[Politics] Carrie Lam to resign by 2019 EOY ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 1 day ago; known on 2020-01-01.

We will launch bookshare working on iOS in the next 30 days to users ( 60% confidence )

Created by Cliffw 3 days ago; known in 27 days.

I won't deal with main project for over 2 hours tomorrow ( 90% confidence )

Created by bobpage 5 days ago; known 3 days ago.

[Politics] By 2019-12-14, Hong Kong government to pass law that would allow extradition to mainland PRC ( 60% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato 5 days ago; known on 2019-12-14.

[Australian Politics] The Australian Labor Party will win the next Federal Election ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Jeefy01 6 days ago; known on 2022-05-30.

There will be a new iPhone in 2019 that uses a USB-C connector instead of Lightning ( 16% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by jamesrom 7 days ago; known on 2019-11-01.

[Commodities] Iran to be a member of OPEC as of 2019-12-12 ( 76% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato 7 days ago; known on 2019-12-12.

U.S. Stock Market at or above current worth through the November 2020 elections (as measured by the S&P500 – $2886.73 on June 10th 2019) ( 62% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by lettergram 7 days ago; known on 2020-11-05.

Trump wins a second term in office ( 55% confidence; 8 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum 13 days ago; known on 2020-11-04.

By election day 2020, Donald Trump's tax returns are published ( 21% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum 13 days ago; known on 2020-11-04.

[Fighting] Alexander Gustafsson to fight again by 2020-06-06 ( 17% confidence )

Created by Cato 13 days ago; known on 2020-06-06.

Andrew Yang runs as a third party candidate ( 33% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum 15 days ago; known on 2020-11-01.

US-China Trade War will NOT end in 2019. ( 78% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by zilong 15 days ago; known on 2019-12-31.

The Brexit Party to win the most seats in the next UK General Election ( 18% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by 6thNapoleon 16 days ago; known on 2022-05-06.

Felix Sater testifies publicly before Congress before November 2020 ( 20% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum 16 days ago; known on 2020-11-01.

No new American bootprints on the moon by the end of Calendar Year 2024. ( 86% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Paul.David.Carr 16 days ago; known on 2025-01-01.

[US politics] Andrew Yang to participate in the third Democratic primary debate ( 71% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 19 days ago; known on 2019-09-30.

[US economy] Conference Board “Leading Economic Index” for May 2019 to exceed 110 ( 82% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 19 days ago; known in about 15 hours.

[US economy] Conference Board “Leading Economic Index” for June 2019 to exceed 110 ( 78% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 19 days ago; known on 2019-07-18.

[US economy] Conference Board “Leading Economic Index” for July 2019 to exceed 110 ( 68% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 19 days ago; known on 2019-08-18.

[US economy] Conference Board “Leading Economic Index” for August 2019 to exceed 110 ( 64% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 19 days ago; known on 2019-09-18.

[US economy] Conference Board “Leading Economic Index” for September 2019 to exceed 110 ( 59% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 19 days ago; known on 2019-10-18.

[US economy] Conference Board “Leading Economic Index” for October 2019 to exceed 110 ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 19 days ago; known on 2019-11-18.

[US economy] Conference Board “Leading Economic Index” for November 2019 to exceed 110 ( 53% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 19 days ago; known on 2019-12-18.

[US economy] Conference Board “Leading Economic Index” for December 2019 to exceed 110 ( 52% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 19 days ago; known on 2020-01-18.

[US economy] Conference Board “Leading Economic Index” for January 2020 to exceed 110 ( 52% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 19 days ago; known on 2020-02-18.

[US economy] Conference Board “Leading Economic Index” for February 2020 to exceed 110 ( 51% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 19 days ago; known on 2020-03-18.

[US economy] Conference Board “Leading Economic Index” for March 2020 to exceed 110 ( 51% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 19 days ago; known on 2020-04-18.

[US economy] Conference Board “Leading Economic Index” for April 2020 to exceed 110 ( 51% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 19 days ago; known on 2020-05-18.

[US economy] Conference Board “Leading Economic Index” for May 2020 to exceed 110 ( 51% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 19 days ago; known on 2020-06-18.

[US politics] House of Representatives to vote on Trump impeachment articles before 2020-05-09 ( 38% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato 19 days ago; known on 2020-05-10.

Chinese government to limit or tax exports of rare earths to the US by 2019-08-30 ( 30% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato 19 days ago; known on 2019-08-31.

US to conduct nuclear weapons test by 2019-08-30 ( 3% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 19 days ago; known on 2019-08-31.

GPT-2 1.5B or a 3rd-party model trained with at least 40GB of text will be released before 2020 ( 65% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by AlexLamson 19 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

Kim Jong Un to visit Seoul by 2019-10-01 ( 3% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 21 days ago; known on 2019-10-01.

Para el mes 10 de 2019 habre terminado la certificacion de frontend developer de freecodecamp. ( 40% confidence )

Created by estebanf2019 21 days ago; known on 2019-09-01.

Apple will introduce some kind of augmented reality wearable device. ( 47% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by quanticle 22 days ago; known on 2021-01-01.

S&P 500 will close the year read ( 85% confidence )

Created by checkpooh 22 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

OpenAI will announce that it's hit its 100X returns cap for an investor (or investor round). ( 0% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by krazemon 26 days ago; known on 2035-01-01.

IRS turns Trump's tax returns over to Congress ( 12% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum 27 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

At least one year of Trump's tax documents are published by the New York Times between now and the 2020 election ( 29% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum 27 days ago; known on 2020-11-04.

N is sent back to Russia ( 29% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum 27 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

EPA finalizes a change to how air pollution deaths are calculated, and this change results in a decrease in the number of estimated deaths ( 28% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum 28 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

Boris Johnson to become Prime Minister by the next Conservative Party conference ( 47% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by 6thNapoleon 29 days ago; known on 2019-09-29.

Tesla stock trades below $150 on or before 2 May 2020 ( 5% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by separo 29 days ago; known on 2020-05-02.