What is PredictionBook?
PredictionBook is a site to record and track your predictions.
How sure are you?
Rather than just recording what you think will happen, PredictionBook allows you to record just how sure you are that it will happen. You can distinguish between those things you think will probably occur, and those things you're really really sure will occur. If you're properly calibrated, you'll be able to see that about 60% of the things you're 60% sure will happen, do happen, and 90% of the things you're 90% sure will happen, do happen.
There will be a Wikipedia page detailing the crypto currency boom resembling https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dot-com_bubble ( 63% confidence; 5 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by xzvf 12 days ago; known on 2019-05-03.
Software Engineer will become a protected term in California before 2028. ( 27% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jacobgreenleaf 5 days ago; known on 2028-01-01.
Ethereum hard fork will happen because of https://paritytech.io/blog/security-alert.html ( 31% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by crabman 11 days ago; known on 2018-01-01.
We will go to war with North Korea ( 30% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by Gibs 6 days ago; known on 2018-07-01.
Data published by Cisco in 2018 or 2019 about total volume of IP traffic per month in 2018 will show an amount more than 10% higher than their prediction of 151 EB. ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik 14 days ago; known on 2020-01-02.