PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

The Republican convention will pass a motion to unbind the delegates

Created by elephantower on 2016-07-07; known on 2016-07-19; judged wrong by elephantower on 2016-07-16.

  • elephantower estimated 15% on 2016-07-07
  • two2thehead estimated 10% and said “Don’t know enough to answer this question so I’ll go with the 80-20 rule. Minus 5 percent to match my opinion.5 (ie 15 – 5) percent and not 10 (20-10) percent because this is a subset prediction linked below.on 2016-07-07
  • two2thehead said “Related prediction http://predictionbook.com/predictions/178694on 2016-07-07
  • two2thehead said “CORRECTION/CLARIFICATION Minus 5 percent to match my opinion equals 10 . 10 (ie 15 – 5) percent and not 15 (20 – 5) percent because this is a subset prediction linked below.” 1 minute agoon 2016-07-07
  • elephantower   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-07-16.