07; known on 2011-11-13; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-14.

• Before or on November 13, 2011 I will have reached a rating of at least 1800 ELO on Chess Tempo (http://chesstempo.com/chess-statistics/jpulgarin) ( 54% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-07; known on 2011-11-13; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-14.

• I will go to the gym 3 times before November 13, 2011. ( 85% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-07; known on 2011-11-13; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-14.

• I will read the Mysterious Answers to Mysterious Questions sequence before or on November 6, 2011. ( 75% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-31; known on 2011-11-06; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-06.

• I will do 20 hours of freelance work before or on November 6, 2011. ( 30% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-31; known on 2011-11-06; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-07.

• I will go to the gym 2 times before November 6, 2011. ( 90% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-31; known on 2011-11-06; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-06.

• I will have launched a SaaS startup before or on November 6, 2011. ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-31; known on 2011-11-06; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-04.

• Before or on November 6, 2011 I will have a total of 300 problems done in Chess Tempo (http://chesstempo.com/chess-statistics/jpulgarin) ( 80% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-31; known on 2011-11-06; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-04.

• Before or on Novermber 6, 2011 I will have added 40 cards to my Anki deck (Currentlly at 125). ( 40% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-31; known on 2011-11-06; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-07.

• I will eat the first and last meals of the day at home on October 26, 2011 ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-26; known on 2011-10-27; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-31.

• I will meditate for 10 minutes on October 26, 2011. ( 48% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-26; known on 2011-10-27; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-31.

• Before or on October 29, 2011 I will have added 40 cards to my Anki deck in 7 days. (Currentlly at 125) ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-25; known on 2011-10-29; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-31.

• Before or on October 29, 2011 I will have a total of 250 problems done in Chess Tempo (http://chesstempo.com/chess-statistics/jpulgarin) ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-25; known on 2011-10-29; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-31.

• I will have launched a SaaS startup before or on October 29, 2011. ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-25; known on 2011-10-29; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-31.

• I will read the Mysterious Answers to Mysterious Questions sequence before or on October 29, 2011. ( 70% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-25; known on 2011-10-29; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-31.

• I will finish a polynomial exercise for Khan Academy on October 25, 2011 ( 61% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-25; known on 2011-10-26; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-31.

• I will write in my journal on October 25, 2011. ( 60% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-25; known on 2011-10-26; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-31.

• I will eat the first and last meals of the day at home on Tuesday October 25, 2011 ( 43% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-25; known on 2011-10-26; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-26.

• I will go to the gym on Tuesday October 25, 2011. ( 53% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-25; known on 2011-10-26; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-26.

• I will finish a polynomial exercise for Khan Academy on Monday October 24, 2011 ( 51% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-24; known on 2011-10-25; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-25.

• I will eat the first and last meals of the day at home on Monday October 24, 2011 ( 40% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-24; known on 2011-10-25; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-25.

• I will write in my journal Monday October 24, 2011. ( 45% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-24; known on 2011-10-25; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-26.

• I will meditate for 10 minutes on Monday October 24, 2011. ( 54% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-24; known on 2011-10-25; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-25.

• I will go to the gym either Saturday October 21 or Sunday October 22. ( 54% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-21; known on 2011-10-23; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-24.

• I will write in my journal on Saturday October 22. ( 54% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-21; known on 2011-10-23; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-24.

• I will write in my journal on Friday October 21. ( 56% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-21; known on 2011-10-22; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-22.

• The first and last meals of the day will be eaten at home on Saturday October 22. ( 53% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-21; known on 2011-10-22; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-24.

• I will meditate for at least 10 minutes on Saturday October 22 ( 70% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-21; known on 2011-10-22; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-23.

• I will go to sleep before 3:10 AM to wake up on the morning of Saturday October 21. ( 48% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-21; known on 2011-10-22; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-23.

• In a year I will be using PredictionBook at least weekly to post about personal productivity goals. ( 42% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-21; known on 2012-10-21.

• I will read the Mysterious Answers to Mysterious Questions sequence within 7 days. ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-16; known on 2011-10-23; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-23.

• Every shower I take within the next 7 days will be a cold shower. ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-16; known on 2011-10-23; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-23.

• I will meditate every day for at least 10 minutes within the next 7 days. ( 9% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-16; known on 2011-10-23; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-23.

• I will have launched a SaaS startup within 7 days. ( 36% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-16; known on 2011-10-23; judged wrong by bobpage on 2011-10-23.

• The first and last meals of the day will be eaten at home during the next 7 days, excluding weekends. ( 15% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-16; known on 2011-10-23; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-23.

• I will go to the gym 3 times in the next week. ( 58% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-16; known on 2011-10-23; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-23.

• I will write in my journal 7 times in the next 7 days. ( 3% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-16; known on 2011-10-23; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-23.

• I will have added 40 cards to my Anki deck in 7 days. (Currentlly at 125). ( 53% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-16; known on 2011-10-23; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-23.

• In 7 days I will have a total of 230 problems done in Chess Tempo (http://chesstempo.com/chess-statistics/jpulgarin) ( 37% confidence; 3 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-16; known on 2011-10-23; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-23.

• I will judge all current predictions and make new predictions in 7 days. ( 68% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-16; known on 2011-10-23; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-23.

• Hacknotifier.com will get >10k visits in the next 30 days. ( 56% confidence; 5 wagers )

  Created by rahul on 2011-10-11; known on 2011-11-10; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-11-09.

• The first and last meals of the day will be eaten at home during the next 7 days, excluding weekends. ( 20% confidence; 2 comments )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-09; known on 2011-10-16; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-16.

• I will go to the gym 2 times in the next week. ( 58% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-09; known on 2011-10-16; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-16.

• I will write in my journal 7 times in the next 7 days. ( 3% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-09; known on 2011-10-16; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-16.

• I will have added 40 cards to my Anki deck in 7 days. (Currentlly at 125). ( 60% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-09; known on 2011-10-16; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-16.

• In 7 days I will have a total of 230 problems done in Chess Tempo (http://chesstempo.com/chess-statistics/jpulgarin) ( 65% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-09; known on 2011-10-16; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-16.

• I will judge all current predictions and make new predictions in 7 days. ( 75% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-09; known on 2011-10-16; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-21.

• I will drink a protein shake every day in the next 7 days. ( 50% confidence; 4 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-09; known on 2011-10-16; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-16.

• I will drink a protein shake every day in the next 7 days. ( 7% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-03; known on 2011-10-10; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-07.

• I will have read the “Map and Territory” Less Wrong sequence in 7 days. ( 73% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-02; known on 2011-10-09; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-09.

• I will have launched a SaaS startup in 7 days. ( 52% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-02; known on 2011-10-09; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-09.

• I will judge all current predictions and make new predictions in 7 days. ( 70% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-02; known on 2011-10-09; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-09.

• In 7 days I will have a total of 120 problems done in Chess Tempo (http://chesstempo.com/chess-statistics/jpulgarin) ( 60% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-02; known on 2011-10-09; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-09.

• I will have added 40 cards to my Anki deck in 7 days. (Currentlly at 125). ( 65% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-02; known on 2011-10-09; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-09.

• I will write in my journal 7 times in the next 7 days. ( 3% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-02; known on 2011-10-09; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-03.

• I will go to the gym 3 times in the next week. ( 53% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-02; known on 2011-10-09; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-03.

• I will eat breakfast and dinner at home during the next 7 days, excluding weekends. ( 23% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-02; known on 2011-10-09; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-07.

• I will eat breakfast and dinner at home during the next 7 days, excluding weekends. ( 55% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-25; known on 2011-10-02; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-27.

• I will have written a conceptual-learning exercise for the Khan Academy in the next 7 days. ( 89% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-25; known on 2011-10-02; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-28.

• I will go to the gym 3 times in the next week. ( 60% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-25; known on 2011-10-02; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-01.

• I will have finished “Hitch 22” in 7 days. ( 54% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-25; known on 2011-10-02; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-25.

• I will write in my journal 7 times in the next 7 days. ( 4% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-25; known on 2011-10-02; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-27.

• I will have added 20 cards to my Anki deck in 7 days. (Currentlly at 11). ( 55% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-25; known on 2011-10-02; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-26.

• I will have done a total of 49 or more problems on ChessTempo.com in the next 7 days. ( 30% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-25; known on 2011-10-02; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-28.

• I will judge all current predictions and make new predictions in 7 days. ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-25; known on 2011-10-02; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-02.

• I will fall asleep before 6 am on all days within the next 7 days. ( 36% confidence )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-25; known on 2011-10-02; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-10-01.

• I will fall asleep before 6 am on all days within the next 7 days. ( 48% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-17; known on 2011-09-24; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-20.

• I will judge all current predictions and make new predictions in 7 days. ( 53% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-17; known on 2011-09-24; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-25.

• I will have done a total of 49 or more problems on ChessTempo.com in the next 7 days. ( 29% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-17; known on 2011-09-24; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-25.

• I will have added 20 cards to my Anki deck in 7 days. (Currently at 10). ( 48% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-17; known on 2011-09-24; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-25.

• I will write in my journal 7 times in the next 7 days. ( 6% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-17; known on 2011-09-24; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-20.

• I will have finished “Hitch 22” in 7 days. ( 54% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-17; known on 2011-09-24; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-25.

• I will have rewritten TextLaundry.com in Django within the next week ( 73% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-17; known on 2011-09-24; judged right by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-20.

• I will go to the gym 3 times in the next week. ( 66% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-17; known on 2011-09-24; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-20.

• I will have written a conceptual-learning exercise for the Khan Academy in the next 7 days. ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-17; known on 2011-09-24; judged wrong by Julian Pulgarin on 2011-09-25.