Conditional on Brexit, Boris Johnson will be the next British Prime Minister.

Created by Waring on 2016-02-22; known on 2017-06-01; judged wrong by Waring on 2016-06-30.

• Waring estimated 55% on 2016-02-22
• Temeraire estimated 25% on 2016-02-23
• themusicgod1 estimated 8% on 2016-06-24
• Waring   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-06-30.
• Waring said “Boris has just withdrawn from the leadership race.” on 2016-06-30