Predictions by olimay

• I will make it to the Saturday 2009 Dec 12th OBLW meetup. ( 60% confidence )

  Created by olimay on 2009-12-12; known on 2009-12-12; judged wrong by olimay on 2009-12-12.

• Zach was looking at Newark, DE because there is no second “Newark in New Jersey near the Pennsylvania border”. ( 99% confidence )

  Created by olimay on 2009-12-05; known on 2009-12-06; judged right by olimay on 2009-12-06.

• Before 2030 organised religions will no longer exist in any meaningful way and religion will no longer have any political influence. ( 14% confidence; 17 wagers; 5 comments )

  Created by TheScholar on 2009-10-17; known on 2030-01-01; judged unknown by Jack on 2009-11-16.

• I will eat Thanksgiving dinner at my Aunt’s house AND will not ingest any Turkey. ( 95% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by ledflyd on 2009-11-16; known on 2009-11-26; judged right by ledflyd on 2009-11-27.

• Paddy will give me or have had prepared a check payable to me by the end of today. ( 52% confidence )

  Created by olimay on 2009-11-14; known on 2009-11-15; judged wrong by olimay on 2009-11-16.

• Oliver will share a meal, or, while consuming a meal, company with both Zach and Ruchi on at least two occasions before his birthday. ( 95% confidence )

  Created by olimay on 2009-11-14; known on 2009-12-06; judged wrong by olimay on 2009-12-05.

• I will be in New York City by noon today. ( 80% confidence )

  Created by olimay on 2009-11-14; known on 2009-11-14; judged wrong by olimay on 2009-11-14.

• I will order food from a restaurant with the word “Chinese” somewhere on its printed menu no fewer than 3 times before the end of this year. ( 80% confidence )

  Created by olimay on 2009-11-14; known on 2010-01-01; judged right by olimay on 2010-01-01.

• I will weigh less than 170 lbs on my birthday and in my birthday suit. ( 38% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

  Created by olimay on 2009-11-14; known on 2009-12-06; judged wrong by olimay on 2009-12-06.

• I’ll fall asleep before 5AM today. ( 14% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )

  Created by olimay on 2009-11-14; known on 2009-11-14; judged wrong by olimay on 2009-11-14.

• Twitter will report profits for every quarter in 2011. ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

  Created by olimay on 2009-11-14; known on 2012-03-01.

• I will go to bed (and fall asleep) before 5AM every day next week, which I’ll say starts Sunday. ( 20% confidence )

  Created by olimay on 2009-11-14; known on 2009-11-21; judged wrong by olimay on 2009-11-26.

• I will write and publish one complete short story on the internet (public internet) before my birthday. ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

  Created by olimay on 2009-11-14; known on 2009-12-06; judged wrong by olimay on 2009-12-06.

• I will get at least one paid freelance design or programming job in the next two weeks. ( 20% confidence )

  Created by olimay on 2009-11-14; known on 2009-11-28; judged wrong by olimay on 2009-12-05.

• Claire and I will go to the Met Museum of Art sometime on 2009-11-20. ( 20% confidence )

  Created by olimay on 2009-11-14; known on 2009-11-21; judged wrong by olimay on 2009-11-26.

• I’ll make it on time (within 7 minutes of 15:00 UTC, by Sprint Mobile network time) to the OB/LW NYC meetup on 2009-11-14. ( 50% confidence )

  Created by olimay on 2009-11-14; known on 2009-11-14; judged wrong by olimay on 2009-11-14.

• I’ll publish at least 15 (different) posts on False Symmetry before my birthday. ( 48% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by olimay on 2009-11-14; known on 2009-12-06; judged wrong by olimay on 2009-12-06.

• I’ll see Eric Li in person on two separate days before the end of November. ( 30% confidence )

  Created by olimay on 2009-11-14; known on 2009-12-01; judged wrong by olimay on 2009-12-01.

• I won’t directly pay any doctor, doctor’s office, or hospital any amount of money for medical services rendered to me for the rest of this year. ( 80% confidence )

  Created by olimay on 2009-11-14; known on 2010-01-01; judged right by olimay on 2010-01-01.

• I’ll make at least $500 from now until the rest of the year. ( 38% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by olimay on 2009-11-14; known on 2010-01-01; judged wrong by olimay on 2010-01-01.

• All my immediate family members will be either alive or have had their brains successfully cryopreserved at the beginning of 2011. ( 88% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

  Created by olimay on 2009-11-14; known on 2011-01-01; judged right by olimay on 2011-01-01.

• LW Meetup Locator’s map and input form functionality will functioning and in production by the end of November. ( 63% confidence; 2 wagers )

  Created by olimay on 2009-11-14; known on 2009-12-01; judged wrong by olimay on 2009-12-01.

• My Sony VAIO laptop will still be functional enough to watch/listen to streamed YouTube videos at the end of 2010, with no part upgrades costing > $15. ( 67% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

  Created by olimay on 2009-11-14; known on 2011-01-01; judged right by olimay on 2011-01-01.

• By 2010-02-01 Oliver will have paid the minimum monthly amount requested as indicated on the Student Loan Corporation statements for 2010-Jan using his own, unborrowed funds. ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

  Created by olimay on 2009-11-14; known on 2010-02-01; judged wrong by olimay on 2010-02-01.

• By 2010-05-01, Oliver will have paid rent for a dwelling place not owned by an immediate family member, grandparent, or first cousin for a period beginning after 2009-11-14, duration longer than 28 days. ( 50% confidence )

  Created by olimay on 2009-11-14; known on 2010-05-01; judged wrong by olimay on 2010-05-01.