AWS will announce an ap-southeast-3 region for Western Australia, by the end of 2020 ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by bly 5 days ago; known on 2021-01-16.

[AWS] re:invent 2020 will announce the next iteration of DeepRacer – head to head combat robot competitions (think battle bots) ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by bly 6 days ago; known on 2020-12-16.

oil consumption will remain at or above current levels for at least 20 years ( 59% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by kjaques 8 days ago; known on 2039-11-30.

Pete Buttigieg will win the democratic primary ( 42% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by skuthus 11 days ago; known on 2020-06-16.

[Fighting] Tony Ferguson and Khabib Nurmagomedov to fight in April 2020 ( 73% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 12 days ago; known on 2020-04-19.

The Netherlands will make their 2020 Urgenda climate goal ( 29% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Stucwerk 12 days ago; known on 2021-01-01.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states, including DC, not won by Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders, Warren, or Yang to be] 41 to 51 ( 0% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states, including DC, not won by Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders, Warren, or Yang to be] 31 to 40 ( 0% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states, including DC, not won by Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders, Warren, or Yang to be] 21 to 30 ( 0% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states, including DC, not won by Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders, Warren, or Yang to be] 11 to 20 ( 2% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states, including DC, not won by Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders, Warren, or Yang to be] 1 to 10 ( 78% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states, including DC, not won by Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders, Warren, or Yang to be] 0 ( 19% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Andrew Yang to be] 41 to 51 ( 0% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Andrew Yang to be] 31 to 40 ( 0% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Andrew Yang to be] 21 to 30 ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Andrew Yang to be] 11 to 20 ( 6% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Andrew Yang to be] 1 to 10 ( 77% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Andrew Yang to be] 0 ( 18% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Bernie Sanders to be] 41 to 51 ( 0% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Bernie Sanders to be] 31 to 40 ( 0% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Bernie Sanders to be] 21 to 30 ( 5% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Bernie Sanders to be] 11 to 20 ( 56% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Bernie Sanders to be] 1 to 10 ( 33% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Bernie Sanders to be] 0 ( 10% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Elizabeth Warren to be] 41 to 51 ( 0% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Elizabeth Warren to be] 31 to 40 ( 2% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Elizabeth Warren to be] 21 to 30 ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Elizabeth Warren to be] 11 to 20 ( 42% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Elizabeth Warren to be] 1 to 10 ( 35% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Elizabeth Warren to be] 0 ( 0% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Pete Buttigieg to be] 41 to 51 ( 0% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Pete Buttigieg to be] 31 to 40 ( 0% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Pete Buttigieg to be] 21 to 30 ( 10% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Pete Buttigieg to be] 11 to 20 ( 28% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Pete Buttigieg to be] 1 to 10 ( 66% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Pete Buttigieg to be] 0 ( 2% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Joe Biden to be] 41 to 51 ( 0% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Joe Biden to be] 31 to 40 ( 5% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Joe Biden to be] 21 to 30 ( 9% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Joe Biden to be] 11 to 20 ( 69% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Joe Biden to be] 1 to 10 ( 18% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Joe Biden to be] 0 ( 0% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2020-06-02.

My November 2020 self will think Brexit is on net bad (ALL things considered) ( 78% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by wolfish_wrath 18 days ago; known on 2020-11-20.

Vice President Mike Pence to make any public comment regarding the impeachment hearings ( 10% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum 20 days ago; known 7 days ago.

PLA to use force against protesters in Hong Kong before 2020-01-01 ( 8% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum 20 days ago; known in 24 days.

If I ever understand monetary policy properly, I’ll think that Scott Sumner is basically right about NGDP targeting etc ( 80% confidence )

Created by wolfish_wrath 21 days ago; known on 2020-11-17.

[Relativo a las elecciones del 10N,] se formará gobierno y agotará legislatura ( 36% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by sortega 26 days ago; known on 2020-05-12.

[Relativo a las elecciones del 10N,] se formará gobierno y durará al menos dos años ( 32% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by sortega 26 days ago; known on 2020-05-12.