Chinese People's Liberation Army to be (overtly) deployed to Hong Kong by 2020-01-23 ( 16% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-07-24; known in 2 days.

Mukhtarbay Otelbayev will not win a Millennium Prize for his work on the Navier-Stokes equations. ( 85% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by adbge on 2014-01-24; known in 3 days.

[US economy] Conference Board “Leading Economic Index” for December 2019 to exceed 110 ( 55% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-30; known in 3 days.

Personal – My heating has been fixed by 2020-01-25 ( 33% confidence )

Created by jbeshir 10 days ago; known in 4 days.

US Secretary of State to visit Iran by 2020-01-25 ( 13% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-07-26; known in 4 days.

US President to visit Iran by 2020-01-25 ( 8% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-07-26; known in 4 days.

Personal, Productivity – I get through “Economic Implications Of Software Minds” by deadline. ( 70% confidence )

Created by jbeshir 3 days ago; known in 5 days.

Tech – Travelex website is once again offering online automated foreign exchange services before start of 2020-01-27. ( 26% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jbeshir 3 days ago; known in 5 days.

[US FOMC January 2020 rate decision to be] raise rate ( 5% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-19; known in 8 days.

[US FOMC January 2020 rate decision to be] leave rate unchanged ( 22% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-19; known in 8 days.

[US FOMC January 2020 rate decision to be] reduce rate ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-19; known in 8 days.

January 2020 VIX call at 22 will be in the money ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by batemancapital 20 days ago; known in 10 days.

[Vikings] Lagertha survives season 6 ( 40% confidence )

Created by qznc 24 days ago; known in 10 days.

[Vikings] Bjorn is elected king of all Norway ( 60% confidence )

Created by qznc 24 days ago; known in 10 days.

Abrams runs for president in 2020 ( 19% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by amadeu on 2019-03-18; known in 10 days.

Doomslayer from Doom is a Smash Ultimate DLC character ( 7% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by gallerdude on 2018-12-10; known in 10 days.

[USDCNY: As of January 2020 EOM, the price of a dollar in terms of Chinese yuan to be] greater than 6.7 ( 85% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-08-02; known in 10 days.

[USDCNY: As of January 2020 EOM, the price of a dollar in terms of Chinese yuan to be] greater than 6.5 ( 93% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-08-02; known in 10 days.

[USDCNY: As of January 2020 EOM, the price of a dollar in terms of Chinese yuan to be] greater than 6.6 ( 90% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-08-02; known in 10 days.

Personal – I manage to find a way to store my bike at ground level, short of the stairwell, before start of 2020-02-01 ( 55% confidence )

Created by jbeshir 10 days ago; known in 10 days.

[USDCNY: As of January 2020 EOM, the price of a dollar in terms of Chinese yuan to be] greater than 6.9 ( 75% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-08-02; known in 10 days.

[USDCNY: As of January 2020 EOM, the price of a dollar in terms of Chinese yuan to be] greater than 7 ( 57% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-08-02; known in 10 days.

[USDCNY: As of January 2020 EOM, the price of a dollar in terms of Chinese yuan to be] greater than 6.8 ( 81% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-08-02; known in 10 days.

EU to succeed in its target of cutting greenhouse gas levels to 20% of 1990 levels by 2020. ( 66% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by simplicio on 2013-01-18; known in 10 days.

Sans from Undertale is a Smash Ultimate DLC character ( 12% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by gallerdude on 2018-12-10; known in 10 days.

Politics, UK – Big Ben rings on the 31st of January or 1st of February, London Time. ( 27% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jbeshir 4 days ago; known in 11 days.

Politics – Iran strikes, and does not deny striking, a US military base between 2020-01-12 and 2020-02-02 ( 12% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by jbeshir 10 days ago; known in 12 days.

[US Democratic primary: Iowa winner to be] Andrew Yang ( 6% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 13 days.

[US Democratic primary: Iowa winner to be] Julian Castro ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 13 days.

[US Democratic primary: Iowa winner to be] Cory Booker ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 13 days.

[US Democratic primary: Iowa winner to be] Amy Klobuchar ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 13 days.

[US Democratic primary: Iowa winner to be] Bernie Sanders ( 21% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 13 days.

[US Democratic primary: Iowa winner to be] Beto O'Rourke ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 13 days.

[US Democratic primary: Iowa winner to be] Joe Biden ( 23% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 13 days.

[US Democratic primary: Iowa winner to be] Pete Buttigieg ( 17% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 13 days.

[US Democratic primary: Iowa winner to be] any other candidate ( 5% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 13 days.

[US Democratic primary: Iowa winner to be] Kamala Harris ( 4% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 13 days.

[US Democratic primary: Iowa winner to be] Elizabeth Warren ( 21% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 13 days.

[US Economy] “Recession probability” indicator for December 2019 to exceed 50% ( 17% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-03; known in 14 days.

Tech – Charter delays shutdown of its home security service beyond 2020-02-05. ( 15% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jbeshir 4 days ago; known in 15 days.

WTI crude futures to have been in contango on average in January 2020 (i.e., M4 > M1) ( 43% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 16 days.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of February 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] February 2019 ( 61% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known in 19 days.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of February 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] January 2020 ( 53% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known in 19 days.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of January 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] January 2019 ( 61% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known in 19 days.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of January 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] December 2019 ( 54% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known in 19 days.

[US Democratic primary: New Hampshire winner to be] any other candidate ( 4% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 21 days.

[US Democratic primary: New Hampshire winner to be] Cory Booker ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 21 days.

[US Democratic primary: New Hampshire winner to be] Pete Buttigieg ( 12% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 21 days.

[US Democratic primary: New Hampshire winner to be] Kamala Harris ( 4% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 21 days.

[US Democratic primary: New Hampshire winner to be] Beto O'Rourke ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 21 days.