Statistics
| Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 0% | 30% | 43% | 75% | 100% | 0% | |
| Sample Size | 2 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 28 |
Predictions by Wes
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The recent deployment will have fixed the domain name in Prediction Book emails ( 95% confidence; 10 comments )
Created by Wes on 2011-11-14; known on 2011-11-14; judged right by Wes on 2011-11-14.
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Google+ will surpass Facebook in 2013 (in number of users and level of interaction) ( 19% confidence; 23 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by sameganegie on 2011-11-04; known on 2014-01-01; judged unknown by gwern on 2011-11-05.
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Investling site will be live ( 70% confidence )
Created by Wes on 2010-01-19; known on 2010-01-20; judged right by Wes on 2010-01-20.
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Plan Deliver website will be available at its proper home before the Christmas break ( 68% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Wes on 2009-12-21; known on 2009-12-23; judged right by Wes on 2009-12-23.
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Our TV will be set up (connected to a server, some kind of status report) til the end of the week ( 75% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Tom on 2009-11-22; known on 2009-11-28; judged right by Tom on 2009-11-29.
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I will have automated the rollout of a ruby site by the end of the week. ( 43% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jon on 2009-11-22; known on 2009-11-27; judged wrong by jon on 2009-11-27.
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PlanDeliver retail site content will be finished by the end of the week ( 78% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Wes on 2009-11-24; known on 2009-11-27; judged wrong by Wes on 2009-11-29.
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The Radiopaedia content cleanup will be finished by the end of the week ( 58% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Wes on 2009-10-26; known on 2009-10-30; judged right by Wes on 2009-11-03.
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Radiopaedia work will be finalised (for now) by the end of the week ( 60% confidence )
Created by Wes on 2009-10-19; known on 2009-10-26; judged wrong by Wes on 2009-10-26.
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Radiopaedia will be up and running on the staging server by the end of the week ( 74% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Wes on 2009-09-28; known on 2009-10-02; judged right by Wes on 2009-09-30.
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We will have another Plandeliver client (verbal agreement) by the end of the week ( 40% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Tom on 2009-09-14; known on 2009-09-21; judged wrong by Tom on 2009-09-21.
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Radiopaedia will go live on or before Wed next week (week beginning 21 Sep) ( 61% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Wes on 2009-09-14; known on 2009-09-24; judged wrong by Wes on 2009-09-24.
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At least one of our apps will be running on the full AWS stack (ELB, EC2 app, EC2 db, EBS) by Sunday ( 65% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Matt on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-09-13; judged wrong by Glenn on 2009-09-14.
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I will have a new iPhone 3GS in hand ( 66% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Matt on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-09-13; judged wrong by Matt on 2009-09-12.
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we’ll have implemented free-text searching by selectable filters (new approach) ( 65% confidence; 6 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by captainpete on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-09-14; judged wrong by captainpete on 2009-09-14.
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Kando will be live first of december ( 65% confidence; 7 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Tom on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-12-01; judged wrong by Matt on 2009-12-01.
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We will start working on the MyOB integration at Kando ( 51% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Tom on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-09-14; judged wrong by Tom on 2009-09-14.
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I will work Friday ( 51% confidence; 7 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-09-11; judged right by Glenn on 2009-09-11.
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Round 2 and 3 of the Radiopaedia styling will be completed. Where completed means released to dev. ( 66% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Wes on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-09-14; judged right by Wes on 2009-09-14.
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I will have closed all the currently open podshifter tickets relating to broken feeds ( 58% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2009-08-31; known on 2009-09-06; judged wrong by Glenn on 2009-09-07.
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Round 2 of the Radiopaedia redesign integration will be completed ( 51% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Wes on 2009-08-31; known on 2009-09-07; judged wrong by Wes on 2009-09-07.
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we’ll have finished refactoring variants into products ( 55% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by captainpete on 2009-08-31; known on 2009-09-07; judged right by captainpete on 2009-09-07.
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we’ll be experimenting with meat-spaced project management system ( 63% confidence; 5 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by captainpete on 2009-08-31; known on 2009-09-07; judged wrong by captainpete on 2009-09-07.
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Snow Leopard will not feature a redone UI ( 85% confidence )
Created by Wes on 2009-06-04; known on 2009-08-28; judged right by Wes on 2009-06-08.
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The release date for Snow Leopard will be announced at WWDC. ( 90% confidence )
Created by Wes on 2009-06-04; known on 2009-06-08; judged right by Wes on 2009-06-08.
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Third generation iPhone will be announced at WWDC ( 90% confidence )
Created by Wes on 2009-06-04; known on 2009-06-08; judged right by Wes on 2009-06-08.
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An email will be sent to me ( 98% confidence )
Created by Wes on 2009-05-15; known on 2009-05-15; judged right by Wes on 2009-05-15.
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The url_mapping file will be completed and delivered to Sanath by 2pm today ( 74% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Wes on 2009-03-20; known on 2009-03-20; judged right by Wes on 2009-03-20.
