Steve Jobs's will shall donate 0-10% of his wealth to charity
Created by gwern on 2011-10-06; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2013-01-01.
- gwern estimated 60% on 2011-10-06
- Robert Kosten estimated 70% on 2011-10-06
- JoshuaZ estimated 60% on 2011-10-06
- JoshuaZ estimated 30% and said “Sorry, this means no more than 10%? Then disagree. ” on 2011-10-06
- Sandra Åhlén estimated 45% on 2011-10-07
- Laura judged this prediction right on 2011-10-07.
- Laura said “almost 5%” on 2011-10-07
- gwern said “Laura, what is that percentage based on? I didn’t notice any coverage when I looked” on 2011-10-07
- JoshuaZ judged this prediction unknown on 2011-10-07.
- JoshuaZ said “I can’t find anything saying this. Marking as unknown until further notice. ” on 2011-10-07
- Anubhav estimated 80% on 2011-10-10
- gwern changed the deadline from “on 2012-01-01” on 2012-01-01
- gwern judged this prediction right on 2013-01-01.