Politics UK – The Health Protection (Coronavirus, Restrictions) (England) Regulations 2020 (6) restrictions on movement are lifted in full by end of May. ( 22% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jbeshir 30 days ago; known in about 7 hours.

The Democratic Party will run Hillary Clinton for President in the 2020 election ( 3% confidence; 17 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by bobpage on 2017-06-01; known in about 7 hours.

This sore throat I’ve had for 5 days won’t turn into anything worse ( 95% confidence )

Created by msonaeiou 7 days ago; known in about 8 hours.

Germanys Corona-Warn-App has a release in May ( 10% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by qznc on 2020-05-01; known in about 17 hours.

Politics, India – Dr Sudhakar Rao released from mental hospital by end of May. ( 61% confidence )

Created by jbeshir 9 days ago; known in about 19 hours.

Politics, UK – “The Health Protection (Coronavirus, Restrictions) (England) Regulations 2020 (4)” requirement to close premises and businesses is revoked or amended, or the list of affected businesses in Schedule 2 is amended, by end of May. ( 51% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jbeshir 30 days ago; known in about 19 hours.

6183331e9007a573863190a476a3abb8 quits SaskTel ( 43% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-06; known in about 19 hours.

Politics UK – The Health Protection (Coronavirus, Restrictions) (England) Regulations 2020 (6) restrictions on movement are lifted in full or amended by end of May. ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jbeshir 30 days ago; known in about 19 hours.

[Politics] Iran and US to establish formal diplomatic relations by May 2020 EOM ( 5% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known in about 19 hours.

Beto O'Rourke becomes the 2020 Democratic nominee ( 11% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-03-15; known in about 19 hours.

San Francisco will extend the shelter-in-place order beyond May 31st. ( 45% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by jacobgreenleaf 30 days ago; known in about 19 hours.

One or more members of predictionbook acknowledges that excluding features with statistically significant coefficients when constructing statistical models is a form pseudo-rationality, and admits below to being guilty of this. ( 45% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2020-04-22; known in about 19 hours.

Personal, Productivity – I finish reading and making Anki cards for four more MIRI papers by end of May 2020. ( 80% confidence )

Created by jbeshir 16 days ago; known in about 19 hours.

A US Navy vessel to sink or be destroyed in the Persian/Arab Gulf by May 2020 EOM ( 12% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-13; known in about 19 hours.

US military to execute air strike or missile strike on Iranian territory or naval assets by May 2020 EOM ( 27% confidence; 19 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-13; known in about 19 hours.

Austin Petersen will be the Libertarian Party's nominee for president in 2020 ( 33% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Greenham on 2017-02-24; known in about 19 hours.

Chris Shinski will like J-pop in 2020. ( 65% confidence )

Created by spqr0a1 on 2012-03-31; known in about 23 hours.

Politics, UK – More than 50% of the UK's schools are open on the 1st of June 2020 ( 13% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by jbeshir on 2020-04-25; known in 1 day.

[US Democratic primary: Montana winner to be] Julian Castro ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 3 days.

[US Democratic primary: Montana winner to be] Amy Klobuchar ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 3 days.

[US Democratic primary: Montana winner to be] Bernie Sanders ( 17% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 3 days.

[US Democratic primary: Montana winner to be] Cory Booker ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 3 days.

[US Democratic primary: Montana winner to be] Joe Biden ( 27% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 3 days.

[US Democratic primary: Montana winner to be] any other candidate ( 6% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 3 days.

[US Democratic primary: Montana winner to be] Andrew Yang ( 7% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 3 days.

[US Democratic primary: Montana winner to be] Pete Buttigieg ( 12% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 3 days.

[US Democratic primary: Montana winner to be] Kamala Harris ( 5% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 3 days.

[US Democratic primary: Montana winner to be] Elizabeth Warren ( 23% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 3 days.

[US Democratic primary: Montana winner to be] Beto O'Rourke ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 3 days.

COVID, Sweden – Deaths due to COVID-19 exceed 350 on a single day in May 2020. ( 33% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2020-04-25; known in 3 days.

COVID, Sweden – Deaths due to COVID-19 exceed 250 on a single day in May 2020. ( 41% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2020-04-25; known in 3 days.

[Hong Kong's 2020 Tiananmen Square Incident commemoration vigil] to be canceled/banned ( 8% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 5 days.

[Hong Kong's 2020 Tiananmen Square Incident commemoration vigil] attendance to exceed that of 2019, conditional on vigil being held ( 58% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 5 days.

I will learn to cook, and will turn out to be better at it than my parents. ( 80% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-06-04; known in 5 days.

Ludovico Einaudi will still be my favourite composer five years from now. ( 79% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-06-04; known in 5 days.

[Fighting] Alexander Gustafsson to fight again by 2020-06-06 ( 22% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-06-05; known in 6 days.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of May 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] May 2019 ( 58% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known in 10 days.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of May 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] April 2020 ( 50% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known in 10 days.

[US FOMC June 2020 rate decision to be] leave rate unchanged ( 54% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-19; known in 11 days.

[US FOMC June 2020 rate decision to be] reduce rate ( 36% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-19; known in 11 days.

[US FOMC June 2020 rate decision to be] raise rate ( 6% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-19; known in 11 days.

[Commodities: In at least one month between May 2019 and May 2020, Iraq crude oil production to fall below] 4 MMbpd ( 25% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-16; known in 14 days.

[Commodities] Venezuela will produce 0 crude oil in at least one month between May 2019 and May 2020 ( 11% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-16; known in 14 days.

[Commodities: In at least one month between May 2019 and May 2020, Iraq crude oil production to fall below] 1 MMbpd ( 5% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-16; known in 14 days.

[Commodities: In at least one month between May 2019 and May 2020, Iraq crude oil production to fall below] 2 MMbpd ( 8% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-16; known in 14 days.

[Commodities: In at least one month between May 2019 and May 2020, Iraq crude oil production to fall below] 3 MMbpd ( 13% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-16; known in 14 days.

The masked singer season 3 kitty is Maisie Williams ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Ianharrison on 2020-03-08; known in 15 days.

Hezbollah disbanded by 2020 ( 13% confidence; 8 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Jach on 2012-09-19; known in 15 days.

Another character from Breath of the Wild will be added in Smash for Switch, either on release or within 18 months of release. ( 43% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-16; known in 15 days.