david kim wins primary in ga-07 ( 30% confidence )

Created by elephantower about 2 hours ago; known in 7 days.

john james wins mi senate gop primary ( 80% confidence )

Created by elephantower about 2 hours ago; known on 2018-08-19.

Rashida Tlaib loses primary (bet on it) ( 70% confidence )

Created by elephantower 2 days ago; known in 29 days.

The arch beside GEC-2 will get completed in the next 8 weeks ( 10% confidence )

Created by shardo 2 days ago; known on 2018-09-09.

Reddit to be blocked in China by August EOM ( 15% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 3 days ago; known on 2018-09-01.

Bolsonaro to be elected president of Brazil ( 35% confidence )

Created by Cato 3 days ago; known on 2018-10-29.

Donald Trump will explicitly express support for Taiwanese independence this year. ( 8% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 3 days ago; known on 2019-01-01.

I will have visited every city in this province by 2018 EOY. ( 75% confidence )

Created by Cato 3 days ago; known on 2019-01-01.

UK politics: general election called in next two months ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by splorridge 9 days ago; known on 2018-09-10.

UK politics: Leadership challenge against Theresa May within the next two months ( 46% confidence )

Created by splorridge 9 days ago; known on 2018-09-10.

UK politics: Boris Johnson returns to May's cabinet in the next month ( 30% confidence )

Created by splorridge 9 days ago; known in 22 days.

UK Politics: Another cabinet resignation this week ( 56% confidence )

Created by splorridge 9 days ago; known 4 days ago.

Personal, Social – I go to the AW social group on 2018-08-09. ( 73% confidence )

Created by jbeshir 14 days ago; known in 22 days.

SLS to be launched at least once or to be canceled outright by May 15, 2025 ( 55% confidence )

Created by JoshuaZ 15 days ago; known on 2025-05-16.

The Keyholder will win the Heaven or Hell prestige class contest on Giants in the Playground ( 41% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ 15 days ago; known in 11 days.

The ETL Daily – Monthly Metrics will crash on the 07/04 ( 70% confidence )

Created by malafp 16 days ago; known 15 days ago.

The 2018 Safra conference on AI is open to the public ( 90% confidence )

Created by ccokeefe 17 days ago; known on 2018-12-03.

It's a test prediction ( 46% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Joy 19 days ago; known 5 days ago.

My relationship with L. will be ongoing as of the end of 2018. ( 90% confidence )

Created by imaxwell 19 days ago; known on 2018-12-31.

Obergefell v Hodges effectively overturned by December 31, 2025 ( 51% confidence )

Created by JoshuaZ 19 days ago; known on 2026-01-01.

Roe v. Wade and related precedents (e.g. Casey) effectively overturned by December 31, 2025. ( 47% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by JoshuaZ 20 days ago; known on 2026-01-01.

There will be national or global economic data that is widely regarded (by econ bloggers and mainstream media outlets) as a bursting of the higher education bubble. ( 1% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by dnti808 20 days ago; known on 2019-06-29.

Prediction: By December 31st, 2019, AMD will sell a commercially available 48-core, 96-thread desktop CPU, compatible with currently available motherboards, costing $2,000 USD or less (before tax, shipping, cooler etc). ( 55% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by JoshuaZ 21 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

The rest of the European countries will introduce visa för Sweden by 2030 ( 95% confidence )

Created by d8e8fca2dc0f896fd7cb4cb0031ba249@mailinator.com 26 days ago; known on 2030-01-01.

Övriga Europeiska länder kommer att införa visum för Sverige före år 2030 ( 95% confidence )

Created by d8e8fca2dc0f896fd7cb4cb0031ba249@mailinator.com 26 days ago; known on 2030-01-01.

Övriga EU länder kommer att införa visum mot Sverige före 2030 ( 85% confidence )

Created by gsfshdshdfgfd@mailinator.com 26 days ago; known on 2030-01-01.

Tumblr user the-real-numbers has not found a regularity in SHA-256 based on neural networks. ( 99% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by enolan 27 days ago; known 20 days ago.

HK's Basic Law to be cancelled in 2018. ( 5% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 30 days ago; known on 2019-01-01.

Kanye or Kim will run for President in 2020. ( 51% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by ldor_11 on 2018-06-18; known on 2020-11-04.

SITSA Act is signed into law. ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by avi on 2018-06-17; known on 2019-01-01.

The “3 Cal” proposal to create three different California states gets a majority of votes in the 2018 election ( 7% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by peter_hurford on 2018-06-17; known on 2018-12-01.

Politics, US – The US Federal government announces that the policy of separating migrant children from their parents as a routine practice is to be ended before the end of July 2018. ( 41% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-06-16; known in 13 days.

Politics, UK – Permission is granted or objections withdrawn by the Home Office to permitting Billy Caldwell to have a prescription for a THC-containing medical product before the end of July 2018. ( 43% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-06-16; known in 13 days.

Politics, UK – Bill specifically illegalising upskirting passes the House of Commons before the end of July 2018. ( 36% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-06-16; known in 13 days.

APS El1 by 2023 ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by arun on 2018-06-16; known on 2023-01-01.

Aaron – 1on1 – Uses the phrase “Over-Engineering” ( 80% confidence )

Created by zach.riddle on 2018-06-14; known on 2018-06-15.

My relationship with my girlfriend lasts at least until the end of 2018 ( 67% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by avi on 2018-06-12; known on 2019-01-01.