What is PredictionBook?
PredictionBook is a site to record and track your predictions.
How sure are you?
Rather than just recording what you think will happen, PredictionBook allows you to record just how sure you are that it will happen. You can distinguish between those things you think will probably occur, and those things you're really really sure will occur. If you're properly calibrated, you'll be able to see that about 60% of the things you're 60% sure will happen, do happen, and 90% of the things you're 90% sure will happen, do happen.
Popular Predictions
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Trump is convicted in relation to the mishandling of classified information case, by 2025 ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Tapetum-Lucidum 5 days ago; known on 2025-01-01.
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Epi Cortes cortes antonia 2549808-magdalena Dejca ( 90% confidence )
Created by Mon23 1 day ago; known in 4 days.
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Have 5 users outside of our existing entrepreneurs on the funder rating database by dec 31, 2023 ( 90% confidence )
Created by kyleschutter 11 days ago; known on 2023-12-31.
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Floating house will be complete with electric and furnishings by 12/31/2023 ( 70% confidence )
Created by kyleschutter 11 days ago; known on 2023-12-31.
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Reddit has an IPO before 2024 ( 82% confidence )
Created by Tapetum-Lucidum 5 days ago; known on 2024-01-01.
