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Given that Brienne was free of social anxiety on May 20 2014, she will be free of social anxiety on August 20 2014 as well.

Created by briennestrohl on 2014-04-20; known on 2014-08-21; judged right by briennestrohl on 2014-08-21.

  • briennestrohl estimated 95% on 2014-04-20
  • briennestrohl changed the deadline from “on 2014-08-01” and changed their prediction from “Given that Brienne was of social anxiety on May 1 2014, she will be free of social anxiety on August 1 2014 as well.” on 2014-04-20
  • donovanable estimated 90% and said “My expectation is that people who confront the potential for a relapse head-on, esp the ones who can piece apart all of the experience, do much better at not-relapsing. [Anecdotally supported re: anxiety and by addiction/REBT research.]on 2014-04-20
  • briennestrohl changed the deadline from “on 2014-08-20” and changed their prediction from “Given that Brienne was of social anxiety on May 20 2014, she will be free of social anxiety on August 20 2014 as well.” on 2014-04-21
  • briennestrohl   judged this prediction right on 2014-08-21.