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Zerocoin as functioning altcoin network within a year

Created by gwern on 2013-11-22; known on 2014-11-22; judged wrong by kuudes on 2014-11-23.

  • gwern estimated 60% on 2013-11-22
  • gwern said “note: Zerocoin functionality added to Bitcoin does not counton 2013-11-22
  • gwern estimated 65% on 2013-11-22
  • Tuxedage estimated 80% on 2013-11-23
  • oooo estimated 75% on 2013-11-23
  • gimpf estimated 75% on 2013-11-24
  • kuudes estimated 10% on 2014-10-25
  • kuudes   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-11-23.