PredictionBook: Upcoming Predictions

WTI crude futures to have been in contango on average in March 2020 (i.e., M4 > M1) ( 44% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 2 days.

Despite the lockdown in India, COVID-19 cases will continue to rise for another 2 weeks. The lockdown will be extended to the end of April. ( 83% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by areyouhappy 11 days ago; known in 3 days.

[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Joe Biden ( 31% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 3 days.

[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Pete Buttigieg ( 11% confidence; 11 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 3 days.

[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Andrew Yang ( 5% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 3 days.

[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Cory Booker ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 3 days.

[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] any other candidate ( 5% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 3 days.

[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Kamala Harris ( 5% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 3 days.

[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Julian Castro ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 3 days.

[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Amy Klobuchar ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 3 days.

[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Bernie Sanders ( 20% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 3 days.

[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Elizabeth Warren ( 20% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 3 days.

[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Beto O'Rourke ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 3 days.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of April 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] April 2019 ( 58% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known in 5 days.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of April 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] March 2020 ( 51% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known in 5 days.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of March 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] March 2019 ( 68% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known in 5 days.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of March 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] February 2020 ( 64% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known in 5 days.

[Commodities] As of April 2020, EIA's forecast for 2020 average daily US crude oil production to be higher than its forecast as of March 2020 ( 51% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known in 9 days.

University of Washington Seattle campus cancels at least 10% of its scheduled classes for spring quarter entirely within the first two weeks of scheduled classes. ( 31% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Tumblewood 26 days ago; known in 10 days.

Universal basic income will be an issue that comes up in the US 2020 election TV debates (primary or presidential) ( 44% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Oliver Carefull on 2016-10-20; known in 11 days.

Politics: South Korea's Democratic Party (Minjoo) to retain its plurality in the National Assembly after 2020 election ( 71% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known in 11 days.

By April 17, 2020, scientific consensus will still not accept to any substantial degree Paramahamsa Tewari's proposed “over-unity” device. ( 99% confidence; 3 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-04-18; known in 12 days.

German schools open again after easter holidays ( 12% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by qznc 18 days ago; known in 13 days.

[Fighting] Tony Ferguson and Khabib Nurmagomedov to fight in April 2020 ( 73% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-11-27; known in 14 days.

The day on day increase people tested positive for COVID19 in South Africa will on average be > 20% at least until 100,000 people have tested positive ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by moyamo 12 days ago; known in 15 days.

At least one Sask Party MLA elected in 2016 put in jail ( 58% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-06; known in 15 days.

By April 21, 2020, World War III will have broken out. ( 4% confidence; 10 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-04-21; known in 16 days.

Macron will win the French 2020 elections ( 44% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by DragonGod on 2017-06-16; known in 18 days.

Macron will complete his term successfully ( 60% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by DragonGod on 2017-06-16; known in 18 days.

[US economy] Conference Board “Leading Economic Index” for March 2020 to exceed 110 ( 56% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-30; known in 20 days.

[Libya: As of 2020-04-25] US government to recognize the Government of National Accord ( 80% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-25; known in 20 days.

[Libya: As of 2020-04-25] EU to recognize the Government of National Accord ( 89% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-25; known in 20 days.

[Fighting] Brock Lesnar to fight Daniel Cormier in an official MMA bout by 2020-04-26 ( 10% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-26; known in 21 days.

[US Democratic primary: New York winner to be] Amy Klobuchar ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )