Will actors strike by July 1, 2023?

Created by duck_master on 2023-06-28; known on 2023-07-01; judged wrong by duck_master on 2023-07-02.

• duck_master estimated 60% on 2023-06-28
• duck_master said “See https://manifold.markets/duck_master/will-actors-strike-by-july” on 2023-06-28
• duck_master estimated 20% and said “looks like it’s delayed to july 12; see https://abc7.com/sag-aftra-contract-negotiations-writers-strike-hollywood-strikes/13446685/” on 2023-07-01
• duck_master   judged this prediction wrong on 2023-07-02.