Most recent predictions by meisnewbie

• One of the three things will lead to Udyr being Flavor of the Month: Ghost usage in the jungle, AS item buffs such as Wit's End and the gold efficiency of tank items. (Sytha) Conditioning on these things all still holding true before the deadline is up ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

  Created by meisnewbie 4 days ago; known on 2013-08-20.

• Barack Obama will serve a second term as president of the United States continuous with his present term ( 70% confidence; 99 wagers; 23 comments )

  Created by MBlume on 2009-10-14; known on 2012-11-05; judged right by smijer on 2012-11-07.

• Ron Paul will win the electoral vote in the 2012 U.S. Presidential election ( 1% confidence; 8 wagers; 3 comments )

  Created by bobpage on 2011-08-04; known on 2012-11-08; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2012-11-07.

• I will finish Learn Python the Hard way by the end of the School Year ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-04-30; known on 2012-06-17; judged wrong by meisnewbie on 2012-06-17.

• Mercs 4 will NOT have Peace/War mostly worked out by the end of April ( 70% confidence )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-03-31; known on 2012-05-01; judged right by meisnewbie on 2012-04-30.

• Moogy will finish Mahoyo in one sitting on the day of release ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-03-26; known on 2012-04-12; judged wrong by meisnewbie on 2012-04-21.

• Moogy will finish both '&' and TDA02 before Mahoyo releases ( 83% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-03-26; known on 2012-04-12; judged wrong by meisnewbie on 2012-04-21.

• Moogy will finish one of TDA02 and '&' before Mahoyo releases ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-03-26; known on 2012-04-12; judged right by meisnewbie on 2012-04-21.

• http://pastebin.com/czd3pHDr Some elements of the above sentence would reappear in Ixrec's review of oretsuba. (Moogy/Kefit) ( 5% confidence )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-02-27; known on 2013-02-27; judged wrong by meisnewbie on 2012-11-21.

• The forum mafia Bayes calculator will be completed within a month. ( 70% confidence )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-02-20; known on 2012-03-20; judged wrong by meisnewbie on 2012-03-25.

• In Nanoha's route, conditional upon the events not happening later in her route, the simulation featuring Nanoha is from Rain's route. ( 40% confidence; 1 comment )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-02-20; known on 2012-04-20; judged right by meisnewbie on 2012-02-21.

• The Drexler group escaped from the lab because they believed the self destruct system would work and prevent a grey goo scenario. (Baldr Sky) ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-02-18; known on 2012-03-03; judged wrong by meisnewbie on 2012-02-18.

• Lopen has not done an hour of grammar today ( 70% confidence )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-02-12; known on 2012-02-12; judged right by meisnewbie on 2012-02-12.

• Drakeryn gets shot by Chris or gets lynched next Touhou mafia day (numbers) ( 60% confidence )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-02-11; known on 2012-02-14; judged wrong by meisnewbie on 2012-02-15.

• Zea will take an extended break from KS either before he finishes Shizune's route, or he will switch to some other heroine. ( 65% confidence; 1 comment )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-02-11; known on 2012-02-18; judged right by meisnewbie on 2012-03-03.

• Nanoha is involved in with the Drexler group, either as a Dominion believer or in protecting certain members. ( 60% confidence )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-02-09; known on 2012-02-28; judged right by meisnewbie on 2012-02-21.

• Kefit will die before stage 8 in Asakura P ( 60% confidence )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-01-26; known on 2012-01-26; judged right by meisnewbie on 2012-01-26.

• Mercenaries 4 will not have started in one month ( 95% confidence )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-01-23; known on 2012-02-22; judged right by meisnewbie on 2012-02-22.

• There will be one sitting of Phantasmagoria of Flower View in the next month where I will go positive against Drakeryn. (Sitting = More than 5 matches where Merlin is not picked) ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-01-23; known on 2012-02-22; judged right by meisnewbie on 2012-02-15.

• Keido will quote Dante's Inferno at least one more time before Guilty Crown ends ( 95% confidence )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-01-23; known on 2012-04-16; judged wrong by meisnewbie on 2012-03-25.

• Valve will release Steins;gate on steam given that 5pb consents. ( 50% confidence; 2 comments )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-01-23; known on 2012-12-16; judged wrong by Tuxedage on 2013-01-13.

• I will have 1000 Anki cards in my compounds deck by the time I play two week's worth of Baldr Sky ( 80% confidence )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-01-23; known on 2012-02-07; judged right by meisnewbie on 2012-02-20.