My baby will be walking independently by age 18 months ( 97% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by taryneast on 2018-02-23; known in about 7 hours.

DirecTV and Amdocs publicly sign another agreement extending cooperation between two companies, or one buys the other ( 45% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-07-08; known in 4 days.

Total marketcap of all cryptocurrencies on coinmarketcap(or it's successor) dips below 14B$ USD for longer than a day ( 2% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-09-26; known in 5 days.

US, Politics – The “Fahrenheit 11/9” movie ranks 1st in its first week in theaters on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jbeshir 13 days ago; known in 7 days.

Politics, Brazil – Before 1 October 2018, will Brazil's Workers' Party nominate a candidate for president who is not Luiz Inàcio Lula da Silva? ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-05-26; known in 10 days.

Total number of free app downloads in all ecosystems 2017 is not published ( 60% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-07-08; known in 10 days.

Politics, US – In Trump v. Hawaii, will the Supreme Court rule on whether the September 2017 Presidential Proclamation on immigration violates or likely violates the Establishment Clause of the Constitution? ( 38% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-05-19; known in 10 days.

Politics, US – In South Dakota v. Wayfair, Inc., will the Supreme Court rule that a state may impose sales taxes on retail sales by firms that do not have a physical presence in the state? ( 15% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-05-19; known in 10 days.

Politics, US – In National Institute of Family and Life Advocates v. Becerra, will the Supreme Court rule that any state-licensed healthcare providers were improperly denied an injunction over California's Reproductive FACT Act? ( 10% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-05-19; known in 10 days.

Politics, US – In Minnesota Voters Alliance v. Mansky, will the Supreme Court rule that the state's ban on political apparel at polling places is facially unconstitutional? ( 65% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-05-19; known in 10 days.

Politics, US – In Janus v. American Federation of State, County, and Municipal Employees, Council 31, will the Supreme Court rule that mandatory payment of any agency fees by non-union government employees is unconstitutional? ( 38% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-05-19; known in 10 days.

Politics, US – In Dalmazzi v. United States, will the Supreme Court rule that Judge Martin Mitchell was disqualified to rule on Nicole Dalmazzi's appeal before the Air Force Court of Criminal Appeals? ( 25% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-05-19; known in 10 days.

Politics, US – In Husted v. A. Philip Randolph Institute, will the Supreme Court rule that Ohio's supplemental process for voter registration list-maintenance is legal? ( 30% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-05-19; known in 10 days.

Politics, US – In Carpenter v. United States, will the Supreme Court rule that investigators' warrantless use of Timothy Carpenter's cellphone records was unconstitutional? ( 15% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-05-19; known in 10 days.

Politics, US – In Gill v. Whitford, will the Supreme Court rule that any part of Wisconsin's redistricting plan is an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander? ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-05-19; known in 10 days.

The climate will be ENSO-neutral in 2018 Q3, according to the US NOAA. ( 60% confidence )

Created by Cato on 2018-05-19; known in 10 days.

By 2016-10-01, the Prodigal Child Project will have made enough progress for more than 75 pastors to show significant support for incarceration reform (through, e.g., attending rallies, writing op-eds, giving sermons, or other actions) ( 40% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-29; known in 10 days.

Star-ALE will not participate in the Tokyo Olympics opening ceremony. ( 95% confidence )

Created by Athrithalix on 2018-02-12; known in 10 days.

Nevada will pass no further gun control laws as a result of the October shooting. ( 70% confidence )

Created by Athrithalix on 2017-10-03; known in 11 days.

[The Brazilian presidential election will] either be won by Jair Bolsonaro in the first round or have him advance to the runoff ( 40% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2017-10-30; known in 17 days.

[The Brazilian presidential election will] have neither Lula da Silva nor Jair Bolsonaro win outright, and neither will advance to the runoff ( 11% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2017-10-30; known in 17 days.

[The Brazilian presidential election will] require a runoff ( 81% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2017-10-30; known in 17 days.

[The Brazilian presidential election will] have a higher proportion of valid votes over registered voters than in 2014 (that was 72.8%) ( 45% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2017-10-30; known in 17 days.

[The Brazilian presidential election will] have no state won by a candidate that finishes third or lower overall ( 60% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2017-10-30; known in 17 days.

Spice & Wolf season 3 will be released within 5 years. ( 5% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2013-10-08; known in 18 days.

Still no first kiss before my 25th birthday. ( 76% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by notsonewuser on 2018-04-02; known in 19 days.

The Philippines still dealing with dawla al islamyya ( 80% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-10-16; known in 24 days.

GC will be unable to provide legitimate receipts of an amount that exceeds £100k, to prove he has kept his GWWC pledge for at least 10% of his income ( 60% confidence )

Created by bendini on 2018-05-04; known in 25 days.

BH will fail to add himself to his “publicly visible wall of shame for a five year period” over breaking a rental agreement. ( 95% confidence )

Created by seriouslykernelwtf on 2018-05-06; known in 26 days.

[ Brazil's next president will be] Bolsonaro or someone who espouses his law and order/anti-establishment platform ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Laudano on 2017-11-25; known on 2018-10-29.

[ Brazil's next president will be] A yet unknown outsider (Huck, Joaquim Barbosa, Meirelles, Doctor Rey, or other clown) ( 40% confidence )

Created by Laudano on 2017-11-25; known on 2018-10-29.

[ Brazil's next president will be] A permanent political class shill (Alckmin, Marina Silva, Ciro Gomes, Alvaro Dias, Joao Doria, other crooks) ( 5% confidence )

Created by Laudano on 2017-11-25; known on 2018-10-29.

[ Brazil's next president will be] A conservative like Ronaldo Caiado or Joao Amoedo ( 5% confidence )

Created by Laudano on 2017-11-25; known on 2018-10-29.

Bolsonaro to be elected president of Brazil ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2018-07-16; known on 2018-10-29.

The cubs will not win the 2018 world series ( 99% confidence )

Created by mattdraghi on 2017-11-12; known on 2018-11-01.

English Wikipedia will have greater than or equal to 6,000,000 articles by the end date of this prediction ( 28% confidence; 10 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by danielfilan on 2015-11-05; known on 2018-11-01.

US, Sports – A team from the American League wins the 2018 World Series. ( 67% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jbeshir 13 days ago; known on 2018-11-01.

Brazilians will elect Geraldo Alckmin as president in 2018 ( 36% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by brunoarine on 2017-12-12; known on 2018-11-01.

The Ebb sleep product will be available to easily buy within the next 6 months. ( 40% confidence )

Created by dnti808 on 2018-05-03; known on 2018-11-03.

The House Will Have A Democratic Majority after the 2018 election. ( 67% confidence; 12 wagers )

Created by Shuffledrive on 2017-05-20; known on 2018-11-06.

Politics, US – A new Supreme Court Justice is confirmed by the Senate before 6 November 2018. ( 92% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jbeshir 5 days ago; known on 2018-11-06.

Democrat to win MI-11 in 2018 ( 48% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by ccokeefe on 2017-12-29; known on 2018-11-07.

Debbie Stabenow to win MI Senate seat in 2018 ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by ccokeefe on 2018-01-01; known on 2018-11-07.

The Republicans will have 55 or more seats in the senate following the 2018 election. ( 58% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by iCrown on 2017-07-18; known on 2018-11-07.

Voters Not Politicians anti-gerrymandering MI constitutional amendment will be approved via ballot initiative on election day 2018 ( 37% confidence )

Created by ccokeefe on 2018-01-02; known on 2018-11-07.

Democrats will narrowly take back the house in 2018. ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by SeriousPod on 2018-08-02; known on 2018-11-07.

Democrats will not take the senate in 2018 ( 62% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by SeriousPod on 2018-08-02; known on 2018-11-07.

Peter Thiel announces 2018 bid for California governorship ( 19% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by ioannes on 2017-01-15; known on 2018-11-07.

Republicans retain majorities in both the House and Senate after the 2018 mid terms ( 35% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jamesrom on 2018-03-21; known on 2018-11-07.

Democrats to gain control of US Senate in 2018 elections ( 43% confidence; 11 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by RobertLumley on 2017-12-14; known on 2018-11-07.