Google Gmail will survive 5 more years
Created by gwern on 2013-05-02; known on 2018-05-02; judged right by gwern on 2018-04-02.
- gwern estimated 99% on 2013-05-02
- JoshuaZ estimated 95% on 2013-05-02
- holycow81 estimated 94% on 2013-05-27
- Tuxedage estimated 99% on 2013-05-28
- procran estimated 99% on 2013-05-31
- Michael Dickens estimated 90% on 2013-06-16
- Ken estimated 99% on 2013-06-17
- PseudonymousUser estimated 98% on 2013-11-14
- rebellionkid estimated 100% on 2014-06-12
- themusicgod1 estimated 89% on 2016-04-15
- themusicgod1 estimated 84% on 2017-04-28
- gwern judged this prediction right on 2018-04-02.