Personal, Productivity – I read and make Anki cards for chapter 11 of CtCI by deadline. ( 85% confidence )

Created by jbeshir about 17 hours ago; known in 6 minutes.

Skip will see his parents in person before May 15, 2021 ( 70% confidence )

Created by Liface on 2021-01-03; known in 1 day.

Blue Origin will charge between 50,000 to 200,000 for a ride on New Shepard. ( 55% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by JoshuaZ 14 days ago; known in 1 day.

COVID, UK – Indoor social meetings of 6 people in England allowed on or before the 18th of May 2021. ( 75% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir 26 days ago; known in 5 days.

[Self] I will finish my course on rhetoric in a way that makes me proud. ( 25% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by meedstrom on 2021-02-09; known in 7 days.

I am banned from Facebook ( 23% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-05-23; known in 8 days.

26.05.1963 08.04.21 DNET MVNT ( 80% confidence )

Created by Almatter 21 days ago; known in 9 days.

I am going to resign before the end of May ( 100% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Alk on 2021-04-06; known in 17 days.

AOC will not testify in a criminal trial against anyone involved in the Capitol riot. ( 60% confidence )

Created by srconstantin on 2021-02-08; known in 18 days.

I will get a first vaccine shot by end of may ( 75% confidence )

Created by dstephens99 on 2021-03-30; known in 18 days.

behnke 13.02.1965 GCT ( 80% confidence )

Created by prosti 9 days ago; known in 18 days.

Lund University, Sweden returns to physical classrooms by June ( 50% confidence )

Created by meedstrom on 2021-02-14; known in 18 days.

A Fortune 500 company (besides Tesla) within the next 3 months will announce they have bought Bitcoin ( 57% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by kadavy on 2021-03-01; known in 18 days.

A CRISPR-edited human baby will be born by 2020 ( 43% confidence; 19 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by gwern on 2016-02-07; known in 19 days.

At least 4% of non-electric vehicles sold in 2020 in the US will be diesel. ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-10-02; known in 19 days.

COVID, UK – The UK has a 7 day rolling average above 2,000 COVID deaths before 1 June 2021. ( 7% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2021-01-24; known in 19 days.

[Self] I will get my Bachelor's degree by June. ( 10% confidence )

Created by meedstrom on 2021-02-09; known in 19 days.

Computer users who have stickers on their laptop are as a group more aggressive and more likely to get into arguments online than those who do not have stickers ( 66% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-06-03; known in 20 days.

Backdoor in crypto used by Signal/libsignal (revealed to public in 5 years) ( 49% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-06-12; known in 27 days.

NYC gyms will be allowed to remain open (not necessarily full capacity) throughout the potential 4th wave of covid infections. ( 72% confidence )

Created by pdf on 2021-02-22; known on 2021-06-15.

RSA-260 factored by 2021-05-31. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RSA_Factoring_Challenge ( 40% confidence )

Created by evand on 2021-03-04; known on 2021-06-15.

SN 15 to fly again by June 15. ( 58% confidence )

Created by JoshuaZ 4 days ago; known on 2021-06-15.

My WAM for sem 1 2021 will be 90+ ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by iterate-again on 2021-01-16; known on 2021-06-15.

A COVID-19 vaccine will be made available to the general populace in August, 2021. ( 70% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Jim_P on 2020-06-11; known on 2021-06-16.

Conditional on Egypt Flight 804 being a terrorist plot, the weak link will not be France or French airport security ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by two2thehead on 2016-07-07; known on 2021-06-16.

Within five years it will be generally agreed that Egypt Flight 804 was brought down by an act of terror rather than a mechanical fault. ( 58% confidence; 4 wagers; 10 comments )

Created by two2thehead on 2016-06-16; known on 2021-06-16.

Andrew Yang participates (competes) in the primary for the NYC mayoral election. ( 60% confidence )

Created by krazemon on 2021-02-23; known on 2021-06-22.

Conditional on his participation, Andrew Yang wins the primary for the NYC mayoral election. ( 30% confidence )

Created by krazemon on 2021-02-23; known on 2021-06-22.

Buying LinkedIn will turn out to be a bad decision for Microsoft! ( 75% confidence; 4 comments )

Created by hoka on 2016-06-25; known on 2021-06-25.

Jurassic World 3 is released in June 2021 ( 42% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by qznc on 2019-12-29; known on 2021-06-30.

An Immunitor vaccine clinical trial will actually take place in more than 20 people. ( 7% confidence )

Created by katriel on 2020-06-22; known on 2021-06-30.

[REACH (or a likely successor) will be open by] EOY 2021 ( 60% confidence )

Created by enolan on 2020-05-16; known on 2021-07-01.

[REACH (or a likely successor) will be open by] EOM June 2021 ( 50% confidence )

Created by enolan on 2020-05-16; known on 2021-07-01.

Luca movie is released by Pixar in June ( 70% confidence )

Created by qznc on 2021-01-01; known on 2021-07-01.

Politics, US – 1% or less of absentee ballots are rejected in the November 2020 presidential election. ( 25% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2020-10-31; known on 2021-07-01.

[Project will be published [or privately completed] by Jun 30] CM ( 95% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2021-01-13; known on 2021-07-01.

[Project will be published [or privately completed] by Jun 30] IC ( 99% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2021-01-13; known on 2021-07-01.

[Project will be published [or privately completed] by Jun 30] NKU ( 70% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2021-01-13; known on 2021-07-01.

Politics, US – 4.5% or more of absentee ballots are rejected in the November 2020 presidential election. ( 25% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2020-10-31; known on 2021-07-01.

[Project will be published [or privately completed] by Jun 30] S2 ( 60% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2021-01-13; known on 2021-07-01.

There will be shortages of COVID-19 vaccine in the US ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by srconstantin on 2020-11-16; known on 2021-07-01.

[Project will be published [or privately completed] by Jun 30] SP ( 90% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2021-01-13; known on 2021-07-01.

[Project will be published [or privately completed] by Jun 30] S1 ( 50% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2021-01-13; known on 2021-07-01.

[Self] Tensing reveals my abs by July ( 3% confidence )

Created by meedstrom on 2021-02-14; known on 2021-07-01.

The U.S. will surpass 36 million confirmed COVID-19 cases by July 1, 2021 at 00:00 GMT, defined as total cases reported at https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/. ( 62% confidence )

Created by Luke on 2020-12-26; known on 2021-07-02.

50% of people are vaccinated in 5 months ( 18% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by htaussig on 2021-02-07; known on 2021-07-06.

Etherium price ≥ $500 ( 15% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by myah on 2020-07-06; known on 2021-07-06.

Lil Nas X's debut album (not his EP) will peak at #1 on the Billboard 200 ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by bendini on 2019-07-12; known on 2021-07-07.

British variant is >30% more transmissible than preexisting variant. ( 90% confidence )

Created by D0TheMath on 2021-01-16; known on 2021-07-16.