Statistics
| Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 47% | 36% | 50% | 67% | 79% | 100% | |
| Sample Size | 17 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 33 | 4 | 109 |
Predictions by Christopher
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I will read through Alicorn’s Living Luminously sequence by the end of March. Any skimming not made up for will result as a failure. ( 80% confidence )
Created by Christopher on 2012-03-06; known on 2012-04-01; judged right by Christopher on 2012-03-10.
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There will be at least one human being alive on earth even after the end of the year 2012 ( 100% confidence; 14 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by vinayak on 2012-02-07; known on 2013-01-01.
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The Hunger Games film will not fail (>= 60% on Rotten Tomatoes). ( 61% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Christopher on 2012-01-29; known on 2012-03-24; judged right by Christopher on 2012-03-23.
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SOPA will become US law and either Youtube or Megaupload will be shutdown. ( 24% confidence; 11 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-12-21; known on 2013-01-01.
