PredictionBook: Upcoming Predictions

[Self] I make a YouTube channel by end of February ( 20% confidence )

Created by meedstrom 11 days ago; known in 2 days.

I will make at least 3 and resolve at least 3 predictions (on predictionbook or another prediction app/site) in each full week in feb ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by iterate-again on 2021-01-14; known in 3 days.

My daylio monthly average mood for Feb 2021 will be +0.5 or greater (on usual scoring system) ( 2% confidence )

Created by iterate-again on 2021-01-15; known in 3 days.

GME will reach $1000 at some point before 1 March 2021. ( 13% confidence; 22 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by galaga 27 days ago; known in 3 days.

I will complete an AI based project which I can reasonably put on my CV for (computing) RA and internship apps by the start of sem 1 ( 35% confidence )

Created by iterate-again on 2021-01-14; known in 3 days.

I will weight 67kg or less by End February 2021 ( 70% confidence )

Created by waveman on 2021-01-01; known in 3 days.

The total number of deaths for at least one week in the Florida 2020-2021 flu season (as reported at https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm) will exceed 5,603. ( 90% confidence )

Created by gmcculley on 2020-09-03; known in 3 days.

[Self] I have meditated at least 11 of 14 days from now until March ( 50% confidence )

Created by meedstrom 11 days ago; known in 3 days.

1-bed rent in Manhattan is at least 1% lower than it was in March 2019 ( 83% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by pdf on 2020-10-05; known in 3 days.

ETH will be above $2000 on March 1st ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by technillogue 16 days ago; known in 4 days.

Derek Chauvin will not be found guilty of murder / murder charges will be dropped (w.r.t George Floyd case). ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by galaga on 2020-08-03; known in 5 days.

COVID, US – At least 57M Americans have received their first dose of vaccine by end of 28th February 2021. ( 25% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by jbeshir 11 days ago; known in 6 days; judged right by kuudes 5 days ago.

I will judge my decision to pay for wop+ to be a good investment in 6 months ( 69% confidence )

Created by grin on 2020-09-07; known in 10 days.

I will be in California on the 8th of March. ( 70% confidence )

Created by EliTyre about 18 hours ago; known in 12 days.

COVID, US – B117 to lock down ≥3M in US by 2021-03-11? ( 20% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir 25 days ago; known in 13 days.

conditional on looking for a house with nico/sarah/noel, i will end up moving into one with them with $600 or lower rent ( 30% confidence )

Created by iterate-again on 2021-01-14; known in 16 days.

Mark McGowan will be returned as Premier of Western Australia in the 2021 election ( 95% confidence )

Created by sjy on 2021-01-01; known in 16 days.

A COVID-19 vaccine will be generally available in the UK by March 2021 ( 29% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by mpstevensuk on 2020-09-01; known in 17 days.

Trump convicted by Senate before March 15 ( 8% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by krp.1902 on 2021-01-26; known in 17 days.

Russia's GDP will decline by more than 10% this year #coronavirus , https://twitter.com/akarlin88/status/1240818241502658566 (duplicating March 20 bet) ( 50% confidence )

Created by akarlin on 2020-06-17; known in 18 days.

I go to grad school next year ( 67% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by fandangos on 2020-07-24; known in 18 days.

My credence in strong longtermism will be up to 85 % after completing my essay ( 60% confidence )

Created by aarmai19 20 days ago; known in 18 days.

There will be large scale rioting in US in early 2021 ( 15% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by D0TheMath on 2021-01-18; known in 21 days.

VVD will not win exactly 36 or 37 seats n the Dutch parliamentary election in March. ( 90% confidence )

Created by nickkees 28 days ago; known in 23 days.

VVD will not win exactly 34 or 35 seats n the Dutch parliamentary election in March. ( 92% confidence )

Created by nickkees 28 days ago; known in 23 days.

VVD will not win exactly 42 or 43 seats in the Dutch parliamentary election in March. ( 80% confidence )

Created by nickkees 28 days ago; known in 23 days.

VVD will not win 44 or more seats in the Dutch parliamentary election in March. ( 82% confidence )

Created by nickkees 28 days ago; known in 23 days.

VVD will not win exactly 40 or 41 seats in the Dutch parliamentary election in March. ( 77% confidence )

Created by nickkees 28 days ago; known in 23 days.

VVD will get more than 33 seats in the Dutch parliamentary election in March. ( 94% confidence )

Created by nickkees 28 days ago; known in 24 days.

VVD will not win exactly 38 or 39 seats in the Dutch parliamentary election in March. ( 85% confidence )

Created by nickkees 28 days ago; known in 24 days.

No one in the EA group will miss 3 weeks in a row ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by htaussig 17 days ago; known in 25 days.

A major fast food restaurant, or a 3rd-party company attempts drone delivery within 5 years. (Judgment right if available in more than one area) ( 75% confidence; 3 comments )

Created by jesselevine on 2016-03-25; known in 27 days.

I will still be using Prediction Book in 3 year's time. ( 60% confidence )

Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-29; known on 2021-03-29.

Justin Bieber will go to rehab sometime within the next 10 years ( 49% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Mel Eclarinal on 2011-03-31; known on 2021-03-31.

[Self] By the end of March, I will have been tracking & reviewing my finances for 30+ days in a way that appears sustainable. ( 30% confidence )

Created by meedstrom 17 days ago; known on 2021-03-31.

[As of March 31st, the number of total estimated cases of COVID-19 in the US will be (as measured by GJP: https://goodjudgment.io/covid/dashboard/)] between 129 and 200 million (inclusive). ( 50% confidence )