Recently Transpired & Awaiting Judgement
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bankendominoes starts again in the US OR massive bail-in in US occurs ( 51% confidence )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-10-07; known 2 days ago.
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My baby will be walking independently (first steps) by age 14 months ( 55% confidence )
Created by taryneast on 2018-02-23; known 3 days ago.
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Sankar is currently less than 10 posts into the book ( 92% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by shardo 5 days ago; known 5 days ago.
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Zach and Katie's relationship ends within four years. ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by adbge on 2014-05-18; known 6 days ago.
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French rail strike will end before 15th May in favour of the government. ( 60% confidence )
Created by phistr on 2018-04-08; known 9 days ago.
Recently Predicted
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I will make it to hiking if it’s on Sunday June 3 ( 50% confidence )
Created by lukefreeman 4 days ago; known in 10 days.
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I will make it to hiking if it is on Saturday June 2nd ( 30% confidence )
Created by lukefreeman 4 days ago; known in 9 days.
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I will be asked to sign work contract before my trip to Greece and without pushing HR representatives. ( 80% confidence )
Created by pashak 4 days ago; known in 6 days.
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I will get an offer for contract work with $60/hour rate. ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by pashak 4 days ago; known 2 days ago; judged wrong by pashak 14 minutes ago.
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Germany to beat Mexico June 17 ( 75% confidence )
Created by Cato 5 days ago; known in 25 days.
Recently Judged
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I will get an offer for contract work with $60/hour rate. ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by pashak 4 days ago; known 2 days ago; judged wrong by pashak 14 minutes ago.
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I will see Les Mis ( 90% confidence )
Created by JTPeterson on 2018-04-24; known 6 days ago; judged right by JTPeterson 2 days ago.
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I do not visit a foreign country for 7+ days ( 80% confidence )
Created by JTPeterson on 2018-04-24; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by JTPeterson 2 days ago.
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I do not travel to Asia, Europe, or South America ( 70% confidence )
Created by JTPeterson on 2018-04-24; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by JTPeterson 2 days ago.
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I will earn a P in Criminal Procedure ( 80% confidence )
Created by Mjreard 29 days ago; known in about 16 hours; judged right by Mjreard 3 days ago.
Recent Responses
- pashak said “I was low balled to ~$30/hour.” re: I will get an offer for contract work with $60/hour rate.
- two2thehead estimated 70% on Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un will meet in 2018. TBD on 2019-01-01
- two2thehead said “I don’t think this counts as enough to mark the prediction wrong, but I wanted to share the information as it seems important.” re: Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un will meet in 2018.
- two2thehead said ““US President Donald Trump has cancelled a planned summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un.” Source: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-44242558” re: Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un will meet in 2018.
- JoshuaZ said “Interperting this as a large scale military fighting or something commonly referred to as a war. If use declaration of war in Constitutional sense, US hasn’t gone to war since 1945. ” re: Us declares war on Iran by september 2020
- JoshuaZ estimated 25% on Us declares war on Iran by september 2020 TBD on 2020-09-01
- JTPeterson estimated 12% on Us declares war on Iran by september 2020 TBD on 2020-09-01
- davatk estimated 40% on Kawhi Leonard will be on the Spurs as of September 2019 TBD on 2019-09-01
- lukefreeman estimated 50% on I will make it to hiking if it’s on Sunday June 3 TBD in 10 days
- lukefreeman estimated 30% on I will make it to hiking if it is on Saturday June 2nd TBD in 9 days
- pashak estimated 80% on I will be asked to sign work contract before my trip to Greece and without pushing HR representatives. TBD in 6 days
- pashak estimated 60% on I will get an offer for contract work with $60/hour rate. TBD 2 days agoand was wrong
- Cato estimated 75% on Germany to beat Mexico June 17 TBD in 25 days
- Cato estimated 1% on Iran to win the World Cup TBD on 2018-07-16
- Cato estimated 20% on Germany to win the World Cup TBD on 2019-07-16
- Cato estimated 30% on Iran to formally exit JCPOA in 2018 H1 TBD on 2018-07-01
- objclone estimated 80% on Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un will meet in 2018. TBD on 2019-01-01
- shardo estimated 95% on Sankar is currently less than 10 posts into the book TBD 5 days ago, so judge them!
- NancyLebovitz said “We have a consensus that this was an easy one.” re: Google will survive for five more years
- shardo estimated 90% on Sankar is currently less than 10 posts into the book TBD 5 days ago, so judge them!
- Cato estimated 60% on The climate will be ENSO-neutral in 2018 Q3, according to the US NOAA. TBD on 2018-10-01
- Cato estimated 70% on “Game of Thrones” S8E1 to officially air in 2019 H1 TBD on 2019-07-01
- Cato estimated 85% on Kim Jong Un not to agree to dismantle nuclear weapons program in June 12 Trump talks TBD in 20 days
- Cato said “Front month futures price” re: Brent to remain above WTI throughout 2018 (end-of-day settlement).