Center for International Development at Harvard University predicts 3.34% GDP growth rate for Brasil in 2015- 2024. ( 10% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-04; known in 1 day.

Center for International Development at Harvard University predicts 4.28% GDP growth rate for Zhongguo for 2015- 2024. ( 5% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-04; known in 2 days.

Center for International Development at Harvard University predicts 4.82% GDP growth rate for Indonesia in 2015- 2024. ( 10% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-04; known in 11 days.

Center for International Development at Harvard University predicts 3.7% GDP growth rate for South Africa in 2015- 2024. ( 5% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-04; known in 11 days.

Center for International Development at Harvard University predicts 4.75% GDP growth rate for Việt Nam in 2015- 2024. ( 5% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-04; known in 11 days.

Center for International Development at Harvard University predicts 6.98% GDP growth rate for Bharat for 2015- 2024. ( 10% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-04; known in 11 days.

Center for International Development at Harvard University predicts 1.96% GDP growth rate for Rossiya(Росси́я) in 2015- 2024. ( 2% confidence; 2 wagers; 10 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-04; known in 11 days.

The Yemen civil war will be won by the Revolutionary Committee, and the Saudi-led Coalition(US,UK) will be defeated. ( 70% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-26; known in 11 days.

There'll be an official e-cash system (in competition with bitcoins or whatever the surviving coin system is) by end of 2024. ( 65% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2014-01-25; known in 17 days.

Alphabet/Google buys Microsoft ( 7% confidence; 15 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-07-27; known in 17 days.

More than 50% of all passenger cars on the road are completely autonomous, self-driving vehicles. ( 21% confidence; 16 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by Paul.David.Carr on 2016-04-26; known in 17 days.

By the end of 2024, I will spend a 60 day stretch without experiencing any allergy symptoms ( 20% confidence )

Created by panashe on 2023-01-18; known in 17 days.

“US accounting and banking regulations will not require that loan portfolios held in the “banking book” be marked to market before 2024.” ( 51% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known in 17 days.

'President Mike Pence' ( 14% confidence; 16 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-10-10; known in 17 days.

Milo Yiannopoulos becomes a woman( post-op ) ( 1% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-12-16; known in 17 days.

Q2 2023 recession by NBER ( 80% confidence )

Created by jacobgreenleaf on 2023-09-23; known in 17 days.

“By the end of 2024 there will be a Single Global Currency managed by a Global Central Bank within a Global Monetary Union.(3-G's) This currency will be legal tender in countries which comprise at least 51% of the world's GDP.” ( 7% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by gwern on 2010-07-31; known in 17 days.

U.S. 10 year Treasury yield below 3.5% before 2025 ( 61% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by batemancapital on 2020-01-01; known in 17 days.

Tesla will achieve approved full self-driving in at least one state in the USA by the end of 2024 without geofencing. ( 24% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Paul.David.Carr on 2020-01-01; known in 17 days.

Health – Before the end of 2024 at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated from a laboratory. ( 7% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2020-02-28; known in 17 days.

Before 2025, most of Russia will become part of the United States, or the reverse, or they will in some other manner become the same sovereign state, or part of the same sovereign state ( 0% confidence; 35 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2017-01-10; known in 17 days.

Kanye West will be U.S. President-elect before 2025 ( 0% confidence; 11 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2016-02-14; known in 17 days.

I will be married before 2025 (age ~35.5) ( 30% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2017-07-09; known in 17 days.

The US dollar will still be the world's primary reserve currency in 2025 (The primary reserve currency being the currency held in greatest amounts by countries in their foreign reserves). ( 54% confidence; 7 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by najdorf on 2013-11-15; known in 17 days.

2025: Less than 20% of the global student body is educated in brick-and-mortar schools/colleges. ( 25% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Anubhav on 2012-02-25; known in 17 days.

2025: Less than 50% of the global student body is educated in brick-and-mortar schools/colleges. ( 37% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Anubhav on 2012-02-25; known in 17 days.

[Statistics, Culture] For the next calendar year, starting 2021 to 2022, there will be a statistically significant drop in the number of children named 'Corona' ( 55% confidence; 6 comments )

Created by two2thehead on 2020-04-24; known in 17 days.

The composite American from 2014-2024 will be more supportive of abortion restrictions than the composite American from 2003-2013. ( 61% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Omid on 2013-10-21; known in 17 days.

“By 2025, Quantum field theory will no longer be part of The Standard Model of particle physics.” ( 7% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known in 18 days.

“By 2025, The giant impact hypothesis will no longer be the dominant scientific hypothesis for the formation of the Moon.” ( 13% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known in 18 days.

“By 2025, The Aether Physics Model will not have replaced quantum physics and the theory of relativity as the standard model.” ( 99% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known in 18 days.

“By 2025, more than 50% of desktop computers in the world will be running an open-source operating system.” ( 52% confidence; 7 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-01; known in 18 days.

Ecstasy (MDMA) will be legalized for prescription use in the U.S. by 2025. ( 26% confidence; 10 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-11; known in 18 days.

A working brain-to-brain direct communication interface will be demonstrated in human clinical trials by 2025. ( 41% confidence; 10 wagers; 10 comments )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-11; known in 18 days.

By 2025, more motor vehicle engines will be manufactured using “3D printing” technology than by any conventional manufacturing process. ( 16% confidence; 10 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-12; known in 18 days.

Reservatrol or a chemically similar compound will be an accepted anti-aging treatment in humans by 2025 ( 29% confidence; 13 wagers; 9 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-10-17; known in 18 days.

By 2025, at least one object larger than Mars will be discovered within 4 lightyears of our Solar System. ( 38% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-12; known in 18 days.

Solar Probe Plus flies into Sun's corona in 2024 ( 59% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-10-27; known in 18 days.

The United States drug scheduling system will be dramatically revised by 2025. ( 27% confidence; 8 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-11; known in 18 days.

By 2025, the remains of several prehistoric human settlements will be discovered underwater by archaeologists. ( 56% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-12; known in 18 days.

Marijuana will be legal by 2025 ( 65% confidence; 9 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-04-08; known in 18 days.

Google Nexus tablets survive longer than Microsoft Surface tablets as a business ( 50% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2013-05-03; known in 18 days.

Polio in the wild eliminated by 2025 —Tachi Yamada ( 58% confidence; 9 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-03; known in 18 days.

The United States will contain more than 50 states by 2025. ( 30% confidence; 19 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-15; known in 18 days.

Real Madrid would have won the champions league at least 6 times by the year 2025 ( 46% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Seyi on 2011-11-17; known in 18 days.

“By 2025, Stellar nucleosynthesis will no longer be considered as the main source of heat and light of stars by a majority of scientists.” ( 0% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known in 18 days.

By 2025, there will be no 28th Amendment to the Constitution of the USA ( 64% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-07-29; known in 18 days.

The United States will contain exactly 50 states by 2025. ( 72% confidence; 23 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-15; known in 18 days.

“The concept of time as a linear dimension will be replaced by one of time as a polarity between content and context.” ( 15% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known in 18 days.

By 2025, a living multicellular organism will be printed using 3D printing technology. ( 25% confidence; 7 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2012-01-31; known in 18 days.