Recently Transpired & Awaiting Judgement
-
He's (referring to Rurik) not gonna get one deliverable done. Chin said this on 10:41:04 PM IST ( 100% confidence )
Created by volis on 2018-09-14; known 1 day ago.
-
Koback will use collection of state voter roles to coordinate voter suppression activities ( 51% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by atomicspaceman on 2017-08-12; known 7 days ago.
-
Politics, US – Brian Kemp is elected governor of Georgia in the 2018 election, ( 66% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2018-09-28; known 10 days ago.
-
The problem with trying to cache xxx.worker.js is due to the worker-loader package. ( 70% confidence )
Created by Adam Zerner on 2018-09-21; known 27 days ago.
-
BH will fail to add himself to his “publicly visible wall of shame for a five year period” over breaking a rental agreement. ( 95% confidence )
Created by seriouslykernelwtf on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-10-16.
Recently Predicted
-
ronit and somni will coordinate next week ( 25% confidence )
Created by Somni about 11 hours ago; known in 7 days.
-
L will be working as an irl sexworker three months from now ( 16% confidence )
Created by Somni about 17 hours ago; known on 2019-02-16.
-
In de komende theaterlessen zullen we een les hebben waarbij we gebruik maken van maskers of clownsneuzen ( 53% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by marianne 4 days ago; known on 2019-01-16.
-
US will have universal health care system by 2026 ( 63% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by amadeu 5 days ago; known on 2026-12-31.
-
US will have universal health care system by 2022 ( 27% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by amadeu 5 days ago; known on 2022-12-31.
Recently Judged
-
Zach and Katie's relationship ends within four years. ( 60% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by adbge on 2014-05-18; known on 2018-05-18; judged right by aarongertler about 5 hours ago.
-
[For HQ2, Amazon will choose] Denver/Boulder. ( 10% confidence )
Created by davatk on 2018-04-17; known on 2018-08-16; judged wrong by Bruno Parga 3 days ago.
-
[For HQ2, Amazon will choose] Boston. ( 25% confidence )
Created by davatk on 2018-04-17; known on 2018-08-16; judged wrong by Bruno Parga 3 days ago.
-
[For HQ2, Amazon will choose] the DC area. ( 35% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by davatk on 2018-04-17; known on 2018-08-16; judged right by Bruno Parga 3 days ago.
-
Politics, US – Martha McSally is elected senator for Arizona in the November 2018 election. ( 45% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by jbeshir 13 days ago; known 10 days ago; judged wrong by Bruno Parga 3 days ago.
Recent Responses
- Somni estimated 25% on ronit and somni will coordinate next week TBD in 7 days
- Bruno Parga said “538 concurs.” re: Jets will win the super bowl
- Bruno Parga said “The Jets are not yet mathematically eliminated from playoff contention, at least according to the NY Times Playoff Machine.” re: Jets will win the super bowl
- Somni estimated 16% on L will be working as an irl sexworker three months from now TBD on 2019-02-16
- moyamo estimated 1% on Zerocoin market cap >$7,000,000 within 5 years (conditional on launch) TBD in 5 days
- moyamo estimated 80% on Conditional on using computers by the end of the 2018, I will still be using org-mode to organize the stuff I need to do TBD on 2019-01-01
- moyamo estimated 90% on Donald Trump remains President at the end of 2018 TBD on 2019-01-01
- moyamo estimated 80% on Total number of free app downloads in all ecosystems 2017 is not published TBD on 2018-10-01, so judge them!
- moyamo estimated 90% on George Martin won't finish “A Song of Ice and Fire” series until 2030 TBD on 2030-01-01
- Selentelechia estimated 1% on Elon Musk will come out as trans (MtF or MtX) TBD on 2028-10-23
- Bruno Parga said “HQ2 will be split between the DC area and New York City, I’m judging this as correct.” re: [For HQ2, Amazon will choose] the DC area.
- Baeboo estimated 97% on Donald Trump remains President at the end of 2018 TBD on 2019-01-01
- pranomostro estimated 20% on Politics, US – Before 1 March 2019, the U.S. imposes Global Magnitsky Sanctions on any member of Saudi Arabia's Council of Ministers for the death of journalist Jamal Khashoggi, TBD on 2019-03-01
- pranomostro estimated 55% on Tech – Facebook's end-of-day market capitalization be on 28 December 2018 is between $360 billion and $430 billion. TBD on 2018-12-29
- pranomostro estimated 40% on Tech – Facebook's end-of-day market capitalization be on 28 December 2018 is between $360 billion and $430 billion. TBD on 2018-12-29
- pranomostro estimated 50% on Politics, US – In Timbs v. Indiana, the Supreme Court rules that the Excessive Fines Clause of the Eighth Amendment applies to states. TBD on 2019-05-30
- pranomostro estimated 20% on By 1/1/2022 GE stock will be at $15 or more a share. TBD on 2022-01-01
- pranomostro estimated 98% on [Facebook's matching funds for Giving Tuesday 2018 will run out within the first] 3 minutes TBD in 11 days
- pranomostro estimated 90% on [Facebook's matching funds for Giving Tuesday 2018 will run out within the first] 1 minute and 26 seconds (the time it ran out in 2017) TBD in 11 days
- pranomostro estimated 70% on [Facebook's matching funds for Giving Tuesday 2018 will run out within the first] 40 seconds TBD in 11 days
- pranomostro estimated 46% on [Facebook's matching funds for Giving Tuesday 2018 will run out within the first] 20 seconds TBD in 11 days
- pranomostro estimated 26% on [Facebook's matching funds for Giving Tuesday 2018 will run out within the first] 10 seconds TBD in 11 days
- pranomostro estimated 12% on [Facebook's matching funds for Giving Tuesday 2018 will run out within the first] 5 seconds TBD in 11 days