What is PredictionBook?
PredictionBook is a site to record and track your predictions.
How sure are you?
Rather than just recording what you think will happen, PredictionBook allows you to record just how sure you are that it will happen. You can distinguish between those things you think will probably occur, and those things you're really really sure will occur. If you're properly calibrated, you'll be able to see that about 60% of the things you're 60% sure will happen, do happen, and 90% of the things you're 90% sure will happen, do happen.
Electron rocket to launch before the end of March. ( 12% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Athrithalix 1 day ago; known in 9 days.
Politics, UK – Before the end of 2018, UK government representative states that the view of the government is that the Russian government is likely not responsible for the attempted murder of Sergei Skripal ( 6% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by jbeshir 7 days ago; known on 2019-01-01.
“Bitcoin will be the world’s ‘single currency’ in 10 years” ( 10% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Ben Doherty 2 days ago; known on 2028-03-21.
If @m doesn't cancel the game 2018-03-22, I will be feeling well enough to come #illness #personal ( 78% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by crabman about 9 hours ago; known in about 15 hours.
PP will defeat Hbox in 2018. ( 40% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by fairfax 8 days ago; known on 2019-01-01.