A new ministry will be created in the Russian government. ( 73% confidence; 2 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by two2thehead on 2016-09-22; known in 3 days.

[On September 23rd, 2019 my Grand Canyon crossing (North to South Kaibab) will take] Between 5h00m and 5h15m ( 15% confidence )

Created by WilliamKiely 2 days ago; known in 4 days.

[On September 23rd, 2019 my Grand Canyon crossing (North to South Kaibab) will take] More than 6h15m ( 15% confidence )

Created by WilliamKiely 2 days ago; known in 4 days.

[On September 23rd, 2019 my Grand Canyon crossing (North to South Kaibab) will take] Between 5h15m and 5h30m ( 15% confidence )

Created by WilliamKiely 2 days ago; known in 4 days.

[On September 23rd, 2019 my Grand Canyon crossing (North to South Kaibab) will take] Between 5h45m and 6h00m ( 10% confidence )

Created by WilliamKiely 2 days ago; known in 4 days.

[On September 23rd, 2019 my Grand Canyon crossing (North to South Kaibab) will take] Less than 4h30m ( 2% confidence )

Created by WilliamKiely 2 days ago; known in 4 days.

[On September 23rd, 2019 my Grand Canyon crossing (North to South Kaibab) will take] Between 4h45m and 5h00m ( 10% confidence )

Created by WilliamKiely 2 days ago; known in 4 days.

[On September 23rd, 2019 my Grand Canyon crossing (North to South Kaibab) will take] Between 4h30m and 4h45m ( 8% confidence )

Created by WilliamKiely 2 days ago; known in 4 days.

[On September 23rd, 2019 my Grand Canyon crossing (North to South Kaibab) will take] Between 5h30m and 5h45m ( 15% confidence )

Created by WilliamKiely 2 days ago; known in 4 days.

[On September 23rd, 2019 my Grand Canyon crossing (North to South Kaibab) will take] Between 6h00m and 6h15m ( 10% confidence )

Created by WilliamKiely 2 days ago; known in 4 days.

[US economy] Conference Board “Leading Economic Index” for August 2019 to exceed 110 ( 64% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-30; known in 5 days.

[Politics: According to PredictIt's most recent 10 days of data, the number of Democratic candidates priced above $0.05 is] 7 ( 4% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-07-29; known in 9 days.

[Politics: According to FiveThirtyEight's three most recent “A-” or better polls, the number of Democratic candidates averaging above 5% is] 5 ( 18% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-07-29; known in 9 days.

[Politics: According to FiveThirtyEight's three most recent “A-” or better polls, the number of Democratic candidates averaging above 5% is] 6 ( 7% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-07-29; known in 9 days.

[Politics: According to FiveThirtyEight's three most recent “A-” or better polls, the number of Democratic candidates averaging above 5% is] 7 ( 1% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-07-29; known in 9 days.

[Politics: According to PredictIt's most recent 10 days of data, the number of Democratic candidates priced above $0.05 is] 2 ( 5% confidence; 8 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-07-29; known in 9 days.

[Politics: According to FiveThirtyEight, Donald Trump's net approval rating to be] negative ( 94% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-07-29; known in 9 days.

[Politics: According to PredictIt's most recent 10 days of data, the number of Democratic candidates priced above $0.05 is] 6 ( 16% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-07-29; known in 9 days.

[Politics: According to FiveThirtyEight's three most recent “A-” or better polls, the number of Democratic candidates averaging above 5% is] 2 ( 15% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-07-29; known in 9 days.

[Politics: According to FiveThirtyEight, Donald Trump's net approval rating to be] less than -5% ( 86% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-07-29; known in 9 days.

[Politics: According to PredictIt's most recent 10 days of data, the number of Democratic candidates priced above $0.05 is] 4 ( 28% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-07-29; known in 9 days.

[Politics: According to PredictIt's most recent 10 days of data, the number of Democratic candidates priced above $0.05 is] 3 ( 19% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-07-29; known in 9 days.

[Politics] PredictIt & FiveThirtyEight “A”-grade polls to agree on Dem frontrunner ( 51% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-07-29; known in 9 days.

[Politics: According to FiveThirtyEight, Donald Trump's net approval rating to be] lower than the current rating of -10.9% ( 58% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-07-29; known in 9 days.

[Politics: According to PredictIt's most recent 10 days of data, the number of Democratic candidates priced above $0.05 is] 5 ( 25% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-07-29; known in 9 days.

[Politics: According to FiveThirtyEight, Donald Trump's net approval rating to be] lower than -15% ( 28% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-07-29; known in 9 days.

[Politics: According to FiveThirtyEight's three most recent “A-” or better polls, the number of Democratic candidates averaging above 5% is] 3 ( 26% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-07-29; known in 9 days.

[Politics: According to FiveThirtyEight's three most recent “A-” or better polls, the number of Democratic candidates averaging above 5% is] 4 ( 30% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-07-29; known in 9 days.

[REDACTED PROJECT will publish] the ITN framework by the first day of Q3 (October 1st) ( 99% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-07-02; known in 11 days.

[REDACTED PROJECT will publish] the next steps by the first day of Q3 (October 1st) ( 95% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-07-02; known in 11 days.

[Commodities] Brent > WTI for all of 2019 through September EOM ( 85% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-02-28; known in 11 days.

[REDACTED PROJECT D will] publish by the first day of Q3 (October 1st) ( 99% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-07-02; known in 11 days.

China's Belt & Road Initiative (BRI) to see at least one loan default by 2019 Q3 EOQ ( 12% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-02-01; known in 11 days.

[Donald Trump to remain president of the US, conditional on Dow Jones being] between 26,000 and 30,000 ( 94% confidence; 10 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-06; known in 11 days.

[REDACTED PROJECT will publish] work leading to the creation (if not completion) of an outside study by the first day of Q3 (October 1st) ( 15% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-07-02; known in 11 days.

[Commodities] Palladium price at end of September 2019 to be lower than 1510 USD per troy ounce ( 58% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-06; known in 11 days.

[REDACTED PROJECT C will] complete a cost-effectiveness analysis by the first day of Q3 (October 1st) ( 99% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-07-02; known in 11 days.

[REDACTED PROJECT will publish] supplemental work started in 2018 by the first day of Q3 (October 1st) ( 20% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-07-02; known in 11 days.

[REDACTED PROJECT D will] [hidden 3] by the first day of Q3 (October 1st) ( 20% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-07-02; known in 11 days.

[Baseball] The New York Mets will make the playoffs in 2019 ( 60% confidence )

Created by RedScharlach on 2019-02-15; known in 11 days.

[Donald Trump to remain president of the US, conditional on Dow Jones being] between 20,000 and 26,000 ( 90% confidence; 11 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-06; known in 11 days.

[Internet] The majority of top 30 global websites to be either Chinese or blocked in China as of 3Q19 EOQ ( 95% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-05; known in 11 days.

[Donald Trump to remain president of the US, conditional on Dow Jones being] under 20,000 ( 83% confidence; 12 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-06; known in 11 days.

Kim Jong Un to visit Seoul by 2019-10-01 ( 2% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-28; known in 11 days.

[Politics] Singapore to hold general election by 3Q19 EOQ ( 31% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-05; known in 11 days.

Sandia 10MW CO2 turbine tests success ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-14; known in 11 days.

[REDACTED PROJECT C will] publish (at least on demand) by the first day of Q3 (October 1st) ( 99% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-07-02; known in 11 days.

Games Workers Unite will be generally considered a failure on October 1st 2019 ( 80% confidence )

Created by enolan on 2018-03-23; known in 11 days.

[REDACTED PROJECT D will] [hidden 5] by the first day of Q3 (October 1st) ( 10% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-07-02; known in 11 days.

[REDACTED PROJECT D will] [hidden 1] by the first day of Q3 (October 1st) ( 40% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-07-02; known in 11 days.