Michael F. Roman will be fired as ceo of 3M ( 30% confidence )

Created by Rsfinley23 about 15 hours ago; known on 2020-05-15.

US deaths attributed to covid19 will be in the range 80,000 to 500,000 by next April. ( 82% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by credunkist 2 days ago; known on 2021-04-01.

[Geopolitics] Venezuelan regime change (defined as Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) (born 23 November 1962) not being President of Venezuela) within one year ( 48% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by two2thehead 2 days ago; known on 2021-04-03.

Total deaths due to coronavirus in the Netherlands will go over >10000 by the end of April. ( 26% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Stucwerk 4 days ago; known in 26 days.

Total deaths due to coronavirus in the Netherlands will go over >5000 by the end of April. ( 67% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Stucwerk 4 days ago; known in 26 days.

Total deaths due to coronavirus in the Netherlands will go over >3000 by the end of April. ( 83% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Stucwerk 4 days ago; known in 26 days.

San Francisco will extend the shelter-in-place order beyond May 3rd ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jacobgreenleaf 4 days ago; known in 29 days.

At least one G20 nation (or sub-national territory of population > 1m) will re-impose at least one COVID-19 restriction after its relaxation in calendar 2020 ( 82% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Sashoir 5 days ago; known on 2020-12-31.

There will be at least 160.000 confirmed cases of Coronavirus in China on July 1, 2020. ( 32% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by sty.silver 6 days ago; known on 2020-07-04.

Germany makes face masks mandatory (at least in certain places) in April ( 27% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by qznc 6 days ago; known in 26 days.

There will be no state- or nation-wide McDonald’s closures (other than closure of the dining area) due to COVID-19 in Australia in 2020 ( 70% confidence )

Created by sjy 7 days ago; known on 2021-01-01.

No OECD nation will have a lockdown (orders which prevent people from attending work, in the absence of any evidence of illness) in place by the end of 2020 ( 80% confidence )

Created by sjy 8 days ago; known on 2021-01-01.

Politics, UK – UK government announces, before the end of April, it will bring forward payments under “(COVID-19) Self-employment Income Support Scheme” to earlier than June, or introduce an additional scheme helping the self-employed. ( 38% confidence )

Created by jbeshir 8 days ago; known in 25 days.

Politics, UK – Government introduces a government managed rationing system for any consumer good before end of April. ( 15% confidence )

Created by jbeshir 8 days ago; known in 25 days.

Health, UK – UK government amends lockdown rules to put a specific numeric upper limit on distance travelled from home during exercise before end of April, and the limit is strictly less than 10 miles. ( 25% confidence )

Created by jbeshir 8 days ago; known in 25 days.

Health, UK – UK government amends lockdown rules to put a specific numeric upper limit on distance travelled from home during exercise before end of April. ( 27% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jbeshir 8 days ago; known in 25 days.

U.S. 10yr Treasury yield dips below 0.5% in second quarter of 2020 ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by batemancapital 9 days ago; known on 2020-06-30.

S&P 500 index dips below 2000 in year of 2020 ( 60% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by batemancapital 9 days ago; known on 2020-12-31.

Despite the lockdown in India, COVID-19 cases will continue to rise for another 2 weeks. The lockdown will be extended to the end of April. ( 83% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by areyouhappy 11 days ago; known in 3 days.

Face masks as fashion accessoir becomes a thing this year ( 44% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by qznc 11 days ago; known on 2020-12-30.

The day on day increase people tested positive for COVID19 in South Africa will on average be > 20% at least until 100,000 people have tested positive ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by moyamo 12 days ago; known in 15 days.

12-17% of the Senate will test positive for corona by April 1st ( 21% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by daveisright 12 days ago; known 4 days ago.

Trump dies of Coronavirus in 2020 ( 1% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by sty.silver 14 days ago; known on 2021-01-01.

Joe Biden dies of coronavirus in 2020 ( 5% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by sjy 14 days ago; known on 2020-12-31.

Joe Biden gets coronavirus in 2020 ( 29% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by sjy 14 days ago; known on 2020-12-31.

Gamestop will reopen before the end of the year ( 67% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by daveisright 14 days ago; known on 2020-12-31.

Politics, UK – Government says restaurants may reopen for sit-in service before end of April. ( 18% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jbeshir 15 days ago; known in 26 days.

Coronavirus epidemic in US peaks before June 2020 ( 59% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by erstwhile 15 days ago; known on 2021-01-01.

Triplebyte will no longer exist as a company on August 20 2021, and if sold will have sold for less than $48.1M. ( 37% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by enolan 15 days ago; known on 2021-08-20.

Varun Grover thinks “No democracies, no dissent, and a world much like JG Ballard's High Rise” link: https://twitter.com/varungrover/status/1240970794001301504 ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by volis 16 days ago; known on 2030-01-01.

< 35M coronavirus deaths ( 83% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by kjaques 17 days ago; known on 2020-07-31.

<2M coronavirus deaths. ( 28% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by kjaques 17 days ago; known on 2020-07-31.

German schools open again after easter holidays ( 12% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by qznc 18 days ago; known in 13 days.

Army corps of engineers will build additional hospitals/testing around NYC/NJ ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by daveisright 19 days ago; known 2 days ago.

More than 300,000 people will die from corona in the US ( 78% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by daveisright 22 days ago; known on 2020-10-30.