Recently Transpired & Awaiting Judgement
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Even if net neutrality regulations are retained through Pai's chair, they will be enforced less than when enacted, and ISPs will continue most noncompliant practices unchallenged ( 76% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by erin on 2017-05-20; known 3 days ago.
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UK – Drone sighting over Heathrow on 2019-01-08 leads to an arrest before or on 2019-01-15. ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir 10 days ago; known 3 days ago.
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UK – Drone sighting over Heathrow on 2019-01-08 fails to be substantiated (reinforced by other evidence and authorities describe as credible) before or on 2019-01-15. ( 20% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir 10 days ago; known 3 days ago.
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Nintendo announces Melee HD for Switch before end of 2018. ( 10% confidence )
Created by Athrithalix on 2017-10-03; known 8 days ago.
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Brexit will successfully have take place by August 2019 ( 41% confidence; 10 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Finma on 2018-03-03; known 11 days ago.
Recently Predicted
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I will work for at least 8h today ( 55% confidence )
Created by KatjaGrace 11 minutes ago; known in about 4 hours.
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[Personal] I will set a bench weight PR today. ( 85% confidence )
Created by Cato about 18 hours ago; known in about 11 hours.
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I will get 56 hours of sleep next week (starting the night of 2019-01-18). ( 10% confidence )
Created by notsonewuser about 20 hours ago; known in 6 days.
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[Personal] All documents to be approved and returned by tomorrow EOD ( 80% confidence )
Created by Cato 2 days ago; known in about 11 hours; judged right by Cato about 17 hours ago.
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Personal – I will still be employed by my current employer at the end of 2019 ( 90% confidence )
Created by Selentelechia 2 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.
Recently Judged
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[Personal] All documents to be approved and returned by tomorrow EOD ( 80% confidence )
Created by Cato 2 days ago; known in about 11 hours; judged right by Cato about 17 hours ago.
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I will get 56 hours of sleep next week (starting the night of 2019-01-11). ( 15% confidence )
Created by notsonewuser 7 days ago; known about 13 hours ago; judged wrong by notsonewuser about 20 hours ago.
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[Personal] I will set a deadlift volume PR today. ( 95% confidence )
Created by Cato 3 days ago; known 1 day ago; judged right by Cato 2 days ago.
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I will have a major haircut in 2018 ( 10% confidence )
Created by splorridge on 2018-01-09; known 18 days ago; judged wrong by splorridge 2 days ago.
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I will consider myself vegan at any point in 2018 ( 30% confidence )
Created by splorridge on 2018-01-09; known 18 days ago; judged wrong by splorridge 2 days ago.
Recent Responses
- KatjaGrace estimated 55% on I will work for at least 8h today TBD in about 4 hours
- Cato estimated 85% on [Personal] I will set a bench weight PR today. TBD in about 11 hours
- Cato estimated 30% on [[Fighting] UFC Fight Night 143: As measured by Brier score, the model that best predicts winners will be] Betting Odds TBD in 1 day
- notsonewuser estimated 10% on I will get 56 hours of sleep next week (starting the night of 2019-01-18). TBD in 6 days
- Bruno Parga estimated 85% on Trump will remain president as of January 1st, 2020 TBD on 2020-01-01
- Cato estimated 20% on [Politics] Eesti 200 to win at least one seat in the Estonian election. TBD on 2019-03-04
- Cato estimated 99% on “Game of Thrones” S8E1 to officially air in 2019 H1 TBD on 2019-07-01
- Cato estimated 80% on [Personal] All documents to be approved and returned by tomorrow EOD TBD in about 11 hoursand was correct
- Baeboo estimated 38% on North Korea to test a nuclear weapon in 2019 TBD on 2020-01-01
- Baeboo estimated 10% on [Politics] Nicolás Maduro to resign as president of Venezuela in 2019 Q1. TBD on 2019-04-01
- Baeboo estimated 64% on 1 or more “CRISPR babies” will be announced before the end of 2019 TBD on 2020-01-01
- Baeboo estimated 85% on Trump will remain president as of January 1st, 2020 TBD on 2020-01-01
- pranomostro estimated 55% on USD cash outperforms SPY during 01/15/19 to 07/15/19 TBD on 2019-07-15
- pranomostro estimated 87% on Trump will remain president as of January 1st, 2020 TBD on 2020-01-01
- pranomostro estimated 66% on 1 or more “CRISPR babies” will be announced before the end of 2019 TBD on 2020-01-01
- Selentelechia estimated 90% on Personal – I will still be employed by my current employer at the end of 2019 TBD on 2020-01-01
- Selentelechia estimated 80% on Personal – I will be able to complete one unassisted pull-up at least once in 2019 TBD on 2020-01-01
- Selentelechia estimated 95% on Personal – I will squat 150lbs at least once in 2019 TBD on 2020-01-01
- Selentelechia estimated 95% on Personal – I will bench press 100lbs at least once in 2019 TBD on 2020-01-01
- Selentelechia estimated 95% on Personal – I will deadlift 200lbs at least once in 2019 TBD on 2020-01-01
- Selentelechia estimated 90% on Personal – I will experience NENB at least once in 2019 TBD on 2020-01-01but withdrew the prediction 2 days ago
- Selentelechia estimated 95% on Personal – I will have dated or be dating someone with the intent to make it a long-term relationship (considering marriage) by the end of 2019 TBD on 2020-01-01
- amadeu estimated 80% on Trump will remain president as of January 1st, 2020 TBD on 2020-01-01
- Selentelechia estimated 63% on Personal – My mother will undergo transplant surgery before the end of 2019 TBD on 2020-01-01
- Selentelechia estimated 71% on Personal – My mother will be called about the possibility of donor organs before the end of 2019 TBD on 2020-01-01