The price of Bitcoin will be <=$50 before 20 December 2013.

Created by gwern on 2013-10-19; known on 2013-12-20; judged wrong by bobpage on 2013-12-20.

  • gwern estimated 5% on 2013-10-19
  • gwern said “this is for a bet between me & qwertyoruiop; for the details see http://pastebin.com/raw.php?i=0Psiuupw / https://ghostbin.com/paste/5q2dm/rawon 2013-10-19
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2013-12-20” and changed their prediction from “The price of Bitcoin will fall below $50 before 20 December 2013.” on 2013-10-19
  • Tuxedage estimated 2% on 2013-10-19
  • nanotube estimated 10% on 2013-10-19
  • procran estimated 3% on 2013-10-20
  • lavalamp estimated 15% on 2013-10-24
  • Jach estimated 1% on 2013-11-01
  • notsonewuser estimated 5% and said “Would have been 10%, but adjusting down because of other estimations.on 2013-11-06
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 5% on 2013-11-18
  • notsonewuser estimated 1% and said “Yeah, no.on 2013-11-19
  • bobpage estimated 3% on 2013-11-19
  • fela estimated 21% on 2013-11-19
  • bobpage  judged this prediction wrong on 2013-12-20.
  • gwern said “qwertyoruiop paid up, if anyone was wondering.on 2013-12-20
  • nanotube said “gratz gwern. :)on 2013-12-21

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction