What is PredictionBook?
PredictionBook is a site to record and track your predictions.
How sure are you?
Rather than just recording what you think will happen, PredictionBook allows you to record just how sure you are that it will happen. You can distinguish between those things you think will probably occur, and those things you're really really sure will occur. If you're properly calibrated, you'll be able to see that about 60% of the things you're 60% sure will happen, do happen, and 90% of the things you're 90% sure will happen, do happen.
Created by sjy 7 days ago; known on 2020-07-18.
Created by crabman 6 days ago; known in 26 days.
I will be a millionaire by 2026, 5 years after graduating college ( 90% confidence )
Created by thebaelfire 11 days ago; known on 2026-01-01.
Created by crabman 6 days ago; known in 25 days.
Created by jbeshir 4 days ago; known on 2017-09-01.