Statistics
| Predicted Certainty | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Certainty | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | |
| Sample Size | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Predictions by thechadisgreat
-
Mark Webber will crash out Australian F1 ( 64% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by thechadisgreat 4 months ago; known 4 months ago; judged wrong by gwern about 4 hours ago.
-
The Hon Tony Abbott MHR will never be the PM ( 100% confidence )
Created by thechadisgreat 5 months ago; known in 8 months.
-
Lot of Australian cricket players will decide to play in this season’s Indian Premier League (IPL) ( 97% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by thechadisgreat 5 months ago; known 4 months ago; judged right by mktg2010 4 months ago.
-
My marketing group’s project will be selected ( 99% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by thechadisgreat 5 months ago; known about 1 month ago; judged unknown by thechadisgreat 5 months ago.