Google Scholar will survive 5 more years

Created by gwern on 2013-05-02; known on 2018-05-02; judged right by gwern on 2018-04-02.

• gwern estimated 85% on 2013-05-02
• Ben Doherty estimated 51% and said “I can see google consolidating the searches at some point soon.” on 2013-05-07
• Tuxedage estimated 90% on 2013-05-08
• Isaac estimated 80% on 2013-05-09
• Michael Dickens estimated 90% on 2013-06-16
• themusicgod1 estimated 70% on 2016-04-15
• themusicgod1 estimated 77% on 2017-04-28
• gwern said “phew! I wasn’t sure about this one but GS is still a standalone service specialized to its task and typically much more useful than regular Google search. I’m glad it’s still around.” on 2018-04-02
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2018-04-02.