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Steve Jobs's will shall donate 0-10% of his wealth to charity

Created by gwern on 2011-10-06; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2013-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 60% on 2011-10-06
  • Robert Kosten estimated 70% on 2011-10-06
  • JoshuaZ estimated 60% on 2011-10-06
  • JoshuaZ estimated 30% and said “Sorry, this means no more than 10%? Then disagree. on 2011-10-06
  • Sandra Åhlén estimated 45% on 2011-10-07
  • Laura   judged this prediction right on 2011-10-07.
  • Laura said “almost 5%on 2011-10-07
  • gwern said “Laura, what is that percentage based on? I didn’t notice any coverage when I lookedon 2011-10-07
  • JoshuaZ   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-10-07.
  • JoshuaZ said “I can’t find anything saying this. Marking as unknown until further notice. on 2011-10-07
  • Anubhav estimated 80% on 2011-10-10
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2012-01-01on 2012-01-01
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2013-01-01.