PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

Conditional on vaccine mandates being enacted, my sister will get vaccinated by end of 2022

Created by sty.silver on 2021-12-05; known on 2022-12-31

  • sty.silver estimated 80% on 2021-12-05
  • fabi_s estimated 70% on 2021-12-11
  • sty.silver said “Not the cleanest bet because there may be partial mandates. Also the phrasing permits them being enacted in December of 2022on 2021-12-16