Susan Rice becomes Biden's VP choice ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by batemancapital about 13 hours ago; known on 2020-10-01.

Sprouts order matches what I ordered ( 70% confidence )

Created by Adam Zerner about 23 hours ago; known about 20 hours ago.

Pakistan beat England in first Test 2020 ( 60% confidence )

Created by Deepak 1 day ago; known in 4 days.

SendGrid's initial response fixes my issue ( 30% confidence )

Created by Adam Zerner 2 days ago; known in about 18 hours.

SendGrid responds to my help request this week ( 40% confidence )

Created by Adam Zerner 2 days ago; known in about 18 hours.

Joe Biden picks Kamala Harris as VP (during campaign) ( 70% confidence )

Created by sam_jaques 2 days ago; known on 2020-11-03.

there will be a huge explosion again.. ( 50% confidence )

Created by smodnix 2 days ago; known about 6 hours ago.

All the officers charged in the George Floyd case will be exonerated or there will be a hung jury. ( 70% confidence )

Created by unseen 3 days ago; known on 2022-08-04.

I will write one (new) post on my effort post blog ( 30% confidence )

Created by vincentluczkow 3 days ago; known in 28 days.

[The 2020 US presidential election will be won…] …in a landslide by Joe Biden. The voter suppression strategy didn't work. ( 60% confidence )

Created by evan.f.young@gmail.com 3 days ago; known on 2020-11-30.

[The 2020 US presidential election will be won…] narrowly by Donald Trump. His voter suppression strategy and electoral college advantages will result in a EC win but popular vote loss. ( 60% confidence; 4 comments )

Created by evan.f.young@gmail.com 3 days ago; known on 2020-11-30.

[The 2020 US presidential election will be won…] …narrowly by Joe Biden. His popular vote win will be massive but due to voter suppression and structural advantages his electoral college margin will be small. ( 70% confidence )

Created by evan.f.young@gmail.com 3 days ago; known on 2020-11-30.

S&P500 crashes by more than 5% in a session within 3 months. ( 60% confidence )

Created by abelriboulot 3 days ago; known on 2020-11-04.

UK does not exceed 5000 confirmed Coronavirus cases in a single day by the end of 2020 ( 70% confidence )

Created by sam_jaques 4 days ago; known on 2021-01-01.

Bk. will not try Anki (or at least tell me he did) until the end of the month ( 75% confidence )

Created by fandangos 4 days ago; known in 24 days.

No new major mandatory isolation law or something similar in the city I am currently living this week ( 70% confidence )

Created by fandangos 4 days ago; known in 2 days.

I won't have finished reading either Superforecasting, Faust or the law book by the end of the week ( 75% confidence )

Created by fandangos 4 days ago; known in 2 days.

I will have contacted my prof Am. by the end of the week ( 55% confidence )

Created by fandangos 4 days ago; known in 2 days.

I will have trained a NN with mean relative error (for some reasonable definition of it) across all 3 channels <= 15% by the end of the week (even if I use other people's data) ( 65% confidence )

Created by fandangos 4 days ago; known in 2 days.

I will have finished both of the macro chapters by the end of the week ( 55% confidence )

Created by fandangos 4 days ago; known in 2 days.

I will have finished studying all the probability distributions by the end of the week ( 60% confidence )

Created by fandangos 4 days ago; known in 2 days.

I will have made a push-up with reasonable (not necessarily perfect) form on the floor until the end of August ( 60% confidence )

Created by fandangos 4 days ago; known in 24 days.

Until Sunday I won't be able to do a push-up on the floor (if I don't actually try this doesn't count) ( 60% confidence )

Created by fandangos 4 days ago; known in 2 days.

I won't have finished all pieces from Part A of the sight singing program until the end of August ( 65% confidence )

Created by fandangos 4 days ago; known in 24 days.

I won't have finished Unit 7 of the sight singing program by the end of the week ( 60% confidence )

Created by fandangos 4 days ago; known in 2 days.

I won't have finished (being reasonably satisfied with melodies / chords) transcription of Moondog piece by the end of the month ( 40% confidence )

Created by fandangos 4 days ago; known in 24 days.

[I won't finish (being reasonably satisfied with the chords / melodies) transcribing the piece by Moondog] by the end of the week ( 60% confidence )

Created by fandangos 4 days ago; known in 2 days.

Derek Chauvin will not be found guilty of murder / murder charges will be dropped (w.r.t George Floyd case). ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by galaga 4 days ago; known on 2021-03-02.

India will have higher total (cumulative) confirmed COVID-19 cases than the US at some point before December 31 2021. ( 70% confidence )

Created by galaga 4 days ago; known on 2022-01-02.

India and China's border dispute escalates to a battle fought more than 100 km from the border ( 15% confidence )

Created by sam_jaques 4 days ago; known on 2021-08-03.

Open table D&D game still going reasonably well in six months ( 60% confidence )

Created by PlacidPlatypus 5 days ago; known on 2021-02-02.