Predictions by meisnewbie

• I will finish Learn Python the Hard way by the end of the School Year ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by meisnewbie 20 days ago; known in 29 days.

• Mercs 4 will NOT have Peace/War mostly worked out by the end of April ( 70% confidence )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-03-31; known 18 days ago; judged right by meisnewbie 20 days ago.

• Moogy will finish Mahoyo in one sitting on the day of release ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-03-26; known on 2012-04-12; judged wrong by meisnewbie 28 days ago.

• Moogy will finish both ‘&’ and TDA02 before Mahoyo releases ( 83% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-03-26; known on 2012-04-12; judged wrong by meisnewbie 28 days ago.

• Moogy will finish one of TDA02 and ‘&’ before Mahoyo releases ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-03-26; known on 2012-04-12; judged right by meisnewbie 28 days ago.

• http://pastebin.com/czd3pHDr Some elements of the above sentence would reappear in Ixrec’s review of oretsuba. (Moogy/Kefit) ( 5% confidence )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-02-27; known on 2013-02-27.

• The forum mafia Bayes calculator will be completed within a month. ( 70% confidence )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-02-20; known on 2012-03-20; judged wrong by meisnewbie on 2012-03-25.

• In Nanoha’s route, conditional upon the events not happening later in her route, the simulation featuring Nanoha is from Rain’s route. ( 40% confidence; 1 comment )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-02-20; known 29 days ago; judged right by meisnewbie on 2012-02-21.

• The Drexler group escaped from the lab because they believed the self destruct system would work and prevent a grey goo scenario. (Baldr Sky) ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-02-18; known on 2012-03-03; judged wrong by meisnewbie on 2012-02-18.

• Lopen has not done an hour of grammar today ( 70% confidence )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-02-12; known on 2012-02-12; judged right by meisnewbie on 2012-02-12.

• Drakeryn gets shot by Chris or gets lynched next Touhou mafia day (numbers) ( 60% confidence )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-02-11; known on 2012-02-14; judged wrong by meisnewbie on 2012-02-15.

• Zea will take an extended break from KS either before he finishes Shizune’s route, or he will switch to some other heroine. ( 65% confidence; 1 comment )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-02-11; known on 2012-02-18; judged right by meisnewbie on 2012-03-03.

• Nanoha is involved in with the Drexler group, either as a Dominion believer or in protecting certain members. ( 60% confidence )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-02-09; known on 2012-02-28; judged right by meisnewbie on 2012-02-21.

• Kefit will die before stage 8 in Asakura P ( 60% confidence )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-01-26; known on 2012-01-26; judged right by meisnewbie on 2012-01-26.

• I will 1cc PCB Easy with 2 starting lives before 50 full runs (HGR) ( 85% confidence )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-01-24; known on 2012-03-24.

• Mercenaries 4 will not have started in one month ( 95% confidence )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-01-23; known on 2012-02-22; judged right by meisnewbie on 2012-02-22.

• There will be one sitting of Phantasmagoria of Flower View in the next month where I will go positive against Drakeryn. (Sitting = More than 5 matches where Merlin is not picked) ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-01-23; known on 2012-02-22; judged right by meisnewbie on 2012-02-15.

• Keido will quote Dante’s Inferno at least one more time before Guilty Crown ends ( 95% confidence )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-01-23; known on 2012-04-16; judged wrong by meisnewbie on 2012-03-25.

• Valve will release Steins;gate on steam given that 5pb consents. ( 50% confidence )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-01-23; known on 2012-12-16.

• I will have 1000 Anki cards in my compounds deck by the time I play two week’s worth of Baldr Sky ( 80% confidence )

  Created by meisnewbie on 2012-01-23; known on 2012-02-07; judged right by meisnewbie on 2012-02-20.