Statistics
| Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | |
| Sample Size | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Predictions by robo45h
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Iran’s current regime will continue its nuclear program — or be overthrown — rather than accept the current (Oct 2009) offer to have nuclear materials processed elsewhere (such as Russia). ( 88% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by robo45h on 2009-11-13; known on 2010-11-13; judged right by gwern on 2010-11-13.
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Iran’s current regime will be collapse within the next ten years. ( 55% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by kess3r on 2009-10-15; known on 2019-10-15.