What is PredictionBook?
PredictionBook is a site to record and track your predictions.
How sure are you?
Rather than just recording what you think will happen, PredictionBook allows you to record just how sure you are that it will happen. You can distinguish between those things you think will probably occur, and those things you're really really sure will occur. If you're properly calibrated, you'll be able to see that about 60% of the things you're 60% sure will happen, do happen, and 90% of the things you're 90% sure will happen, do happen.
Popular Predictions
-
NGUYỄN HÀ CHI / VDUH^2100101709 u sau PM: nang ruột đôi ( 30% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 12 days ago; known in 9 days.
-
ĐỖ DUY HOÀ / VDUH^2100101752 u máu gan trái ( 70% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 12 days ago; known in 9 days.
-
I predict that I will not get an interview with HSS within 40 days ( 70% confidence )
Created by waldo2525 12 days ago; known in 27 days.
-
French government announces lockdown for unvaccinated before end of January (for non-essential shops) ( 60% confidence )
Created by Andref2015 about 17 hours ago; known on 2022-01-31.
-
The next German president (Bundespräsident) is female (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_German_presidential_election) ( 80% confidence )
Created by predictorrr 4 days ago; known on 2022-02-17.