Google Project Glass will survive 5 years

Created by gwern on 2013-05-03; known on 2018-05-03; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2017-04-28.

• gwern estimated 50% on 2013-05-03
• RandomThinker estimated 65% and said “They love this at the Googleplex. It’d be like killing a favorite pet.” on 2013-05-03
• gwern said “Yet sooner or later, one has to make that final trip to the vet. Sometimes one has to admit something has failed and it’s time to move on.” on 2013-05-03
• holycow81 estimated 65% on 2013-05-27
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2013-05-27
• Tuxedage estimated 60% on 2013-05-28
• Michael Dickens estimated 60% on 2013-06-16
• PseudonymousUser estimated 65% on 2013-11-14
• themusicgod1 estimated 42% on 2016-04-15
• themusicgod1 said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Google_GlassDiscontinued January 15th, 2015” on 2017-04-28
• themusicgod1   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-04-28.