I currently have COVID-19 ( 6% confidence )

Created by technillogue about 11 hours ago; known in 14 days.

Will NYC's snowfall in 2020-2021 be below average? ( 75% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea 2 days ago; known on 2022-01-01.

Will Boston's snowfall in 2020-2021 be below average? ( 60% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea 2 days ago; known on 2022-01-01.

Will China officially launch a coordinated campaign to discourage meat-eating (either through coercion or incentives) by 2050? ( 60% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea 2 days ago; known on 2051-01-01.

I will be able to plan out a schedule for the week and stick to it ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by srconstantin 3 days ago; known in about 23 hours.

I will meditate at least 180 hours total in 2021. ( 70% confidence )

Created by korakos 4 days ago; known on 2022-01-01.

Before the end of 2020, there will be at least one week (defined as 7 consecutive days) when I meditate on at least 5 days (defined as at least 30 minutes of total meditation time from 0am to 23:59pm). ( 50% confidence )

Created by korakos 4 days ago; known in 29 days.

I finish at least one edX/Coursera course (starting now) within the end of this year ( 65% confidence )

Created by platypus42 4 days ago; known in 29 days.

Péter Nádas will win a Nobel Literature prize before 2030. ( 10% confidence )

Created by korakos 5 days ago; known on 2030-01-01.

My grades in this semester will be 5-s (equivalents of A), with at most two exceptions, ( 80% confidence )

Created by korakos 5 days ago; known on 2021-02-10.

Kanye West will win the presidency in 2024 or 2028 ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by sty.silver 9 days ago; known on 2029-01-01.

Mike Pence will become President before Joe Biden does ( 3% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by seanbas 12 days ago; known on 2021-01-21.

The daily high temp in Portland will be below 53F. ( 75% confidence )

Created by Justinthere 13 days ago; known 10 days ago.

The 7-day rolling average of postive test % will be above 12% for Oregon. ( 100% confidence )

Created by Justinthere 13 days ago; known 10 days ago.

There will be shortages of COVID-19 vaccine in the US ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by srconstantin 17 days ago; known on 2021-07-01.

A vaccine will be out and at least 50M people will be vaccinated by COVID’s second birthday party (November 17th 2021) ( 87% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Liging 18 days ago; known on 2021-11-17.

COVID, UK – It is not a violation of any guideline or law for a single adult living alone to travel from Edinburgh to Carnforth on the 18th of December 2020 to stay with family. ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by jbeshir 18 days ago; known in 15 days.

Politics, US – Donald Trump concedes the 2020 US Presidential Election before the start of the 18th of January 2021. ( 79% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir 18 days ago; known on 2021-01-18.

Politics, US – Donald Trump concedes the 2020 US Presidential Election before the start of the 12th of December 2020 ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir 18 days ago; known in 8 days.

Trump will not concede the election before inauguration day. ( 49% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by seanbas 19 days ago; known on 2021-01-22.

Trump will be in prison or dead at the start of 2024. ( 5% confidence )

Created by sty.silver 19 days ago; known on 2024-01-01.

Joe Biden wins the 2024 presidential election ( 19% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by PlacidPlatypus 20 days ago; known on 2024-11-16.

Joe Biden runs for president in 2024 ( 31% confidence; 9 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by PlacidPlatypus 20 days ago; known on 2024-01-16.

[The covid death toll during 2021 will be more than] 40M ( 0% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga 23 days ago; known on 2022-01-15.

[The covid death toll during 2021 will be more than] 20M ( 0% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga 23 days ago; known on 2022-01-15.

[The covid death toll during 2021 will be more than] 10M ( 6% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Bruno Parga 23 days ago; known on 2022-01-15.

[The covid death toll during 2021 will be more than] 5M ( 16% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga 23 days ago; known on 2022-01-15.

[The covid death toll during 2021 will be more than] 2.5M ( 33% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga 23 days ago; known on 2022-01-15.

[The covid death toll during 2021 will be more than] 1.25M ( 58% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Bruno Parga 23 days ago; known on 2022-01-15.

[The covid death toll during 2021 will be more than] 750k ( 75% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga 23 days ago; known on 2022-01-15.

[The covid death toll during 2021 will be more than] 400k ( 89% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga 23 days ago; known on 2022-01-15.

[The covid death toll during 2021 will be more than] 200k ( 94% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga 23 days ago; known on 2022-01-15.

[The covid death toll during 2021 will be more than] 100k ( 97% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga 23 days ago; known on 2022-01-15.

[The covid death toll during 2021 will be more than] 50k ( 99% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga 23 days ago; known on 2022-01-15.

Politics, US – Trump wins a majority of the electoral college votes before February 2021. ( 3% confidence; 8 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by jbeshir 23 days ago; known on 2021-02-01.

Kamala Harris to be US President by the end of 2021. ( 8% confidence; 7 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ 25 days ago; known in 29 days.

Both GA senate races will go Republican in January ( 72% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by seanbas 25 days ago; known on 2021-01-15.