Statistics
| Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| Sample Size | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
Predictions by max
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There will be a data loss incident (theft, accidental release, crash etc.) involving more than 100 million personal records before the end of 2012. ( 82% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Arenamontanus on 2009-10-14; known on 2012-12-31; judged unknown by anonym on 2009-10-17.
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Lily Allen will return to twitter before the year end ( 60% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by pre on 2009-10-14; known on 2010-01-01; judged wrong by pre on 2009-12-31.
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Civil conflict will break out in the US by the end of 2011. ( 13% confidence; 9 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by max on 2009-10-14; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by bobpage on 2012-01-03.
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The US economy will collapse resulting in massive inflation prior to the end of 2010. ( 31% confidence; 24 wagers; 13 comments )
Created by max on 2009-10-14; known on 2011-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2011-01-01.