Statistics
| Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | |
| Sample Size | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Predictions by waveman
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I will have reduced excess fat to the point that I will have visible abs. Currently I am at about 15% Body Fat. ( 35% confidence )
Created by waveman on 2012-03-31; known on 2012-07-31.
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I will have workable futures trading strategy in place. ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by waveman on 2012-03-31; known on 2012-08-01.
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I will have achieved intermediate level on all my one remaining weightlifting lift as defined in my spreadsheet. ie Bench press 20 reps at 38kg. ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by waveman on 2012-03-31; known on 2012-08-01.
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I will have workable futures trading strategy in place. This is a replacement for another prediction where I put the wrong date in. ( 15% confidence )
Created by waveman on 2012-02-28; known on 2012-03-31; judged wrong by waveman on 2012-03-31.
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I will have mastered physics to 2nd year Uni of Melbourne level ( 29% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by waveman on 2012-02-06; known on 2012-07-01.
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The energy source formerly known as cold fusion will be generally accepted as real by end 2012. ( 4% confidence; 10 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by waveman on 2012-01-13; known on 2012-12-31.
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I will have listened to Dorothy’s memories tape and mailed her a letter with my comments and thoughts. ( 40% confidence )
Created by waveman on 2012-01-09; known on 2012-02-28; judged right by waveman on 2012-02-23.
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I will have completed a project that is useful that uses some AI technology. ( 65% confidence )
Created by waveman on 2012-01-09; known on 2012-12-31.
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I will have some way to listen to music in a high quality way. ( 30% confidence )
Created by waveman on 2012-01-09; known on 2012-12-31.
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I will have completed two masters level AI courses at ANU or equivalent ( 30% confidence )
Created by waveman on 2012-01-09; known on 2012-11-30.
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I will have finished the equivalent of 3rd year physics. ( 45% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by waveman on 2012-01-09; known on 2012-07-01.
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During 2012 I will be actively involved in some activist activity. Eg MC. ( 35% confidence )
Created by waveman on 2012-01-09; known on 2012-12-31.
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I will have achieved a heart rate of 165 for 15 minutes straight which is my aerobic fitness goal. ( 80% confidence )
Created by waveman on 2012-01-09; known on 2012-02-28; judged right by waveman on 2012-02-23.
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I will have achieved intermediate level weightlifting levels for all lifts as defined in my spreadsheet. ( 75% confidence )
Created by waveman on 2012-01-09; known on 2012-03-31; judged wrong by waveman on 2012-03-31.
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I will have reduced excess fat to the point that I will have visible abs. ( 55% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by waveman on 2012-01-09; known on 2012-03-31; judged wrong by waveman on 2012-03-31.
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I have comprehensive investment models for individual stocks. Evidence: details of models and research which developed them. Fully implemented and trading. ( 50% confidence )
Created by waveman on 2012-01-09; known on 2012-12-31.
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I will have basic stock trading model done, with initial trades by this date. ( 50% confidence )
Created by waveman on 2012-01-09; known on 2012-09-30.
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I will have my futures trading strategy complete FAPP by this date and it will be fully implemented. ( 60% confidence )
Created by waveman on 2012-01-09; known on 2012-06-30.
