Ender's Game will do worse than expected (4wk gross < HSX @ 122.6m)

Created by RandomMovie on 2012-11-19; known on 2013-12-01; judged right by Qiaochu on 2013-12-01.

• RandomMovie estimated 65% on 2012-11-19
• RandomMovie said “I like the book but don’t think time is right for the movie.” on 2012-11-19
• Torquil estimated 30% on 2012-11-24
• Sarokrae estimated 50% on 2012-11-25
• Michael Dickens estimated 50% on 2012-11-29
• Qiaochu estimated 50% on 2012-12-06
• holycow81 estimated 76% on 2013-07-21
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 45% on 2013-07-21
• Smaug estimated 70% on 2013-11-23
• Qiaochu   judged this prediction right on 2013-12-01.
• Qiaochu said “About 57m, substantially worse: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=endersgame.htm” on 2013-12-01