Politics, US – Donald Trump concedes the 2020 US Presidential Election before the start of the 25th of November 2020. ( 25% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir 8 days ago; known in 1 day.

Tech – Betfair resolves the 2020 US Presidential Election Next President market by the end of the 25th of November 2020. ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jbeshir 5 days ago; known in 2 days.

New medical breakthrough will revolutionize battlefield care by late 2020. ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known in 6 days.

[The 2020 US presidential election will be won…] …narrowly by Joe Biden. His popular vote win will be massive but due to voter suppression and structural advantages his electoral college margin will be small. ( 70% confidence )

Created by evan.f.young@gmail.com on 2020-08-04; known in 7 days.

[The 2020 US presidential election will be won…] …in a landslide by Joe Biden. The voter suppression strategy didn't work. ( 60% confidence )

Created by evan.f.young@gmail.com on 2020-08-04; known in 7 days.

[The 2020 US presidential election will be won…] narrowly by Donald Trump. His voter suppression strategy and electoral college advantages will result in a EC win but popular vote loss. ( 60% confidence; 4 comments )

Created by evan.f.young@gmail.com on 2020-08-04; known in 7 days.

Spacex's SN8 will sucessfully complete its first flight and tests and come to a safe landing. ( 60% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Reactionaryhistorian on 2020-10-10; known in 7 days.

COVID, UK – Deaths attributed to COVID exceed 500 on some day in November. ( 86% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jbeshir 23 days ago; known in 7 days.

Personal – I weigh in at below 61kg between the start of the 15th of November 2020 and the start of the 1st of December 2020. ( 73% confidence )

Created by jbeshir 23 days ago; known in 7 days.

By 2020, Eliezer Yudkowsky will have given up building friendly AI. ( 6% confidence; 24 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Tuxedage on 2013-01-13; known in 8 days.

US President Zuckerberg ( 3% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-09-03; known in 8 days.

ND will finish his EU strategy by the end of the month ( 90% confidence )

Created by peter_hurford 21 days ago; known in 8 days.

COVID, UK – Deaths attributed to COVID exceed 1000 for some day in November. ( 45% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir 23 days ago; known in 8 days.

Politics, Belarus – Lukashenko is not president anymore by end of November 2020 ( 9% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by NickN on 2020-08-17; known in 8 days.

Legal challenges initiated by the Donald Trump campaign will not change the outcome of the US Presidential election ( 95% confidence; 19 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by peter_hurford 19 days ago; known in 8 days.

Next term there will be a democratic president in America ( 73% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Adam Zerner on 2017-11-30; known in 10 days.

The Telecommunications and Other Legislation Amendment (Assistance and Access) Act 2018 will cause high profile services such as AWS or WhatsApp to be withdrawn from the Australian market within 2 years ( 12% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by sjy on 2018-12-05; known in 11 days.

I subjectively consider the 2020 election to have turned into a clusterfuck ( 35% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by PlacidPlatypus on 2020-10-20; known in 12 days.

At launch, the cheapest PS5 available from an authorized retailer in the United States will cost more than $500 (excl. tax, shipping) ( 90% confidence )

Created by bobpage on 2020-07-30; known in 17 days.

Politics, US – Donald Trump concedes the 2020 US Presidential Election before the start of the 12th of December 2020 ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir 8 days ago; known in 18 days.

Max Verstappen will win the 2020 F1 World Championship. ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by skateboard34 on 2019-12-12; known in 19 days.

“The Essential Workers” (or similar subject) will be TIME Magazine's Person of the Year for 2020. ( 40% confidence; 15 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by pvoberstein on 2020-04-10; known in 22 days.

starlink has a public beta available before december 15 2020 ( 55% confidence )

Created by finback on 2020-08-31; known in 22 days.

I will buy a Mac this fall ( 25% confidence )

Created by Radish on 2020-08-12; known in 23 days.

Border checkpoints will be set up along the UK/Ireland land border by 2020 ( 27% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by elephantower on 2016-07-22; known in 23 days.

[AWS] re:invent 2020 will announce the next iteration of DeepRacer – head to head combat robot competitions (think battle bots) ( 41% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by bly on 2019-12-03; known in 23 days.

Conditional on border checkpoints being set up along the UK-Ireland border, there will be an attack on the checkpoints or border guards ( 64% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by elephantower on 2016-07-22; known in 23 days.

Derek Chauvin will be convicted of murder ( 58% confidence; 7 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by enolan on 2020-06-17; known in 24 days.

COVID, UK – It is not a violation of any guideline or law for a single adult living alone to travel from Edinburgh to Carnforth on the 18th of December 2020 to stay with family. ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir 8 days ago; known in 25 days.

I will have read 100 books ( 48% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Coagulopath on 2019-02-13; known in 28 days.

Business income grows by at least 10% ( 70% confidence )

Created by Coagulopath on 2019-02-13; known in 28 days.

Halo Infinite is released in Q4 2020 ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by qznc on 2019-12-29; known on 2020-12-25.

Uncharted movie is released in December 2020 ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by qznc on 2019-12-29; known on 2020-12-25.

Dune movie is released in December 2020 ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by qznc on 2019-12-29; known on 2020-12-25.

Palau, Panama, Argentina, Kazakhstan, Lebanon, will be high income countries by 2020. ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-03-09; known on 2020-12-25.

Mission Indradhanush will provide full immunization coverage in Bharat from 65% in 2014 to at least 90% children in the next 5 years. ( 75% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-12; known on 2020-12-25.

Bharat will be ranked 2nd in the world by 2020 for steel production. ( 88% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-29; known on 2020-12-25.

Bharat to be a $3.5 trillion economy by 2020: Sonal Varma, Nomura ( 100% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-02; known on 2020-12-25.

Malaysia will be a high income country by 2020. ( 77% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-03-03; known on 2020-12-25.

Costa Rica, Brasil, Mauritius will be high income countries (World Bank definition) by 2020. ( 56% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-03-03; known on 2020-12-25.

Bharat will reduce emission intensity of the economy by 25% from its 2005 levels by 2020. ( 66% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-02; known on 2020-12-25.

Zhongguo(中国) will outspend the US on science by 2020 ( 65% confidence; 4 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-27; known on 2020-12-25.

Bharat to be third-biggest defence spender by 2020 -IHS Defence Budgets Annual Report ( 59% confidence; 4 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-08; known on 2020-12-25.

100% IPV6 deployment by 2020. ( 27% confidence; 9 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-07; known on 2020-12-25.

It'll all be over by Christmas (in at least half of all countries on a political map, according to their governments) ( 30% confidence )

Created by wizzwizz4 on 2020-05-27; known on 2020-12-25.

Zhongguo will ≥ 6.5% real GDP growth rate from 2015-2020. ( 95% confidence; 5 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-04; known on 2020-12-25.

Bharat: HNWI wealth is forecasted at USD 1.425 trillion in 2016, rising to USD 2.3 trillion by 2020. —Julius Baer wealth report ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-02; known on 2020-12-25.

Bharat will reach 1.4 billion mobile connections by 2020, when mobile penetration will reach 100 per cent. ( 87% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-15; known on 2020-12-25.