The price of Bitcoin will be <=$50 before 20 December 2013.

Created by gwern on 2013-10-19; known on 2013-12-20; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2013-12-20.

• gwern estimated 5% on 2013-10-19
• gwern said “this is for a bet between me & qwertyoruiop; for the details see http://pastebin.com/raw.php?i=0Psiuupw / https://ghostbin.com/paste/5q2dm/raw” on 2013-10-19
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2013-12-20” and changed their prediction from “The price of Bitcoin will fall below $50 before 20 December 2013.” on 2013-10-19
• Tuxedage estimated 2% on 2013-10-19
• nanotube estimated 10% on 2013-10-19
• procran estimated 3% on 2013-10-20
• lavalamp estimated 15% on 2013-10-24
• Jach estimated 1% on 2013-11-01
• PseudonymousUser estimated 5% and said “Would have been 10%, but adjusting down because of other estimations.” on 2013-11-06
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 5% on 2013-11-18
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% and said “Yeah, no.” on 2013-11-19
• PseudonymousUser estimated 3% on 2013-11-19
• fela estimated 21% on 2013-11-19
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-12-20.
• gwern said “qwertyoruiop paid up, if anyone was wondering.” on 2013-12-20
• nanotube said “gratz gwern. :)” on 2013-12-21