PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

Republican candidate loses general election with 191 votes.

Created by jesselevine on 2016-04-11; known on 2016-11-10; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-11-09.

  • jesselevine estimated 20% on 2016-04-11
  • themusicgod1 estimated 7% on 2016-04-11
  • PlacidPlatypus said “I assume this is electoral votes? Is there any particular reason why 191 exactly?on 2016-04-14
  • jesselevine said “Of course. This is more of a personal prediction that I made based off state-by-state poll numbers and an electoral map. There are only 10 states that are actual toss-up states, so that limits the number of combinations greatly.on 2016-04-14
  • jesselevine said “In other words, it is very unlikely that republicans will get less than 191 votes.See also: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/177873on 2016-04-14
  • themusicgod1 estimated 50% and said “that changes things.on 2016-04-15
  • themusicgod1   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-09.